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Grand National 2015

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  • ISawLeaburnScore
    ISawLeaburnScore Posts: 9,779
    Mines back on now (at the old price of 50/1!) Would rather it cancelled and rebacked at 66!
  • northstandsteve
    northstandsteve Posts: 14,329
    missus picked out Oscar Time last night and told me to back it, I had already done so but insisted I put a bet on for her WITH MY FECKIN MONEY
  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,713
    edited April 2015
    Bournemouth Addick said:

    PeanutsMolloy said:

    Indigo Joe said:

    Portrait King and Unioniste both non runners.

    Going with Balthazar King win, Royale Knight and Spring Heeled both e/w

    Now off to Hillsborough to drink some cheap beer.

    Oddschecker showing them both as N/R but I can't see anything about them on the web and nothing yet on Morning Line. Confused.

    EDIT Scrap that - oddschecker now have them back as runners.
    Sorry to lump the expectation on you Peanuts but who have you settled on this year?
    No worries Chief. Wouldn't be the first time I'm horribly humiliated if they are flop.

    They did have rain overnight but not huge amount and they'd reduced watering to accommodate.
    So I suspect that the going will be about like last year. However they describe it, that was GOOD.

    So, my model's ratings for GOOD:

    • Chance Du Roy
    • First Lieutenant / The Druids Nephew
    • Oscar Time / Monbeg Dude / Rocky Creek
    • Portrait King / Royale Knight / Soll
    • Dolatulo / Saint Are
    • Godsmejudge / Alvarado / Balthazar King
    • Al Co / Rubi Light

    Though the DUDE and PK would have preferred it softer, I'm happy with my betting slip (earlier post) but if I were compiling it this morning:

    MUST HAVES:

    CHANCE DU ROY e/w
    OSCAR TIME e/w
    FIRST LIEUTENANT e/w
    THE DRUIDS NEPHEW (at his current odds WIN only - good case to say he either wins or fails to complete [probably going early])

    OPTIONS FOR SERIOUS WIN CANDIDATES:

    I've gone with the DUDE (and am happy with him as an out and out stayer) but the ground may be too quick for him to make an impact.

    ROCKY CREEK and SOLL are both big dangers but on GOOD, GN returnees tend not to Win and I believe that, given a clear run [a big IF in the GN], CDR has Rocky Creek's measure, even if RC has improved from last year. However, he is big threat.

    I think SOLL will be fine on the ground (some think he wants it soft) and if I were abandoning the DUDE I would opt for SOLL.

    OPTIONS FOR PLACE POTENTIAL BIG PRICES:

    Again, I'm happy with PK as the long price place potential selection but he would have preferred softer going to help stay in touch - if he avoids trouble (a big IF) hopefully he'll be staying on past tiring horses at the finish. If it is truly GOOD ground, DOLATULO could go a LOT better at 80/1 6 places than the experts think (I might even add him to my slip to replace Baileys Concerto - he could get pushed out to 100+ before the Off though)
  • CHG
    CHG Posts: 4,529
    edited April 2015
    Portrait King is now back on my bet slip.
  • Addick Addict
    Addick Addict Posts: 39,793
    edited April 2015
    northstandsteve said:

    missus picked out Oscar Time last night and told me to back it, I had already done so but insisted I put a bet on for her WITH MY FECKIN MONEY

    Same with my Mrs. Just do what I intend to do - keep the money when it wins - that'll teach her ;-)

    And then quote the great Sir Clement Freud to her - "a bet's not a bet unless it's going to hurt when it loses." And as it's not going to hurt her when it loses (because it's not her money) then it's not her bet.

    I would rather the horse did lose however. I couldn't stand the "see I know nothing about horse racing and won but you, with all your wealth of experience, lost!"
  • northstandsteve
    northstandsteve Posts: 14,329
    Backed all of mine at Jennings Bet in a shop, on Wednesday when they said they pay 5 places, I see on line this morning they say they are paying 6 places, how will that effect my bet ?
  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,713
    edited April 2015
    .
  • Robbo on the wing
    Robbo on the wing Posts: 4,135
    edited April 2015
    northstandsteve said:

    Hark at fuckin Claire Balding

    Ha Ha
  • Addick Addict
    Addick Addict Posts: 39,793
    >
    northstandsteve said:

    Backed all of mine at Jennings Bet in a shop, on Wednesday when they said they pay 5 places, I see on line this morning they say they are paying 6 places, how will that effect my bet ?

    You will, unfortunately, still only get 5 places.
  • guinnessaddick
    guinnessaddick Posts: 28,638
    edited April 2015
    northstandsteve said:

    missus picked out Oscar Time last night and told me to back it, I had already done so but insisted I put a bet on for her WITH MY FECKIN MONEY

    Same every year with me, with the wife and daughter, if they win I do claim back my stake money, plus a bit of tax. ;-)
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  • AFKABartram
    AFKABartram Posts: 57,825
    Wife just picked out First Liutenant, more than happy to add that to my slip
  • AFKABartram
    AFKABartram Posts: 57,825
    Have also had a nibble on Godsmejudge as my grandad had some Alan King connections and I know he would have been backing it.
  • Bournemouth Addick
    Bournemouth Addick Posts: 16,283
    PeanutsMolloy said:

    Bournemouth Addick said:

    PeanutsMolloy said:

    Indigo Joe said:

    Portrait King and Unioniste both non runners.

    Going with Balthazar King win, Royale Knight and Spring Heeled both e/w

    Now off to Hillsborough to drink some cheap beer.

    Oddschecker showing them both as N/R but I can't see anything about them on the web and nothing yet on Morning Line. Confused.

