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Championship expectations

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  • CL_Phantom
    CL_Phantom
    edited May 30
    To jump in on the Wrexham debate (because apparently I cant help but love to hate them), I always saw the Champ as the ceiling for them unless Hollywood A and Hollywood C sell up after a season of survival. I wont predict where they'll finish out of spite this time and say they'll be closer to relegation than promotion, sure momentum is one thing and having all the Disney tie in dosh but they've got an even bigger squad building job on than us. 

    They need to shift a LOT of aged league one chaff before they can start splashing the cash, they've got 6 forwards under contract for next season already:

    Jay Rod - 35
    Ollie Palmer - 33
    Jack Marriot - 30
    Paul Mullin - 30
    Sam Smith - 27
    Mo Faal - 22 

    Steven Fletcher (released) was their highest scoring forward with 8. I dont see any other than Smith stepping up. No league one club is going to take on any of those for a fee + wages, maybe a Bolton take Mullin.

    Its pretty much like this throughout their squad. 




    Us, I see surviving, noting spectacular except doing the double over that special lot down the road.   :#
  • Chris_from_Sidcup
    Chris_from_Sidcup
    Braziliance said:
    Reckon Wrexham will go down personally. Phil Parkinson is just not a good enough manager at this level and they'll get found out against the better sides. Momentum can only take you so far.

    The Plymouth champions from 2022/23 were a much better side and stayed up by just 1 point in 23/24, and have course just been relegated. That Plymouth team had far more quality and a better style. 

    Ourselves, Wrexham, Preston, Hull, Stoke and probably Oxford, that's your clear favourites to go down. 

    We do have one of the worst squads on paper, you can go through every champ side and find that out for yourself. 

    The only thing we have going for us mainly, other than a handful of good players is Nathan Jones, a manager very accustomed to this league, a manager that navigated Luton town to a championship play-off semi, and got Luton mid-table the year prior and earned himself manager of the season. 

    That's our x-factor this season. Without him we would probably be buggered. 
    If they show signs of struggling he'll quickly be gone.

    I don't think they'll go down.
  • fenlandaddick
    fenlandaddick
    I think we will finish mid table around 7th to 10th. I'll know around 10 games in if we have brought in enough quality to achieve this.
    NJ teams are always strong in the second half of the season.
  • NabySarr
    NabySarr
    J BLOCK said:
    PWR
    Survival will be monumental. The Championship is a lot more competitive than the last time we were in it, the money floating around is ridiculous. That, coupled with the other 2 promoted teams who will not be near a relegation battle and our team needing a lot of work, will mean survival being a big big achievement. 
    I would take 21st now if offered, but I do think we will be fine. Jones will be saying exactly this to the board now and pushing hard for investments, we can’t waste this opportunity and end up back in league 1 
  • jose
    jose
    I think Wrexham doing something about their stadium is a good move. 
    Although I would like Crystal Palace to bankrupt themselves by trying to upgrade Selhurst Park.
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  • NabySarr
    NabySarr
    Chris_from_Sidcup said:
    fenlandaddick said:
    I think we will finish mid table around 7th to 10th. I'll know around 10 games in if we have brought in enough quality to achieve this.
    NJ teams are always strong in the second half of the season.
    Not what i'd class as mid-table. Just missing out on the play offs would be an amazing season. Personally i think you're wildly overestimating us, those places would've put us above the likes of Norwich, Sheff Weds, QPR this season. 

    Portsmouth were the highest of the promoted clubs this year, 16th with 54 points. I'd be happy with that but let's see.
    Top half is out of the question really. If we finished 16th that would be an incredible effort 
  • Crispywood
    Crispywood
    With the growing gap between championship and L1 lots of stable clubs and hardly any bad championship managers heading into next season 21st place would be a brilliant season, obviously hate to get relegated but we can’t deny we will probably be the favourites to go down 
  • NorthumberlandAddick
    NorthumberlandAddick
    jose said:
    I think Wrexham doing something about their stadium is a good move. 
    Although I would like Crystal Palace to bankrupt themselves by trying to upgrade Selhurst Park.
    I don't think a sheet of corrugated iron and four wooden poles would cost much these days so I think Palace will be ok.
  • Braziliance
    Braziliance
    JamAddick said:
    This was Portsmouth’s start to the season just gone. Stuck with the manager and ended up securing survival before the final day of the season. All about keeping the faith and sticking with the manager/team
    The scary part is, that was an extremely settled Pompey side that cruised to the league 1 title on 97 points and 10 clear of 3rd placed Bolton.

    That Pompey side was better than our current one, and the championship looks more difficult next season. I even saw a Leeds fan say "Thank God we aren't among that and got it done". 

