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The Takeover Thread - Duchatelet Finally Sells (Jan 2020)

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  • Serious question.

    Nightmare scenario. Impasse is not resolved and Duchatelet remains owner. Aussie interest finishes.

    Where do we go financially from here ? RD isn’t going to put us into administration and will he really let us slide into oblivion and see his investment disappear ?

    Could the football club be in real jeopardy.

    I really don’t know what to think.

    Varney to pick it up for a £ sometime around Xmas.
    I think my point really is that we know that can’t happen.
  • We are just having the same debate that we had two weeks ago, that we had four weeks ago, 6 weeks ago, 3 months ago....

    You say that like it's a bad thing.
  • We are just having the same debate that we had two weeks ago, that we had four weeks ago, 6 weeks ago, 3 months ago....

    True

    Even the fish puns are repeating themselves
  • Serious question.

    Nightmare scenario. Impasse is not resolved and Duchatelet remains owner. Aussie interest finishes.

    Where do we go financially from here ? RD isn’t going to put us into administration and will he really let us slide into oblivion and see his investment disappear ?

    Could the football club be in real jeopardy.

    I really don’t know what to think.

    As you rightly say RD won't put us in administration so if the Aussies do pull out where will that leave us.

    Honestly I don't have a clue.
  • Serious question.

    Nightmare scenario. Impasse is not resolved and Duchatelet remains owner. Aussie interest finishes.

    Where do we go financially from here ? RD isn’t going to put us into administration and will he really let us slide into oblivion and see his investment disappear ?

    Could the football club be in real jeopardy.

    I really don’t know what to think.

    As you rightly say RD won't put us in administration so if the Aussies do pull out where will that leave us.

    Stuck in the Third Division, still arguing amongst ourselves.

    And perhaps a trip to Belgium.
  • edited July 2018

    Serious question.

    Nightmare scenario. Impasse is not resolved and Duchatelet remains owner. Aussie interest finishes.

    Where do we go financially from here ? RD isn’t going to put us into administration and will he really let us slide into oblivion and see his investment disappear ?

    Could the football club be in real jeopardy.

    I really don’t know what to think.

    Varney to pick it up for a £ sometime around Xmas.
    I think my point really is that we know that can’t happen.

    Serious question.

    Nightmare scenario. Impasse is not resolved and Duchatelet remains owner. Aussie interest finishes.

    Where do we go financially from here ? RD isn’t going to put us into administration and will he really let us slide into oblivion and see his investment disappear ?

    Could the football club be in real jeopardy.

    I really don’t know what to think.

    As you rightly say RD won't put us in administration so if the Aussies do pull out where will that leave us.

    Honestly I don't have a clue.
    I wouldn’t put anything past him.

    It may even make business sense, if he can put us into admin and get 25p in the £1 that could be better than fronting £1M a month losses indefinitely.
  • JamesSeed said:

    Rothko said:

    The 5 year plan, will have a massive wasted first the way this is going, so a 4 year plan from League 2 is going to be a horror show

    Even the Jimmy Seed didn't get promoted in his first season.

    But don't rule it out next season.
    Getting out of League 2 at the first attempt would be the basic requirement
  • Belgian's are difficult people to do deals with! My mother used to work high up at Toyota UK and she told me that they are the most difficult people! Very arrogant know it alls! She said they where the worst people she's met and some deals with during her time at Toyota! I'm know not all Belgian's all like that coz we have had holidays in Oste end(spelling) and Brugge and the people were nice so it much be a business thing!
  • Rothko said:

    JamesSeed said:

    Rothko said:

    The 5 year plan, will have a massive wasted first the way this is going, so a 4 year plan from League 2 is going to be a horror show

    Even the Jimmy Seed didn't get promoted in his first season.

    But don't rule it out next season.
    Getting out of League 2 at the first attempt would be the basic requirement
    I’ve just been cheered up by a visit to the transfer thread. It might be easier for Bowyer to sell the Aussies to potential players, than it was to sell Roland?
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  • JamesSeed said:

    Rothko said:

    JamesSeed said:

    Rothko said:

    The 5 year plan, will have a massive wasted first the way this is going, so a 4 year plan from League 2 is going to be a horror show

    Even the Jimmy Seed didn't get promoted in his first season.

