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The influence of the EU on Britain.

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  • GDP...this is part of my point. Budgets are built on these forecasts



    And that black line is going to take a steep dive when we get to the end of the year, and 2017 becomes an actual number. Unless there is an amazing spending splurge for Christmas it will come in at max around 1.4%. No?
    So if you plot that black line down to 1.4%, that is one big gap in current Treasury assumptions.
  • edited November 2017
    The shortfall in recruitment and retention in teaching in the UK is also very worrying for its future. We have seen the number of applications (both from UK and EU citizens) from the UK for teaching positions shoot up here in Madrid, with many citing Brexit as a reason for wanting to leave. The UK will need to do a lot to encourage EU teaching applications, especially in the shortage subjects of the sciences and languages.
  • edited November 2017
    I would really ask everyone to take a moment to read this by Carole Cadwalldr, a very brave journalist who is calling out Russian meddling. Surely no one who believes in a free democratic UK can be Ok with what she describes here? Aaron Banks needs to be helping police with enquiries. And as for Twitter, well, if they won't take this down they won't take down violent threats against your kids either.
  • I would really ask everyone to take a moment to read this by Carole Cadwalldr, a very brave journalist who is calling out Russian meddling. Surely no one who believes in a free democratic UK can be Ok with what she describes here? Aaron Banks needs to be helping police with enquiries. And as for Twitter, well, if they won't take this down they won't take down violent threats against your kids either.

    That is genuinely troubling.

    The question for me is what is the end game ?
  • edited November 2017

    I would really ask everyone to take a moment to read this by Carole Cadwalldr, a very brave journalist who is calling out Russian meddling. Surely no one who believes in a free democratic UK can be Ok with what she describes here? Aaron Banks needs to be helping police with enquiries. And as for Twitter, well, if they won't take this down they won't take down violent threats against your kids either.

    That is genuinely troubling.

    The question for me is what is the end game ?
    I had this conversation with my sons the other day and our conclusion was that Russia does not need to spend trillions on the military when it can spend millions weakening and eventually breaking the pillars of Democracy through meddling.

    The UK out of the EU is very good for Russia, it weakens a key rival and bulwark to its empire ambitions, their end game is too recover lost territories.
  • I would really ask everyone to take a moment to read this by Carole Cadwalldr, a very brave journalist who is calling out Russian meddling. Surely no one who believes in a free democratic UK can be Ok with what she describes here? Aaron Banks needs to be helping police with enquiries. And as for Twitter, well, if they won't take this down they won't take down violent threats against your kids either.

    When we take back control all this will be sorted, no doubt.
  • I would really ask everyone to take a moment to read this by Carole Cadwalldr, a very brave journalist who is calling out Russian meddling. Surely no one who believes in a free democratic UK can be Ok with what she describes here? Aaron Banks needs to be helping police with enquiries. And as for Twitter, well, if they won't take this down they won't take down violent threats against your kids either.

    That is genuinely troubling.

    The question for me is what is the end game ?
    I had this conversation with my sons the other day and our conclusion was that Russia does not need to spend trillions on the military when it can spend millions weakening and eventually breaking the pillars of Democracy through meddling.

    The UK out of the EU is very good for Russia, it weakens a key rival and bulwark to its empire ambitions there end game is too recover lost territories.
    The lost territories is a worry. I agree though. Problem with that is that NATO has an agreement to act should another NATO member come under attack. The Baltic nations are all NATO members I believe.

  • I would really ask everyone to take a moment to read this by Carole Cadwalldr, a very brave journalist who is calling out Russian meddling. Surely no one who believes in a free democratic UK can be Ok with what she describes here? Aaron Banks needs to be helping police with enquiries. And as for Twitter, well, if they won't take this down they won't take down violent threats against your kids either.

    That is genuinely troubling.

    The question for me is what is the end game ?
    I had this conversation with my sons the other day and our conclusion was that Russia does not need to spend trillions on the military when it can spend millions weakening and eventually breaking the pillars of Democracy through meddling.

    The UK out of the EU is very good for Russia, it weakens a key rival and bulwark to its empire ambitions there end game is too recover lost territories.
    The lost territories is a worry. I agree though. Problem with that is that NATO has an agreement to act should another NATO member come under attack. The Baltic nations are all NATO members I believe.