    It's incredibly exciting, but to think we will finish above 18th is insanity to me, especially without seeing new signings. 

    I hope these owners have deep pockets, cause they're gonna have to take a hit and back Jonesy.
  • NabySarr
    NabySarr
    edited May 30
    Woodwork said:
    MummysLittleSoldier said:
    My overriding memory of the Champ squad last time out was that it was pretty shit and yet we were within a minute of survival. Some names that racked up 10+ appearances:

    I know the Champ this year is 'stronger' but the point is, that squad when you read through the list is particularly crap and once you take out Cullen, Gallagher, Taylor (sorry) it becomes laughably bad. Spirit, momentum, good management will carry you pretty far.

    That was before the new TV deal. The quality has jumped, because the finances have. Preston NE spend more than double our wage spend & were one of the weak Championship sides. This gap is made worse by the two clubs promoted with us. As they will close that gap. Leaving us in the same bracket as just Oxford United and Portsmouth, who have a season on us for trying to close the gap. 

    This isn’t a doom and gloom post. As the owners may go for it & double the wage spend or Jones may mould a team capable of punching above its weight with clever scouting & motivation. But we have to recognise the new reality of the Championship. It is why a well run club like Plymouth were punished straight away for one misstep. 
    Really sums up the problem in football, clubs claim they are financially unsustainable so need more money, they get more money and then just add it straight to the wage bill to try and chase premier league money 
  • Woodwork
    Woodwork
    NabySarr said:
    Woodwork said:
    MummysLittleSoldier said:
    My overriding memory of the Champ squad last time out was that it was pretty shit and yet we were within a minute of survival. Some names that racked up 10+ appearances:

    I know the Champ this year is 'stronger' but the point is, that squad when you read through the list is particularly crap and once you take out Cullen, Gallagher, Taylor (sorry) it becomes laughably bad. Spirit, momentum, good management will carry you pretty far.

    That was before the new TV deal. The quality has jumped, because the finances have. Preston NE spend more than double our wage spend & were one of the weak Championship sides. This gap is made worse by the two clubs promoted with us. As they will close that gap. Leaving us in the same bracket as just Oxford United and Portsmouth, who have a season on us for trying to close the gap. 

    This isn’t a doom and gloom post. As the owners may go for it & double the wage spend or Jones may mould a team capable of punching above its weight with clever scouting & motivation. But we have to recognise the new reality of the Championship. It is why a well run club like Plymouth were punished straight away for one misstep. 
    Really sums up the problem in football, clubs claim they are financially unsustainable so need more money, they get more money and then just add it straight to the wage bill to try and chase premier league money 
    Agreed. But that’s the nature of the beast. Clubs just spunked the extra tv money on wages. The owners will have to do the same to keep up & hope it works. Or stick to their sustainability spiel & hope that works.  
  • ShootersHillGuru
    ShootersHillGuru
    edited May 30
    Accepting as a given that Nathan knows exactly what he’s doing then next season is pretty much very firmly down to the ownership. It depends entirely on where they see their investment going, going forward. Are they content to bounce along up and down as a Championship / League one yo-yo club or is the intention to establish Charlton in The Championship and build to be challenging for promotion to the promised land. I see two massive investment points in that. Getting a squad capable of establishing itself in the second tier and again if promotion was secured to the Premier League. In between it’s a case of sensible year on year progression. The gauntlet has been thrown down by Nathan Jones to the ownership and we’ll see soon enough if they have the foresight and ambition to pick it up. We won’t survive on a wing and a prayer. 
  • ShootersHillGuru
    ShootersHillGuru
    I also think that if “the journey” isn’t the one that Nathan thought he was embarking on then he won’t hang around that long. He’s a driven individual and don’t see him being happy standing still or going backwards.
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  • AllHailTheHen
    AllHailTheHen
    Staying up, irrespective of where in the table, would be a brilliant achievement.

    Not rolling over for Millwall to rub our tummies for once would be really appreciated. Don't think Jones would allow our usual insipid performances in those games.
  • Chris_from_Sidcup
    Chris_from_Sidcup
    Crispywood said:
    With the growing gap between championship and L1 lots of stable clubs and hardly any bad championship managers heading into next season 21st place would be a brilliant season, obviously hate to get relegated but we can’t deny we will probably be the favourites to go down 
    Is there a growing gap though?

    There's a big gap between some of the clubs that come down from the PL (the yo-yo ones like Burnley, Leicester, Southampton, Sheff Utd) and the rest, but at the bottom i don't think the gap is that big. This is surely proven by all 3 promoted clubs staying up this season.