    But don't rule it out next season.
    Getting out of League 2 at the first attempt would be the basic requirement
    I’ve just been cheered up by a visit to the transfer thread. It might be easier for Bowyer to sell the Aussies to potential players, than it was to sell Roland?
    Are the Aussies going to complete with enough time before August 8th? Because otherwise this point is moot, unless you’re talking about the League 2 promotion push?

  • JamesSeed said:

    JamesSeed said:

    Chizz said:

    I think the main question is if, and it is a big if, Roland has walked are the Aussies ready to step in and get their wallets out because they seem reluctant up to now.

    What brings you to say that they're reluctant to "get their wallets out"? Is it simply that the sale hasn't yet been completed? (In which case you could say that about any of the supposed "number" of consortia that have been in talks). Or do you have information that indicates that a price has been agreed, all legal issues have been finalised and the only hold up is that the Aussie consortium has refused to complete the agreed deal?
    No insider info Chizz, just a gut feeling. If Muir was asking me to be one of the investors my two main questions would be what is the risk & when will I see a return on my money.

    He must be struggling to answer those questions at the moment looking at the state of the club and sadly things appear to be getting worse by the week if the rumours are to be believed.

    Sorry, but this just way off the mark. The current state of the club has absolutely nothing to do with it.
    Good then I am happy to be proved wrong. I am sure all will be revealed one day James so we can all see for ourselves what has really gone on instead of all the "in the know" gossip.
    Sorry, didn’t mean to sound snappy.
    I’m very keen not to be seen as ITK and always pass on anything I get from GM that’s appropriate. I’ve today asked for a hint about timescale, but doubt very much that I’ll get one.
    WIOTOS, unfortunately.
    Did you get any response @JamesSeed ?
  • edited July 2018
    The bit I don't understand is £7million is small change to both parties. RD is into this by about £70million, the buyer needs to have £200million minimum to invest.

    Also if there is a buyer that's prepared to pay circa £35ish million now they won't pay anywhere near that for a league 2 team and RD must know that?

    I was going to say that RD should be trying to sell NOW, as the business could reduduce in value at a 12 million cost over the next 12 months.

    It stinks it really does.
  • Other clubs get sold quicker and more expensive.
  • Redrobo said:

    Cafc43v3r said:

    The bit I don't understand is £7million is small change to both parties. RD is into this by about £70million, the buyer needs to have £200million minimum to invest.

    Also if there is a buyer that's prepared to pay circa £35ish million now they won't pay anywhere near that for a league 2 team and RD must know that?

    I was going to say that RD should be trying to sell NOW, as the business could reduduce in value at a 12 million cost over the next 12 months.

    It stinks it really does.

    £7m small change? Can you let me have a grand?
    If both parties paid half each.
    3.5 million each that is small change when it comes to buying a football club. That cannot be the reason this takeover hasn't happened
  • Other clubs get sold quicker and more expensive.

    How long have Newcastle been up for sale?

    How many clubs have a genius like Duchatelet in control?
  • JamesSeed said:

    Rothko said:

    JamesSeed said:

    Rothko said:

    The 5 year plan, will have a massive wasted first the way this is going, so a 4 year plan from League 2 is going to be a horror show

    Even the Jimmy Seed didn't get promoted in his first season.

    But don't rule it out next season.
    Getting out of League 2 at the first attempt would be the basic requirement
    I’ve just been cheered up by a visit to the transfer thread. It might be easier for Bowyer to sell the Aussies to potential players, than it was to sell Roland?
    They have to buy the club for him to be able to do that.
  • edited July 2018
    Rothko said:

    The 5 year plan, will have a massive wasted first the way this is going, so a 4 year plan from League 2 is going to be a horror show

    Such a pertinent point.

    Paying well over the odds for a club that is ,quite possibly under the circumstances, staring over the league 2 barrell.

    You'd have to be more bloody mental than Duchatelet wouldn't you?

    There's been very little interest for a reason.
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  • Rothko said:

    The 5 year plan, will have a massive wasted first the way this is going, so a 4 year plan from League 2 is going to be a horror show

    Such a pertinent point.

    Paying well over the odds for a club that is ,quite possibly under the circumstances, staring over the league 2 barrell.

    You'd have to be more bloody mental than Duchatelet wouldn't you?