    EDIT Scrap that - oddschecker now have them back as runners.
    Sorry to lump the expectation on you Peanuts but who have you settled on this year?
    No worries Chief. Wouldn't be the first time I'm horribly humiliated if they are flop.

    They did have rain overnight but not huge amount and they'd reduced watering to accommodate.
    So I suspect that the going will be about like last year. However they describe it, that was GOOD.

    So, my model's ratings for GOOD:

    • Chance Du Roy
    • First Lieutenant / The Druids Nephew
    • Oscar Time / Monbeg Dude / Rocky Creek
    • Portrait King / Royale Knight / Soll
    • Dolatulo / Saint Are
    • Godsmejudge / Alvarado / Balthazar King
    • Al Co / Rubi Light

    Though the DUDE and PK would have preferred it softer, I'm happy with my betting slip (earlier post) but if I were compiling it this morning:

    MUST HAVES:

    CHANCE DU ROY e/w
    OSCAR TIME e/w
    FIRST LIEUTENANT e/w
    THE DRUIDS NEPHEW (at his current odds WIN only - good case to say he either wins or fails to complete [probably going early])

    OPTIONS FOR SERIOUS WIN CANDIDATES:

    I've gone with the DUDE (and am happy with him as an out and out stayer) but the ground may be too quick for him to make an impact.

    ROCKY CREEK and SOLL are both big dangers but on GOOD, GN returnees tend not to Win and I believe that, given a clear run [a big IF in the GN], CDR has Rocky Creek's measure, even if RC has improved from last year. However, he is big threat.

    I think SOLL will be fine on the ground (some think he wants it soft) and if I were abandoning the DUDE I would opt for SOLL.

    OPTIONS FOR PLACE POTENTIAL BIG PRICES:

    Again, I'm happy with PK as the long price place potential selection but he would have preferred softer going to help stay in touch - if he avoids trouble (a big IF) hopefully he'll be staying on past tiring horses at the finish. If it is truly GOOD ground, DOLATULO could go a LOT better at 80/1 6 places than the experts think (I might even add him to my slip to replace Baileys Concerto - he could get pushed out to 100+ before the Off though)
    Brilliant work as usual Peanuts. Thanks from a complete horseracing numpty.
  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,713
    Cheers Bournemouth - too kind. I could look a complete numpty by 4.24pm.
    Actually, when I pressed the pause on the selector thingy it came up SOLL (!) - may have to have a saver!!
  • paulbaconsarnie
    paulbaconsarnie Posts: 9,423
    Dolatulo now 100/1 6 places BVic
  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,713
    paulbaconsarnie said:

    Dolatulo now 100/1 6 places BVic

    All the unfancied will go bigger with the flood of money for AP, Rocky Creek et al.
    Obviously money for Oscar Time after yesterday (daft reason).
    Chance Du Roy now 50s 6 places.
  • joeaddick
    joeaddick Posts: 430
    Quick question... Do I need to tick something on the BetVic site to keep price..?
  • Addick Addict
    Addick Addict Posts: 39,793
    joeaddick said:

    Quick question... Do I need to tick something on the BetVic site to keep price..?

    No - you should get the price that's displayed automatically - and if the SP turns out to be bigger you will get that price instead.
  • Addick Addict
    Addick Addict Posts: 39,793
    It won't surprise you PM to learn the name of the horse to the ones you have put up - Alvarado. I just couldn't bear it if PM (now there's a coincidence!) ended up winning it this year after all those years of frustration with him.
  • cabbles
    cabbles Posts: 15,256
    Cheers @PeanutsMolloy I'm in. Re-invested £35 of my £110 winnings on Thursday. Looking forward to it
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  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,713
    cabbles said:

    Cheers @PeanutsMolloy I'm in. Re-invested £35 of my £110 winnings on Thursday. Looking forward to it

    Much appreciate the vote of confidence Chief - hope it's rewarded.
  • Davo55
    Davo55 Posts: 7,836
    As a very occasional and always incompetent better, many thanks to @PeanutsMolloy for the great insights and tips.

    I've backed Druids Nephew (win) and Chance du Roy (e/w), and Alvarado (win) and Oscar Time (e/w) for Mrs D.
  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,713
    Davo55 said:

    As a very occasional and always incompetent better, many thanks to @PeanutsMolloy for the great insights and tips.

    I've backed Druids Nephew (win) and Chance du Roy (e/w), and Alvarado (win) and Oscar Time (e/w) for Mrs D.

    Cheers Davo55.
    All the best.
  • IdleHans
    IdleHans Posts: 10,971
    Thanks from me too, Peanuts. Always a thread I look forward to.
    Good luck today.
  • red_murph
    red_murph Posts: 2,460
    Yup, win or lose your analysis and insight is fantastic Peanuts. Looking forward to an afternoon switching between Soccer Saturday and Channel 4 with Betfair on the Ipad :0)
  • nth_london_addick
    nth_london_addick Posts: 35,919
    Chance du Roy
    First LT
    Monbeg dude
    Rocky creek
    Druids nephew


    Shutthefrontdoor come on ap sign off today
  • ricky_otto
    ricky_otto Posts: 22,600
    Druids nephew win
    Saint Are e/w
    Night in Milan e/w
  • Covered End
    Covered End Posts: 52,008
    Best of luck Peanuts. Thanks for your considerable efforts. It really makes it so much more exciting.
  • nth_london_addick
    nth_london_addick Posts: 35,919
    1330

    As dee mee

    Nicolas canyon

    Parlour games


    205

    Art mauresque

    Solar impulse

    1450

    Jetson
    Zarkandar

    1525

    Wonderful charm
    Duke lucca
  • Slartibartfast
    Slartibartfast Posts: 1,119
    Hi Peanuts, gone with your first 3 plus the Dude. Great thread as always. Hope we do better than last year:-)

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