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Catalan Independence vote

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  • edited December 2017
    @ken_shabby can you share with us what is the process for forming the next Catalan government. Is it correct to assume that only those in the building can vote to appoint a ruling coalition? This article implies that there is a dedline of 20th January to form a government.

    It also suggests that those in exile or jail cannot participate without special permission.
  • edited December 2017

    @ken_shabby can you share with us what is the process for forming the next Catalan government. Is it correct to assume that only those in the building can vote to appoint a ruling coalition? This article implies that there is a dedline of 20th January to form a government.

    It also suggests that those in exile or jail cannot participate without special permission.

    Sorry for the delay, I was too happy yesterday to want to discuss Catalonia. Basically, the outline is broadly like the UK, in that you really need a working majority to form a government. The Independentists have this, while the Anti Secessionists do not.

    From there it disinegrates rapidly. The two main parties, ERC and JuntsPerCat both have members of their slate who are in prison or in Brussels. The law states that they cannot vote from outside parliament. Regarding the Investment of Puigdemont as president of Catalunya, Mariano Rajoy has scathingly said that if the judge grants him a few hours outside prison, he can use that to be presented as president, but he will then go back (the assumption being that on arrival in Spain, he will be arrested and put in preventative prison.

    The secessionisys are currently discussing making an immediate rule change when parliament opens, to allow people to vote when they are not there. Quite where they will go with that is anybodoes guess.

    One of the likely members of parliament, Anna Forcadell, has been advised by her lawyer not to accept any posts in the parliament. As president of the previous government, she oversaw the voting on the 'law of disconnection' which the Seccesionists brought into law. With their 72 seats, the voted this in, but both Catalan and Spanish law require a two thirds majority for a major constitutional change, which they did not remotely have, When she announced the result as having been passed by parliament, she quite knowingly broke the law as well as bypassing a huge percentage of the population, and in the aftermath, she was jailed for rebellion. She was allowed out after promising to uphold the constitution, and it says something about what we can expect from these guys in the next legislatura that she has been advised to avoid being seen as a leader. As I said, Carles Puigdemnont has already outlined his proposals including seizing control of the airports, rail network and roads, introducing a Catalan digital currency (I suppose in case the Euro becomes invalid) and a series of exciting labour reforms which sound great but would need a lot of extra money to pay for. Anyone who does that and signs it into law will provoke another round of arrests, but I'll leave it there as I am well ahead of where we are now.
  • Which has a higher chance of ever actually happening, Brexit or Catalan Independence? Are either even 50-50?
  • Brexit. They are negotiating as of now. Here on the other hand, Independence is temporarily stalled, though a lot of politicians away from the top table still want to press ahead unilaterally on the back of the illegal referendum vote.
  • Spain admits spending £77m on extra police to quash Catalan independence movement

    Spain’s Interior Minister, Juan Ignacio Zoido, told a Spanish parliamentary committee that Spanish police “used the least force possible”. Mr Zoido was criticised during his appearance in parliament by almost all opposition parties, with a Socialist Party spokesman saying “there was too much improvisation and not enough forward planning” on the part of the Spanish authorities at the time.

    image

    independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/spain-catalan-independence-extra-police-funding-protests-madrid-catalonia-a8166611.html
  • Thanks for the update @ken_shabby
  • An interesting article on the party Ciudadanos, who may end up being the major beneficiary of the Catalan crisis by transferring their popularity further to the national stage in the next general elections. Makes comparisons to Macron as well as part of a liberal centre to centre right movement in Europe to oppose the more extreme populist movements.

    https://elpais.com/elpais/2018/01/29/inenglish/1517220410_709890.html?id_externo_rsoc=FB_CM_EN
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  • Might be enough to finally break the deadlock:

    Puigdemont abandons Catalan presidency - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-43249664
  • Actually it is just as likely to add further fuel to the crisis as his nomination is in prison here.
  • Puigdemont has just been arrested in Germany whilst on his way back from Finland to Belgium. This, combined with the jailing of more Catalan ministers including the suggested alternative for president, is likely to really inflame the situation at the moment.