    There's been very little interest for a reason.
    Surely the problem though is that there HAS been some interest in Roland's price. If every potential buyer had pulled out 6-9 months over the price, Roland would have had to reduce it.
  • We are just having the same debate that we had two weeks ago, that we had four weeks ago, 6 weeks ago, 3 months ago....

    I don't know.....

    Redrobo said:

    Cafc43v3r said:

    The bit I don't understand is £7million is small change to both parties. RD is into this by about £70million, the buyer needs to have £200million minimum to invest.

    Also if there is a buyer that's prepared to pay circa £35ish million now they won't pay anywhere near that for a league 2 team and RD must know that?

    I was going to say that RD should be trying to sell NOW, as the business could reduduce in value at a 12 million cost over the next 12 months.

    It stinks it really does.

    £7m small change? Can you let me have a grand?
    If both parties paid half each.
    3.5 million each that is small change when it comes to buying a football club. That cannot be the reason this takeover hasn't happened
    So I'm selling you a house for £350,000, which is over priced for the area, but you see some potential in the property.

    Then I tell you, by the way I have 70k left on the mortgage, do you fancy paying half that off for me, on top of the already expensive asking price?
    ;-)

  • Rothko said:

    The 5 year plan, will have a massive wasted first the way this is going, so a 4 year plan from League 2 is going to be a horror show

    Such a pertinent point.

    Paying well over the odds for a club that is ,quite possibly under the circumstances, staring over the league 2 barrell.

    You'd have to be more bloody mental than Duchatelet wouldn't you?

    There's been very little interest for a reason.
    Surely the problem though is that there HAS been some interest in Roland's price. If every potential buyer had pulled out 6-9 months over the price, Roland would have had to reduce it.
    There has been no interest in Roland's price.

    Hence why no f***** has payed it!
  • Oh joy, the in-the-know willy waving is back

    #TeamWIOTOS
  • The other thing to bear in mind with the ex-directors we're still a million miles away from The Premier League and the ex-directors aren't getting any younger so I can understand if some wanted to consider an offer although 25% is derisory.

    If we get relegated this season that 5 year plan to reach the Prem could easily become 8+ years and that would surely force there hand possibly into accepting a reduced offer not that I think it would be right.
  • edited July 2018

    A few points on the loans:

    It’s inconceivable that these weren’t known about or picked up early in due diligence. They are not a surprise to any serious buyer.

    Their value in 2018 is not £7m - because they cannot be called in. The chances of them ever getting paid out in full accordIng to the agreed terms are limited. Hence they are not worth 100 per cent of the sum owed at present. But 25% is a derisory offer.

    A number of the relevant ex-directors - probably the majority - detest and distrust Richard Murray. They will be disinclined to do any deal which benefits him, for example facilitates him continuing on the board. If they think that is a possible outcome they will likely hold out for 100 per cent regardless. Murray was involved in making this 25% offer, which is a bit surprising given RD has his own channels of communication to them.

    I am generally sympathetic to the ex-directors. A vast amount of money was written off by them pre-2010 and in this case it is Duchatelet asking them to pay for his mistakes, not their own. So I understand why some of them say they won’t do a deal, but I still think in the right situation they would. And that’s from talking directly to a number of them over recent months and years.

    To be clear are you stating all of them were offered 25% by RD but via RM?

    If so how long ago was this?


    Moving on from those questions are you stating you believe the Aussies require this obligation to be satisfied before they complete any deal ? This notwithstanding the FF minutes/report which suggests these loans are not an issue. If this is the case what is your rationale/ source over the issued statement ?

    And finally why would a place on the board for RM be perceived as an issue for them when he has that now?

    Yes I am mindful I post multiple questions!
  • Rothko said:

    The 5 year plan, will have a massive wasted first the way this is going, so a 4 year plan from League 2 is going to be a horror show

    Surely a 5 year plan commences from when you buy a business ?
  • edited July 2018
    uie2 said:

    Belgian's are difficult people to do deals with! My mother used to work high up at Toyota UK and she told me that they are the most difficult people! Very arrogant know it alls! She said they where the worst people she's met and some deals with during her time at Toyota! I'm know not all Belgian's all like that coz we have had holidays in Oste end(spelling) and Brugge and the people were nice so it much be a business thing!

    I don't know about Belgians, but the French think all Englishmen wear pinstripe suits and bowler hats. :smile:

This discussion has been closed.

Roland Out Forever!