    That is how it is now but the long game is to keep weakening alliances UK and the EU, USA and the EU, USA with international bodies and agreements. Might take decades but the time may come when NATO agreements falter.

    Whilst the Ukraine is complicated, we stood by as Russia annexed parts of Crimea.
  • I would really ask everyone to take a moment to read this by Carole Cadwalldr, a very brave journalist who is calling out Russian meddling. Surely no one who believes in a free democratic UK can be Ok with what she describes here? Aaron Banks needs to be helping police with enquiries. And as for Twitter, well, if they won't take this down they won't take down violent threats against your kids either.

    Thanks for sharing, all ties in with the fact that Nigel Farage is named as a person of interest in the ongoing FBI investigation into Russia meddling in US election
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  • I would really ask everyone to take a moment to read this by Carole Cadwalldr, a very brave journalist who is calling out Russian meddling. Surely no one who believes in a free democratic UK can be Ok with what she describes here? Aaron Banks needs to be helping police with enquiries. And as for Twitter, well, if they won't take this down they won't take down violent threats against your kids either.

    That is genuinely troubling.

    The question for me is what is the end game ?
    There is no "end game". What we have is the evolution of democracy and politics in post crash 21st Century. Brexit and Trump have proven what can be achieved with fake news and when the centre right allies with the far right. It is noticable that this phenomena has NOT occured in mainland Europe because nobody will cut deals with the alt-right such as Le Pen and the Dutch guy. Although the coalitions in the Netherlands and Germany are not exactly strong. Not even fully formed under Merkel.

    At the same time there is an equal and opposite force on the left which is populist anti-austerity - they have many, many supporters and social media networks and are looking to engage as many voters as possible in the process. Labour has a narrow lead in the polls right now. Of interest is that it is closing the gap on the question of economic competence. Right now we are in a complex middle game and what we end up with is more and more polarization in the media and on the web.

    One can cite the Russians but there is also the uber wealthy 0.01% who own media outlets. They really aren't happy with the Corbyn / McDonnell approach because Labour are looking to cut tax evasion and avoidance to pay for renewal. So some billionaires are willing to pay for social media promotion of certain lines and will collaborate with the Russians too.

    The interesting question is whether people wish to move towards higher integrity for their news and politics or not. Not everybody but enough to tip the balance. And that process is ongoing in two separate ways - first the investigations into Russian influence in the US and second the ongoing machinations in cabinet and Brexit negotiations.

    What is noticeable is that the UK electorate's perception of the Brexit process has gone from middling last April to a massive 60% stating it is going badly as opposed to 20% well and 20% don't know. No amount of meddling by the Russians or billionaires will change that perception and it's not likely that the EU27 will suddenly fold and give May and Davis all that they ask for.
  • NHS Jobs

    In March 2017 there were 30,613 advertised vacancy full-time equivalents published in England, this compares to 26,424 in 2016 and 26,406 in 2015.

    NHS Digital

    Is it not possible more jobs have been created? Seems unlikely with the current government, but possible, surely.
    That is of course the explanation. The NHS employs nearly 1.5m people, a 4,000 increase in job places is probably not enough to keep pace with demand for NHS services.
    A lack of proper funding for social care has been cited as a major cause of issues for the NHS and now we have forecasts of a 25% increase in waiting lists by 2020 taking the number up to five million.

    Perhaps it's time to commit the £350M a week your lot promised for additional NHS funding?

  • I often forget that the Mail on Sunday is not the Daily Mail :-)



    I am sure that none of the mutineers will face the same frightening abuse Anna Soubry reported, even if I wish we could teleport Redwood back to whatever planet Mr Spock comes from.
  • Gerrman MEP on LBC this morning said, it will be sad when you leave as your the only sensible country apart from us in the EU.
  • Gerrman MEP on LBC this morning said, it will be sad when you leave as your the only sensible country apart from us in the EU.

    Which one? Are they members of that group UKIP are?