    If we can stay up, then it's highly likely that all 3 promoted clubs will stay up again.
  • Scoham
    Scoham
    DOUCHER said:
    I maintain that the gap is not as big as people think and are confusing the amount of money in the system with the amount of talent - just because somebody can pay £10m for jay stansfield for instance doesn’t mean he is 20 times better than Marty Godden or 10 times es better than Alfie May - Of course the wage bill is a big indicator of where a team finishes but it’s not an exact science and a manager and recruitment team who can put square pegs in square holes can add massive value 
    I think we have plenty to do in terms of recruitment but I agree. Stansfield cost that because as a young striker he can be developed and sold for a big profit, or at least help Birmingham win a couple of promotions.

    Get recruitment right and we’ll be ok. That’s down to how big a budget the ownership provides and how well we spend it. With the jump in TV money of about £11m I think we could spend more on wages and fees than we expect. While we won’t spend £10m on one player, what we spent in L1 isn’t necessarily an indicator that we’ll be limited to paying small fees at most. A stand out Championship player can be sold for far more than a L1 one, that will probably be part of the thinking when signing players.
  • Woodwork
    Woodwork
    DOUCHER said:
    I maintain that the gap is not as big as people think and are confusing the amount of money in the system with the amount of talent - just because somebody can pay £10m for jay stansfield for instance doesn’t mean he is 20 times better than Marty Godden or 10 times es better than Alfie May - Of course the wage bill is a big indicator of where a team finishes but it’s not an exact science and a manager and recruitment team who can put square pegs in square holes can add massive value 
    True. But the shift in wage structure between the Championship & L1 means that the bar is higher now in terms of squad quality rather than specific individuals. Championship seasons are long & arduous. No promoted club finished higher than 16th. That in itself is a big shift from the past. Portsmouth & Derby County are decent sized clubs. Portsmouth, as Braziliance pointed out, were worthy L1 champions on points total etc. Derby already had a Championship budget. In the past, both could have expected top half finishes, maybe even a run at the Play-offs. Both struggled to make any impact on the division. Derby had to spend big to lure a decent manager away to just about keep them up. 

    Oxford United are the role models. Small budget, but wily manager who knows how to grind out points. 
  • BigDiddy
    BigDiddy
    MillwallFan said:
    DOUCHER said:
    BigDiddy said:
    KiwiValley said:
    Can we just start the year in minus six and not bother with the Milwall games?. 

    Stuff Millwall. 
    agreed although i'd like to point out that its actually 4 points - we lose away - normally to a last minute flukey goal and we draw at home - its a painful curse the gypo community have on us but we do normally win the games that count - we're the play off finals champs and have an fa cup in our locker so on balance, fuck em  
    Last time we beat you home and away. You’re right though, usually it’s a draw and a win. Amazing feat for tiny Millwall against a footballing giant like Charlton. 
    We are back…and we would luv it if we beat you, yes luv it……..
  • objectivecafc
    objectivecafc
    AllHailTheHen said:
    Staying up, irrespective of where in the table, would be a brilliant achievement.

    Not rolling over for Millwall to rub our tummies for once would be really appreciated. Don't think Jones would allow our usual insipid performances in those games.
    Not being funny but I don't think Bowyers approach to the Millwall games was tepid. 
  • BigDiddy
    BigDiddy
    MillwallFan said:
    DOUCHER said:
    BigDiddy said:
    KiwiValley said:
    Can we just start the year in minus six and not bother with the Milwall games?. 

    Stuff Millwall. 
    agreed although i'd like to point out that its actually 4 points - we lose away - normally to a last minute flukey goal and we draw at home - its a painful curse the gypo community have on us but we do normally win the games that count - we're the play off finals champs and have an fa cup in our locker so on balance, fuck em  
    Last time we beat you home and away. You’re right though, usually it’s a draw and a win. Amazing feat for tiny Millwall against a footballing giant like Charlton. 
    But you are still painfully boring with nothing about the team, the stadium or its few supporters. You are madly unloved [yes we know you don’t care…] and it probably irks Millwall fans that Charlton has a deeper sense of community and we are a better club.  You will never create a club like ours because you still have that dodgy image. 

    Frankly, even if we drop 6 points against your lot, but stay up next season, most of us would take that.

    Our expectations are low, so beware !
  • Lincsaddick
    Lincsaddick
    Eminem sums it up .. https://youtu.be/NlmezywdxPI
  • AddicksAddict
    AddicksAddict
    edited May 30
    dicktracey said:
    AddicksAddict said:
    KiwiValley said:
    Can we just start the year in minus six and not bother with the Milwall games?. 

    -4; the Spanners I know expect a win and a draw. 
    Isn't that -2 then .... 🤔 
    Four point lost, just like losing two doesn’t actually put you on -6. Obviously, if we lose two, we’re on zero, and if we lose and draw, we’re on one.

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