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The influence of the EU on Britain.

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  • seth plum said:

    What time is the Prime Minister making her speech...and winning me over?

    As soon as Arlene Foster has agreed the wording.

    Many a true word ... and all that.


  • Southbank said:

    Stig said:

    Stig said:

    I'm sure this will be filed under Project Fear...

    "https://www.ft.com/content/11614614-1ca0-11e8-956a-43db76e69936"

    What's it say?
    Apologies, never good to quote from the FT due to their paywall...

    "Failing to strike a Brexit deal would put "hundreds of thousands" of jobs in the car industry at risk, MPs have said...

    bbc.com/news/business-43226102

    Still...no deal's better than a bad deal and all that.
    Just a day after Travis Perkins reported Brexit as a cause of their profits drop. Jeez this magical Brexit wonderland had better be bloody good to make up for the economic problems it's causing.

    'Wait and see' they say, 'we can't predict the future, but there might be some benefits'. Absolute madness.
    Every crap boss is blaming Brexit just now.
    Every bad company will do the same... Good time to bury bad news... Ie make redundancies and blame brexit.
    Surely if companies are making redundancies its because they are not doing so well. Yes there will be those that are struggling because of poor management but to make workers redundant means that at some point you needed them. If orders are falling it’s more likely because of economic trends rather than company after company just screwing up.

    Combination of all of that , but some will do it as they haven't got the balls to say they f*****d up.
    Well that’s conclusive then.

    To be honest I don’t think any company would actually be in the position to be laying off staff if previously they hadn’t had the balls to be actual businessmen. Sorry Chippy but that’s not a credible answer you gave is it ? I do see how it fits your narrative though.

    Fine, but just cos you think different from me, means your right and i am wrong.
    Carillion are a prime example.


  • Southbank said:

    Stig said:

    Stig said:

    I'm sure this will be filed under Project Fear...

    "https://www.ft.com/content/11614614-1ca0-11e8-956a-43db76e69936"

    What's it say?
    Apologies, never good to quote from the FT due to their paywall...

    "Failing to strike a Brexit deal would put "hundreds of thousands" of jobs in the car industry at risk, MPs have said...

    bbc.com/news/business-43226102

    Still...no deal's better than a bad deal and all that.
    Just a day after Travis Perkins reported Brexit as a cause of their profits drop. Jeez this magical Brexit wonderland had better be bloody good to make up for the economic problems it's causing.

    'Wait and see' they say, 'we can't predict the future, but there might be some benefits'. Absolute madness.
    Every crap boss is blaming Brexit just now.
    Every bad company will do the same... Good time to bury bad news... Ie make redundancies and blame brexit.
    Surely if companies are making redundancies its because they are not doing so well. Yes there will be those that are struggling because of poor management but to make workers redundant means that at some point you needed them. If orders are falling it’s more likely because of economic trends rather than company after company just screwing up.

    Combination of all of that , but some will do it as they haven't got the balls to say they f*****d up.
    Well that’s conclusive then.

    To be honest I don’t think any company would actually be in the position to be laying off staff if previously they hadn’t had the balls to be actual businessmen. Sorry Chippy but that’s not a credible answer you gave is it ? I do see how it fits your narrative though.

    Fine, but just cos you think different from me, means your right and i am wrong.
    Carillion are a prime example.
    I agree. Carillion are a prime example of a company that got things spectacularly wrong. There will always be companies of all sizes that get things wrong and go to the wall. What’s not in question though is Carillion didn’t get to that point by not being ruthless with its employees and associates when it suited. The reason they went to the wall was nothing to do with them not having the cahones to ditch people. They went belly up because they ran their business badly.

  • Southbank said:

    Chizz said:

    The idea that "the democratic process" works by taking a single snapshot opinion at one point in time and then ignore all circumstances that subsequently come to light is probably the most nonsensical "reality" that has come out of the Brexit process.

    A fair, clear and unarguable decision was made back in 2016. That is a fact and that fact remains. But it's not a fact that conditions, circumstances and situations remain unaltered. Indeed it is also not true that the electorate remains permanently unchanged.

    The claim that "democracy" is established by ignoring all the requirements, desires and aspirations if every part of the electorate except for some representatives of the "winning" side is completely nonsensical. And the idea that "democracy" is served by permanently ignoring any change in opinion is bizarre.

    Surely no-one genuinely believes that democracy is the opposite of continually soliciting the aspirations of the populace.