    I'm sure the Dutch, Danish, Swedish, Irish, Finnish and all the others will be distraught to hear they're not very "sensible", whatever that's supposed to mean.
  • I often forget that the Mail on Sunday is not the Daily Mail :-)



    I am sure that none of the mutineers will face the same frightening abuse Anna Soubry reported, even if I wish we could teleport Redwood back to whatever planet Mr Spock comes from.
    That's a bit of an unfair comparison @PragueAddick . One appears cold and lives by logic and reason by suppressing all emotions and compassion. The other is from the planet Vulcan.
  • And I can't believe you didn't know Spock was a Vulcan (although his mother was human).
  • Gerrman MEP on LBC this morning said, it will be sad when you leave as your the only sensible country apart from us in the EU.

    Which one? Are they members of that group UKIP are?

    I'm sure the Dutch, Danish, Swedish, Irish, Finnish and all the others will be distraught to hear they're not very "sensible", whatever that's supposed to mean.
    It was his view... I forgot he is not allowed to have one, even though he works within that lot.
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  • Gerrman MEP on LBC this morning said, it will be sad when you leave as your the only sensible country apart from us in the EU.

    Which one? Are they members of that group UKIP are?

    I'm sure the Dutch, Danish, Swedish, Irish, Finnish and all the others will be distraught to hear they're not very "sensible", whatever that's supposed to mean.
    It was his view... I forgot he is not allowed to have one, even though he works within that lot.
    Who said he wasn't allowed a view then? Not me, I just asked who they were for some context as, in my view, it seems a ridiculous sweeping statement to make about the contributions of 26 other countries and the MEP's that represent them.
  • I often forget that the Mail on Sunday is not the Daily Mail :-)



    I am sure that none of the mutineers will face the same frightening abuse Anna Soubry reported, even if I wish we could teleport Redwood back to whatever planet Mr Spock comes from.
    But I am sure you are just as shocked and appalled by this headline as you were by the Daily Telegraph one.
  • Gerrman MEP on LBC this morning said, it will be sad when you leave as your the only sensible country apart from us in the EU.

    Which one? Are they members of that group UKIP are?

    I'm sure the Dutch, Danish, Swedish, Irish, Finnish and all the others will be distraught to hear they're not very "sensible", whatever that's supposed to mean.
    Was it Ricky Wilson from the Kaiser Chiefs?
  • Gerrman MEP on LBC this morning said, it will be sad when you leave as your the only sensible country apart from us in the EU.

    Which one? Are they members of that group UKIP are?

    I'm sure the Dutch, Danish, Swedish, Irish, Finnish and all the others will be distraught to hear they're not very "sensible", whatever that's supposed to mean.
    It was his view... I forgot he is not allowed to have one, even though he works within that lot.
    Who said he wasn't allowed a view then? Not me, I just asked who they were for some context as, in my view, it seems a ridiculous sweeping statement to make about the contributions of 26 other countries and the MEP's that represent them.
    Whenever anyone here says anything about the EU here that doesn't flavour a remainer, its automatically assumed it's wrong. He works within the mechanism of the EU so is best placed to have that opinion than anyone here.

    For the record he was talking about Angela Merkel, and the fact that today she will endeavour to form a coalition government as if she cant, she will have to back to the public for another vote.

    He also said, that her decision to let in 2 million refugees etc, had an effect on the brexit vote. I am sure you would believe that ok.

    He ended his conversation by my previous comment.
  • I often forget that the Mail on Sunday is not the Daily Mail :-)



    I am sure that none of the mutineers will face the same frightening abuse Anna Soubry reported, even if I wish we could teleport Redwood back to whatever planet Mr Spock comes from.
    Redwood’s a great example of why the Tory Party are so out of touch with the real world. I can’t believe he’s still able to sit as an MP and the Tories haven’t moved him on. It’s like still having Howard Wilkinson or Dave Bassett in the England set up
  • Southbank said:

    I often forget that the Mail on Sunday is not the Daily Mail :-)



    I am sure that none of the mutineers will face the same frightening abuse Anna Soubry reported, even if I wish we could teleport Redwood back to whatever planet Mr Spock comes from.
    But I am sure you are just as shocked and appalled by this headline as you were by the Daily Telegraph one.
    Of course not, as it is obviously a satire on the Telegraph one, and would not have been presented in such a way had the Telegraph not run theirs.

    You are not appalled by the death threats Anna Soubry received? Or do you consider it to be fake news?