    Things could get very difficult again here and I'm really hoping that everyone keeps a level head. There are likely to be big protests in Catalunya again and the government will have to be very careful with their response to this or they will come out looking terrible again, which will in turn further the independents' cause.
  • A year on from all the noise last october. We now have the xenophobic Quim Torra as president of Catalunya. On taking the job on, some of his more radical outbursts on twitter promptly surfaced, including one stating that 'Spanish people are like vipers, jackals or hyenas….disgusting'. The Catalan parliament were quick to claim these statements were 'taken out of context', but given his more recent views, that sounds fairly unlikely.

    Since Mariano Raojoy and his Popular Party were finally unseated in a no confidence vote, Spain has been under the minority socialist government of Pedro Sánchez. In order to maintain any sort of working coalition he has had to forge relationships with all the minority parties, including the Catalan secessionists like PdeCat and ERC. The reult has been that he has begun to make concessions to Catalunya regarding funding and a discussion of autonomy. To be pragmatic this is all to the good. A certain percentage of the wrath in the independent minded section of the Catalan population came from Mariano Rajoy refusing to offer them anything at all, though the fact that the recession made some of their demands impractical never surfaced. So there has been a certain easing of tensión over the summer in some quarters. Not however with the President. Sr Torra has stated over and over again that Catalunya is on an unstoppable path to Independence and the only thing the Catalan people Will accept is a binding referéndum followed by a swuft disconnexion with Spain. The socialists have chosen to see this as 'playing to the gallery' a bit, and taking these sort of populist statements with a pinch of salt. While it's been nice to enjoy a summer free of the CDR's (Comitte for the Defence of the Republic) desires to bring the country to a standstill, I can only see the Socialists view as very short termist to be polite, and naive otherwise. The secessionists do not have a majority in Catalunya, but they have big numbers, and a radicalised population. Continually stirring them with dreams of a son to be realised Independence is to sow electoral promises of a very real type - at some point you have to deliver. A poll I saw yesterday suggested that the Seccesionists have lost some ground in Catalunya and in an election may not be able to command a majority. But it's hugely close.

    So onto yesterday, the anniversary of the illegal referéndum. The CDR's had promised actiona nd protests for today, and the result was we had roads and rail links severed all over Catalunya. There were two rival protests in Barcelona on saturday, and the radical Seccesionists had to be dispersed by the Catalan pólice, the Mossos, with baton charges reminiscent of last year. Yesterday morning in the misdst of all the action, Quim Torra stood in front of a microphone and praised the CDR's for their 'pressure, and `pressing'. In the evening, they attacked the Catalan parliament, accusing Torra of treachery, and demanding he either declare the republic or resign, among other stuff, and the parliament had to be escorted out by the Police, while the demo was broken up by the pólice weilding batons.

    There's a part of me that sees a lot of humour in a president so idiotic he calls these sort of actions 'democracy' and then is forced out of his parliament building by his own radical suportes. A phrase about supping with the devil and using a long spoon. But it sums up how little we have moved here. The succesionists continue to control Catalan televisión, which continues to show a one eyed view of the situation, meaning that while everyone in Catalunya pays for it, it only represents and agressive 42%. The schools are also under the thump of Independence, and school books are issued stating a view of history that would embarrass anyone who studied the subject. As @CharltonMadrid said earlier, you hope for level heads, but especially in Catalunya they are few, and the ones in the Independence side have been shunted aside. It'll be interesting to see how the Govern play this out. Puigdemont has already distanced himself from the attack on parliament, stating that violnce and masked faces have nothing to do with the 1st October movenment. Fine words from a man who broke a series of laws in the Catalan constitution in order to try and seize power.
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Roland Out Forever!