Reckon the novice handicap chase over 2.5m be the one to go. It's a bollocks of a race with it being such a tight handicap 140-145 each year. Scrap it and the good ones can run in the JLT, the less good ones can run in the Plate on Thursday.
1.55 - lots of each way hunting in here. I'm going with A Momentofmadness (18/1, 1/5 1-6, Paddy Power) principally. Buick is 4/10 on board, and well-handicapped off 95. Also beat Dakota Gold easily enough this time last year - who should improve for age, but is it an effective 16lbs of improvement? I don't think so. Favourites have a poor record in this race, and 6yos+ tend to be the winners, as well. Also worth considering is Duke of Firenze who likes running at York (28/1 same bookies), and Stone of Destiny may be worth a poke at 12s.
2.25 - Nine horse race and Sky are offering 1/5 1-4. Absolutely therefore smash into Yorkshire Gold (11/1) who holds a Group 2 entry - like a lot of these - but won pretty well considering how green he was at Leicester. Not my sort of race usually, and the market will be informative.
3.00 - Another each way thievery race. I think Nayef Road, despite meeting Constantinople again on unfavourable terms, is huge at 7/1. Would even take it each way (everywhere is 1/4 1-2). Logician looks like a serious horse, though.
3.35 - My mates all agree Crystal Ocean (11/8 Paddy Power) wins easily. Would have advised Elarqam each way last night, but unfortunately has been smashed from 11/1 into 8/1, so no real value though, but better than either King of Comedy or Japan imo. Lord Glitters (40/1 Coral, 1/5 1-3) could be worth an each way poke.
4.15 - I'm taking a chance on Rare Groove (14/1, 1/5 1-5 various) with Jedd O'Keefe in such good form. Needs a bit more than last time out but I can see it happening. Eddystone Rock is a huge shout given both recent form and success in previous years (2017 1m4f handicap win at the Ebor springs to mind), while I think at 40/1 both Claire Underwood and Aircraft Carrier can outrun odds, with some firms paying 5 places.
4.50 - Could be anyone's. Homespin (9/1 general win), Troubador (14/1 1/5 1-6 Sky Bet), Monoski and Hard Nut are the ones that spring to mind, with preference for the former two. But I've got very little interest in this race given just how tricky it is to call. One to watch and note.
Be worried about Crystal Ocean back at 10f together with good ground
Both things very well worth noting. Loves the rain does CO, and I said that before the battle with Enable at Ascot, but I think he's a fantastic horse nonetheless.
Had a little go today small stakes 1.50 gunmetal 2.25 kingbrook 3.00 nayef road 3.35 king of comedy 4.15 melting dew 4.50 praxelogy
edit the 1st raced watched it does annoy me a tad when a horse refuses to load the rest have already been loaded to start to become distressed etc, then the one that is playing up goes in last and wins.
4.15 - I'm taking a chance on Rare Groove (14/1, 1/5 1-5 various) with Jedd O'Keefe in such good form. Needs a bit more than last time out but I can see it happening. Eddystone Rock is a huge shout given both recent form and success in previous years (2017 1m4f handicap win at the Ebor springs to mind), while I think at 40/1 both Claire Underwood and Aircraft Carrier can outrun odds, with some firms paying 5 places.
Neck away from my main shouts being proper, but at least I still tickled on Eddystone Rock. Sigh. Still not a great day though.
1.55 liberty beach - money back if 2nd sky bet 2.25 rayong 3.00 firmanent ew 3.35 enable - expect to win v comfortably no bet 4.15 frankelina 4.50 breathtaking look ew & starlight romance ew
1.55 - Under The Stars @ 4/1, Precious Moments is not a bad shout e/w 2.25 - Rayong/National League e/w 3.00 - Silver Line e/w 3.35 - no bet, just want Enable to do the business. She's a superstar. 4.15 - Vivionn, maybe Bella Vita e/w 4.50 - Warning Fire e/w
Comments
thoughts?
surely its only an amount of time before they make this a 5 day event.
It's a bollocks of a race with it being such a tight handicap 140-145 each year. Scrap it and the good ones can run in the JLT, the less good ones can run in the Plate on Thursday.
1.55 - lots of each way hunting in here. I'm going with A Momentofmadness (18/1, 1/5 1-6, Paddy Power) principally. Buick is 4/10 on board, and well-handicapped off 95. Also beat Dakota Gold easily enough this time last year - who should improve for age, but is it an effective 16lbs of improvement? I don't think so. Favourites have a poor record in this race, and 6yos+ tend to be the winners, as well. Also worth considering is Duke of Firenze who likes running at York (28/1 same bookies), and Stone of Destiny may be worth a poke at 12s.
2.25 - Nine horse race and Sky are offering 1/5 1-4. Absolutely therefore smash into Yorkshire Gold (11/1) who holds a Group 2 entry - like a lot of these - but won pretty well considering how green he was at Leicester. Not my sort of race usually, and the market will be informative.
3.00 - Another each way thievery race. I think Nayef Road, despite meeting Constantinople again on unfavourable terms, is huge at 7/1. Would even take it each way (everywhere is 1/4 1-2). Logician looks like a serious horse, though.
3.35 - My mates all agree Crystal Ocean (11/8 Paddy Power) wins easily. Would have advised Elarqam each way last night, but unfortunately has been smashed from 11/1 into 8/1, so no real value though, but better than either King of Comedy or Japan imo. Lord Glitters (40/1 Coral, 1/5 1-3) could be worth an each way poke.
4.15 - I'm taking a chance on Rare Groove (14/1, 1/5 1-5 various) with Jedd O'Keefe in such good form. Needs a bit more than last time out but I can see it happening. Eddystone Rock is a huge shout given both recent form and success in previous years (2017 1m4f handicap win at the Ebor springs to mind), while I think at 40/1 both Claire Underwood and Aircraft Carrier can outrun odds, with some firms paying 5 places.
4.50 - Could be anyone's. Homespin (9/1 general win), Troubador (14/1 1/5 1-6 Sky Bet), Monoski and Hard Nut are the ones that spring to mind, with preference for the former two. But I've got very little interest in this race given just how tricky it is to call. One to watch and note.
I share that concern.
King of Comedy a bit unlucky in running at Ascot and the extended trip should suit.
One to watch more than punt.
I'm there tomorrow and looking forward to seeing Enable.
1.50 gunmetal
2.25 kingbrook
3.00 nayef road
3.35 king of comedy
4.15 melting dew
4.50 praxelogy
edit the 1st raced watched it does annoy me a tad when a horse refuses to load the rest have already been loaded to start to become distressed etc, then the one that is playing up goes in last and wins.
loses on red hot faves
and beats red hot faves
crystal ocean - best horse in the world apparently - that title belongs to enable on the flat.
Drop in trip, ground and savage race at Ascot meant didn't run to form today imo
1.55 liberty beach - money back if 2nd sky bet
2.25 rayong
3.00 firmanent ew
3.35 enable - expect to win v comfortably no bet
4.15 frankelina
4.50 breathtaking look ew & starlight romance ew
2.25 - Rayong/National League e/w
3.00 - Silver Line e/w
3.35 - no bet, just want Enable to do the business. She's a superstar.
4.15 - Vivionn, maybe Bella Vita e/w
4.50 - Warning Fire e/w