    I would be interested to know if any Leave voters on this forum had changed their minds since the referendum and why.
    And the same for Remainers.
    I doubt you will get anyone replying, saying they have changed, as the only regular contributors are here because they feel strongly about the issue ( plus the odd troll, of course). The opinion polls have tracked a shift to a modest Remain majority and at some stage one of the polling companies will do some qualitative research to answer the "why" question.

    Anyway, Theresa May is going to bring the country together in her speech, so it's all going to be ok...
    You mention opinion polls..has anyone ever been asked or know anyone who has, in any poll, as i never have or know anyone who has.
    I think that some people go out their way to go on polling sites and participate, where as the silent majority don't and I have personally never heard of anyone being randomly asked in the street or online to get involved.
  • Southbank said:

    Chizz said:

    The idea that "the democratic process" works by taking a single snapshot opinion at one point in time and then ignore all circumstances that subsequently come to light is probably the most nonsensical "reality" that has come out of the Brexit process.

    A fair, clear and unarguable decision was made back in 2016. That is a fact and that fact remains. But it's not a fact that conditions, circumstances and situations remain unaltered. Indeed it is also not true that the electorate remains permanently unchanged.

    The claim that "democracy" is established by ignoring all the requirements, desires and aspirations if every part of the electorate except for some representatives of the "winning" side is completely nonsensical. And the idea that "democracy" is served by permanently ignoring any change in opinion is bizarre.

    Surely no-one genuinely believes that democracy is the opposite of continually soliciting the aspirations of the populace.

    I would be interested to know if any Leave voters on this forum had changed their minds since the referendum and why.
    And the same for Remainers.
    I doubt you will get anyone replying, saying they have changed, as the only regular contributors are here because they feel strongly about the issue ( plus the odd troll, of course). The opinion polls have tracked a shift to a modest Remain majority and at some stage one of the polling companies will do some qualitative research to answer the "why" question.

    Anyway, Theresa May is going to bring the country together in her speech, so it's all going to be ok...
    You mention opinion polls..has anyone ever been asked or know anyone who has, in any poll, as i never have or know anyone who has.
    I think that some people go out their way to go on polling sites and participate, where as the silent majority don't and I have personally never heard of anyone being randomly asked in the street or online to get involved.
    The credible poll companies don’t allow people to participate just because they want to. You are selected on strict criteria.
  • Southbank said:

    Chizz said:

    The idea that "the democratic process" works by taking a single snapshot opinion at one point in time and then ignore all circumstances that subsequently come to light is probably the most nonsensical "reality" that has come out of the Brexit process.

    A fair, clear and unarguable decision was made back in 2016. That is a fact and that fact remains. But it's not a fact that conditions, circumstances and situations remain unaltered. Indeed it is also not true that the electorate remains permanently unchanged.

    The claim that "democracy" is established by ignoring all the requirements, desires and aspirations if every part of the electorate except for some representatives of the "winning" side is completely nonsensical. And the idea that "democracy" is served by permanently ignoring any change in opinion is bizarre.

    Surely no-one genuinely believes that democracy is the opposite of continually soliciting the aspirations of the populace.

    I would be interested to know if any Leave voters on this forum had changed their minds since the referendum and why.
    And the same for Remainers.
    I voted leave by the smallest of margins if I can put it that way. Cameron wasn't impressing me in terms of his negotiations with Brussels. I honestly thought the Jo Cox brutal murder was a tipping point to swing undecideds to a remain vote that would win by a margin of at least 55/45.

    A lot has changed in the Uk and Europe since June 2016. A different prime minister and cabinet. Resurgence of Corbyn and a socialist agenda. UKIP a farce. And vince cable and the lib dems virtuallly invisible.

    In Europe we have seen the rise of Macron the weakening of merkel and ebb and flow of the far right in Austria and Holland.

    I think of myself as pro European but uncomfortable with the Eu as an institution. Frank Field is the politician who I would align myself with as he has stated he believes it to be a corrupt and fraudulent organisation. He has seen a few of those in this country.

    Of the offerings on the table at the moment I would far prefer kier Starmers approach than that of the fox Johnson gove group.

    Let's see what Theresa May comes out with today.

    But on balance if I was given a second referendum vote I would probably abstain as I am so 50/50 I think I would leave it those who feel more powerfully about it than me. I would strongly hope the young would vote in high numbers and one would guess for remain as that would probably tip the balance for remain as I think it would have done in 2016.
    Very good post.
  • Agreed. Very good post peanuts.
  • Are we going to get another meaningless sound bite phrase from our gormless leader today? I am already sick of the latest one....."Managed Divergence".
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  • Are we going to get another meaningless sound bite phrase from our gormless leader today? I am already sick of the latest one....."Managed Divergence".