  • Southbank said:

    I often forget that the Mail on Sunday is not the Daily Mail :-)



    I am sure that none of the mutineers will face the same frightening abuse Anna Soubry reported, even if I wish we could teleport Redwood back to whatever planet Mr Spock comes from.
    But I am sure you are just as shocked and appalled by this headline as you were by the Daily Telegraph one.
    Of course not, as it is obviously a satire on the Telegraph one, and would not have been presented in such a way had the Telegraph not run theirs.

    You are not appalled by the death threats Anna Soubry received? Or do you consider it to be fake news?

    https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/733869/Peter-Bone-Tory-MP-Brexit-EU-referendum-death-threats-son-ISIS-execution-photo-wife

    Both remainers and leavers get death threats. So why is one accusation of mutineers 'satire' and the other 'appalling'. Showing your prejudices here I am afraid, Prague.
  • Gerrman MEP on LBC this morning said, it will be sad when you leave as your the only sensible country apart from us in the EU.

    Which one? Are they members of that group UKIP are?

    I'm sure the Dutch, Danish, Swedish, Irish, Finnish and all the others will be distraught to hear they're not very "sensible", whatever that's supposed to mean.
    It was his view... I forgot he is not allowed to have one, even though he works within that lot.
    Who said he wasn't allowed a view then? Not me, I just asked who they were for some context as, in my view, it seems a ridiculous sweeping statement to make about the contributions of 26 other countries and the MEP's that represent them.
    Whenever anyone here says anything about the EU here that doesn't flavour a remainer, its automatically assumed it's wrong. He works within the mechanism of the EU so is best placed to have that opinion than anyone here.

    For the record he was talking about Angela Merkel, and the fact that today she will endeavour to form a coalition government as if she cant, she will have to back to the public for another vote.

    He also said, that her decision to let in 2 million refugees etc, had an effect on the brexit vote. I am sure you would believe that ok.

    He ended his conversation by my previous comment.
    Hi Chips, me old mucker:-)

    I don't know who the German MEP is, but in a way he is confirming a point I have several times made in the past. The Germans have been a natural ally of the UK in the EU, and most of them are sad we are leaving. But most of them are also sad that we did not make a better attempt to work with them to reform the EU in a generally more Northern European style. We can debate what actually means, but I am equally sad because I believe that we could have achieved significant progress.

    My own observation after 24 years in the heart of Europe is that the Brits don't naturally understand how best to work with their Continental partners and tend to throw their toys out of the pram if the British Way isn't bought in full. I saw this not just in politics but also in business, starting with my old employer, the Valley Party ad agency.

    It also has to be said that when I was back at my late Mum's place earlier in the year I gained an insight into the problem with the above. My Mum could not do much more than watch the telly in her final months. I sat in the living room with her, and my brother trying some conversation (I had just arrived from Prague). My brother reminded her that Dad's Army was on. Always worth a watch, but I realised that the two previous programmes they had watched had also had a Second World War theme. Three in row, two hours or so. My Mum and my brother both voted Brexit.

  • British banks will lose "passporting rights" to do business in the European Union after Brexit, the EU's chief Brexit negotiator has said.

    “The legal consequence of Brexit is that the UK financial service providers lose their EU passport. This passport allows them to offer their services to a market of 500 million consumers and 22 million businesses."

    The pronouncement is bad news for the City, where over 5,400 British firms rely on passporting rights to bring in £9 billion in revenue every year to Britain. The BBA has said the loss of passporting would be “disruptive, costly and time-consuming”

    Article here.
  • WSS said:

    British banks will lose "passporting rights" to do business in the European Union after Brexit, the EU's chief Brexit negotiator has said.

    “The legal consequence of Brexit is that the UK financial service providers lose their EU passport. This passport allows them to offer their services to a market of 500 million consumers and 22 million businesses."

    The pronouncement is bad news for the City, where over 5,400 British firms rely on passporting rights to bring in £9 billion in revenue every year to Britain. The BBA has said the loss of passporting would be “disruptive, costly and time-consuming”

    Article here.

    Watched some of his speech. His tone and language clearly indicates he is losing patience with the deluded 'little englander' fools he has been negotiating with for the past few months. Nine billion pounds a year! A country of morons being led by a government of morons over a cliff. We are the laughing stock of the world.
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Roland Out Forever!