Attention: Please take a moment to consider our terms and conditions before posting.

World Cup 2018 - Betting thread

17891113

Comments

  • bobmunro
    bobmunro Posts: 20,843
    edited July 2018

    Of course the draw helps. I've seen 6/4 about on England to make the final which is joint shortest odds with Brazil.

    If we do make the final I'd imagine we'd be in that 7/2 range to win in 90 minutes while being 2/1 or 9/4 ish to lift the trophy.

    I'd say about 6/4 or 8/5 for the lift trophy if we meet Brazil (guesstimate). On my league ratings (trade the outright), currently have Brazil as essentially half a goal better than us. Which would see them about evens or a tad over and then minus any over-round.
    My take would be very similar, just slightly bigger England.

    4/9 Brazil 7/4 England to lift the trophy - 90 mins 5/6 Brazil, 15/4 England, 9/4 Draw

    Over-round built in.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,763
    There we go. I shall defer to the experts (one day I hope I'll be in a similar boat). :-)
  • MrOneLung
    MrOneLung Posts: 26,849
    Don't listen to Bob, Callum

    he works in HR.
  • Atletico Addick
    Atletico Addick Posts: 5,843
    bobmunro said:

    Of course the draw helps. I've seen 6/4 about on England to make the final which is joint shortest odds with Brazil.

    If we do make the final I'd imagine we'd be in that 7/2 range to win in 90 minutes while being 2/1 or 9/4 ish to lift the trophy.

    I'd say about 6/4 or 8/5 for the lift trophy if we meet Brazil (guesstimate). On my league ratings (trade the outright), currently have Brazil as essentially half a goal better than us. Which would see them about evens or a tad over and then minus any over-round.
    My take would be very similar, just slightly bigger England.

    4/9 Brazil 7/4 England to lift the trophy - 90 mins 5/6 Brazil, 15/4 England, 9/4 Draw

    Over-round built in.
    Copied my tissue there haven't you..

    :- )
  • bobmunro
    bobmunro Posts: 20,843
    MrOneLung said:

    Don't listen to Bob, Callum

    he works in HR.

    Rubbish!

    31% of people (like me) have the maths and probability expertise to compile odds and 74% of people don't!
  • bobmunro
    bobmunro Posts: 20,843

    bobmunro said:

    Of course the draw helps. I've seen 6/4 about on England to make the final which is joint shortest odds with Brazil.

    If we do make the final I'd imagine we'd be in that 7/2 range to win in 90 minutes while being 2/1 or 9/4 ish to lift the trophy.

    I'd say about 6/4 or 8/5 for the lift trophy if we meet Brazil (guesstimate). On my league ratings (trade the outright), currently have Brazil as essentially half a goal better than us. Which would see them about evens or a tad over and then minus any over-round.
    My take would be very similar, just slightly bigger England.

    4/9 Brazil 7/4 England to lift the trophy - 90 mins 5/6 Brazil, 15/4 England, 9/4 Draw

    Over-round built in.
    Copied my tissue there haven't you..

    :- )
    How very dare you!!
  • IdleHans
    IdleHans Posts: 10,961
    Belgium at 14/5 seem like a good bet - play well and they have every chance. Neymar's got to watch his step, being on a yellow. I think this is evenly matched, so the odds are attractive.
  • philcafc
    philcafc Posts: 3,883
    I agree, if they click I think the Belgians have more quality than Brazil. I like their chances tonight.
  • IdleHans
    IdleHans Posts: 10,961
    Got another Bet365 free one tomorrow. Really have no idea what to put this one on. Think it'll be turgid and attritional with Sweden looking to score on the counter and us failing to break them down. But then again we might be 2-0 up after twenty minutes.

  • shine166
    shine166 Posts: 13,916
    Sweden currently 21/5 to win on betvictor
  • Sponsored links:



  • Manicmania
    Manicmania Posts: 1,594
    shine166 said:

    Sweden currently 21/5 to win on betvictor

    I've never given out a flag before but you are walking a fine line @shine166...!!!! ;)
  • AFKABartram
    AFKABartram Posts: 57,824
    Had a France / England double at 3s, so waiting now for England to abuse that up (like they did in the 92nd min on Tues)
  • shine166
    shine166 Posts: 13,916
    edited July 2018
    Stones 1-0 81/1
  • Manicmania
    Manicmania Posts: 1,594
    Gone with Modric and Mandzukic 2 shots on target each in the 90 mins @ 66-1 - i'm thinking the Russian keeper will be a busy boy tonight
  • Sage
    Sage Posts: 7,278
    Would you be able to cash out on something like that, what a bet that is!
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    Cash out not available on those markets
  • Manicmania
    Manicmania Posts: 1,594
    does anyone know how to work out what the odds are for just the three that have already come in?
  • paulie8290
    paulie8290 Posts: 23,344

    does anyone know how to work out what the odds are for just the three that have already come in?

    Using an online bet calculator
    £1 would return £4,845
  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102

    does anyone know how to work out what the odds are for just the three that have already come in?

    15 x 17 x 19 = 4845
  • Sponsored links:



  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    Perisic off. Sad times
  • Manicmania
    Manicmania Posts: 1,594
    well that's the end of that bet then how gutting for the guy.
  • ValleyGary
    ValleyGary Posts: 37,975
    Why’s he been dragged? He’s one of their best players
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,763
    Should've done Cheryshev instead of Perisic!
  • AFKABartram
    AFKABartram Posts: 57,824

    Gone with Modric and Mandzukic 2 shots on target each in the 90 mins @ 66-1 - i'm thinking the Russian keeper will be a busy boy tonight

    Did that come in?
  • paulie8290
    paulie8290 Posts: 23,344

    Gone with Modric and Mandzukic 2 shots on target each in the 90 mins @ 66-1 - i'm thinking the Russian keeper will be a busy boy tonight

    Did that come in?
    Croatia only had 3 shots on target in the 120 minutes
  • Manicmania
    Manicmania Posts: 1,594

    Gone with Modric and Mandzukic 2 shots on target each in the 90 mins @ 66-1 - i'm thinking the Russian keeper will be a busy boy tonight

    Did that come in?
    Neither had a single shot on target lol thinking about betting the same thing again for Wednesday just to be safe!
  • Addick Addict
    Addick Addict Posts: 39,767
    Feel a bit awkward about this one but just didn't think that we would get as far as we have and now struggling to decide what to do - currently holding positions having backed Belgium @ 14, Croatia @ 38 (both on Betfair) and a Belgium/Croatia Final @ 100/1. We are not talking life changing amounts but the returns would be meaningful to most people.

    Which of these options would you now take:

    (a) Let it run - "more important to potentially maximise the return and it would be so disappointing to trade out if it were a Belgium/Croatia Final"

    (b) Trade out for a flat book so the return is the same whatever happens - "can happily sit and happily cheer England in the semi in the knowledge that it's a return - albeit one that is a big reduction on the original investment"

    (c) Trade out so that England is the only winner in the win market and in the "nominate the finalists" market make England with Belgium and France the only winners on the book - "come on England, who cares about the money!"
  • MrOneLung
    MrOneLung Posts: 26,849
    Let it run.
    If England win it will lessen the financial blow.
  • cs1986
    cs1986 Posts: 1,529
    Cash outs?