    You can have fun with this:

    http://www.atrixnet.com/bs-generator.html

    My first stab was:

    continually develop tactical - but then I couldn't find 'bollocks' in the final list.
  • edited March 2018
    Can't wait for Theresa to clear everything up with this speech. Doing away with the rhetoric and pointless sound bites, setting out clearly how it is going to work out whilst bringing the country back together.


    Failing that, Brexit = Brexit.
  • Oh okay. They are going to listen
  • Fiiish said:

    I regularly do YouGov polling (although it is slightly flawed as it is a form of voodoo polling) and they often throw in a question about who you intend to vote for or how you would vote in a second referendum.

    What's the methodology, how do they reach you in the first place?

    YouGov like most of the bigger companies will deploy several different methodologies, and you won't be surprised to hear that some are more expensive than others, so ultimately "who is paying" is important.

    I am getting interested in this topic because my wife is an MR pro and we are having discussions about this. After she pointed me towards Eurobarometer, which is run by the European Commission, I studied some of the output, and started to worry that the results are too optimistic ( I.e. too favourable to a pro- EU viewpoint). It helps nobody to have research with inbuilt bias in the sample.

    @Bournemouth Addick would love to hear your experience too, do you recall how they got to you, and which polling company it was?



    Not me @PragueAddick but my wife. She loves a questionnaire(!) and also signed up for the YouGov thing as per @Fiiish . As a result she quite often gets calls from pollsters and researchers...and about a 100 sales calls a week!
  • So far she’s said fuck all.
  • What utter BS jargon
  • edited March 2018
    Did she really just say that. No infrastructure at the ROI / NI border. If the eu do that it’s up to them. She really is devolving all responsibility.
  • She’s just laid down the terms of a no deal hard Brexit.
  • Did she really just say that. No infrastructure at the ROI / NI border. If the eu do that it’s up to them. She really is devolving all responsibility.

    It's alright. It'll be just like moving from one London borough to another. Easy.
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  • Broadest and Deepest
  • edited March 2018
    Listening to the PM.

    So,she has, whilst trying to claim that the EU might "force" Ireland to introduce border controls, stated that the UK will put in place no border controls at all, and no infrastructure (presumably even ANPR style cameras). So, should there be no trading agreement arrived at, how do we all feel about Professor Mnford's unilateral free trade idea, because that is what the commitment means?

    And, if, in a no deal situation, there are no controls (including standards, sanitary and phytosanitary checks for foodstuffs), does this not mean that the same should be offered to every other country?

    She is either just too dim to understand the rules of world trade, delusional or lying.
  • edited March 2018

    Listening to the PM.

    So,she has, whilst trying to claim that the EU might "force" Ireland to introduce border controls, stated that the UK will put in place no border controls at all, and no infrastructure (presumably even ANPR style cameras). So, should there be no trading agreement arrived at, how do we all feel about Professor Mnford's unilateral free trade idea, because that is what the commitment means?

    And, if, in a no deal situation, there are no controls (including standards, sanitary and phytosanitary checks for foodstuffs), does this not mean that the same should be offered to every other country.

    She is either just too dim to understand the rules of world trade, delusional or lying.

    She wants to say as much as possible without actually saying anything.

  • Listening to the PM.

    So,she has, whilst trying to claim that the EU might "force" Ireland to introduce border controls, stated that the UK will put in place no border controls at all, and no infrastructure (presumably even ANPR style cameras). So, should there be no trading agreement arrived at, how do we all feel about Professor Mnford's unilateral free trade idea, because that is what the commitment means?

    And, if, in a no deal situation, there are no controls (including standards, sanitary and phytosanitary checks for foodstuffs), does this not mean that the same should be offered to every other country.

    She is either just too dim to understand the rules of world trade, delusional or lying.

    She wants to say as much as possible without actually saying anything.

    rhetoric (noun):

    language designed to have a persuasive or impressive effect, but which is often regarded as lacking in sincerity or meaningful content.
  • Bold and Creative
  • Bold and Creative

    Cold and Berative - surely?
  • No solution to the border beyond saying to the EU can have one if they want but the UK won't have one.
    A valve structure where all the world that can get stuff into Ireland will flow unhindered into the UK (#canofworms), but stuff going to the EU, through Ireland and presumably elsewhere like Dover is subject to EU checks, and presumably UK checks at places like Dover, Felixstow and Heathrow.
    This would be about physical stuff, I don't know about services and people but is there any chance it would work. A one way flow?
This discussion has been closed.

Roland Out Forever!