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Shelvey valuation (old thread)

edited April 2009 in General Charlton
Can see real problems arising with this during the summer.

Lots of talk already in the £5m category. There is no doubt in my mind he will develop into a player worth that valuation.

However, it was imperative at that stage during the season that we got Shelvey to sign. We all know full well he could have chased the dollar and simply walked into a prem team's reserves and doubled / tripled his salary. The fact he stayed is admirable of his character.

However, he was pretty much holding all the cards, and any agent worth his salt would have realised that. I'm convinced there is a bid trigger in his contract, and it will be a lot lower than the £5m people are speculating he is worth.

I have a fear its probably half that, maybe even less.

No knowledge on this, just my opinion.
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Comments

  • I reckon £2m cash plus add ons but we'd want the cash all upfront.

    There is no point in taking any amount below £4-5m in installments or based on appearances etc.
  • 2 Mill is being shouted out on the KUMB website
  • I heard from a "reliable source" who know someone who works at the training ground that is it £15m.

    Who knows? He will almost certainly get offers and at least we will get more than we would have got from a tribunal.

    Whatever we get will be less than he will be worth and we most likely won't be able to spend all or even most of it on other players but it might just allow us to keep some of the others than we have.
  • edited April 2009
    [cite]Posted By: CAFCBourne[/cite]2 Mill is being shouted out on the KUMB website

    And they were telling us he had signed for them in February.
  • [cite]Posted By: WSS[/cite]I reckon £2m cash plus add ons but we'd want the cash all upfront.

    There is no point in taking any amount below £4-5m in installments or based on appearances etc.

    A lot of transfers are done in instalments, I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of Pardew's bigger signings probably were, Bougerra, Varney, Gray etc, and sales like Reid and Bent (his definitely was).
  • Agree with the £2 million plus add on figure, i sadly can see him going in the summer, as well as Bailey,
  • Theo Walcott went to Arsenal for £5m which could go up to £12m based on appearances at the age of 16 yrs 9 mths
    Aaron Ramsey went to Arsenal for £4.8m at the age of 17.

    I would have thought Jonjo is in that league.

    I wouldnt have thought that Cardiff and Southampton held many cards in their hands at the time either.

    If he has to go we need 2 interested parties with the money to get into a bidding war. Personally I hope thats in a years time when he has led us back to the Champ and when there is more money about (economy wise).
  • [cite]Posted By: WhenIwasLittleBoy[/cite] , as well as Bailey,

    I aint going anywhere D
  • edited April 2010
    I reckon £1.6m with a few add ons, he'll probably end up at Liverpool LOL!
  • If we sold him would there be a chance of negotiating a loan agreement, whereby he stays with us to develop by playing first team football week-in, week-out? Does that kind of thing ever happen these days?
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  • [cite]Posted By: Imissthepeanutman[/cite]Theo Walcott went to Arsenal for £5m which could go up to £12m based on appearances at the age of 16 yrs 9 mths
    Aaron Ramsey went to Arsenal for £4.8m at the age of 17.

    I would have thought Jonjo is in that league.

    Fair points
  • We sold Luke Young for £2.5 million whereas Middlesbrough soldhim for £5 million.

    A 17 year old with a handful of games discounted for the Charlton factor discounted again for the league 1 desperate for dosh factor and I reckon £1 million with, if we are lucky, a percentage of future fees.
  • edited April 2009
    [cite]Posted By: Imissthepeanutman[/cite]Theo Walcott went to Arsenal for £5m which could go up to £12m based on appearances at the age of 16 yrs 9 mths
    Aaron Ramsey went to Arsenal for £4.8m at the age of 17.

    I would have thought Jonjo is in that league.

    I wouldnt have thought that Cardiff and Southampton held many cards in their hands at the time either.

    If he has to go we need 2 interested parties with the money to get into a bidding war. Personally I hope thats in a years time when he has led us back to the Champ and when there is more money about (economy wise).


    I'd question whether you can bracket Shelvey in the same class as Walcott and Ramsey. Walcott was touted as the next big thing long before he was sold to Arsenal and when fit is an England regular at the age of 19/20.
    Ramsey has the likes of Man Utd and everton after him before he agreed to sign for Arsenal after a personal visit from Wenger.
    Whilst i don't doubt Shelvey is a major talent i don't think you'll get those sort of clubs after him and we therefore won't get really big money for him.
    Cardiff had just reached the FA Cup final and when Saints sold Walcott they were nowhere near the mess we're in today. I think he'll go for 2m tops.
  • This is such a depressing (if realistic) thread. I've been watching Jonjo since he was 14 in the Academy and the flowering of his talent has been about the only worthwhile thing connected with CAFC for the last couple of years. Being able to watch him develop even further is virtually the only thing that would make next season seem attractive. I'll renew anyway, but with a much heavier heart if he goes.
  • [quote][cite]Posted By: nth london addick[/cite][quote][cite]Posted By: WhenIwasLittleBoy[/cite], as well as Bailey,[/quote]

    I aint going anywhere D[/quote]

    U nearly got a call last night at 9 as he wouldnt go to bed and i told him i was ringing Nicky Bailey, he flew up the stairs as soon as i got my phone out my pocket
  • I think Chris makes a decent point - do people honestly think Shelvey is going to be as good as Walcott or Rooney? Not saying Shelvey is not going to turn into a decent player, but I cant see him being an England regular anytime soon.
  • There have been plenty of 17 year old wonder kids over the years - how many go on to really produce the goods long term?

    I think in todays climate £5m is a heck of a lot for a lad with a dozen starts under his belt.....if he goes in the summer we would do well to get half that, even with all kinds of clauses & additional payments factored in.
  • [cite]Posted By: PalaceHater[/cite]I think Chris makes a decent point - do people honestly think Shelvey is going to be as good as Walcott or Rooney? Not saying Shelvey is not going to turn into a decent player, but I cant see him being an England regular anytime soon.

    I can.

    He has so much more quality than we have really seen so far. His touch is superb, his passing is very accurate and has a wide range. He threw himself into a few tackles at the weekend and ran his bollocks off.

    His free kicks need a bit more work and he is not the fastest player I've seen - but whilst he may not be like Walcott was at that age - I suspect our Jonjo will develop into a superb player and would not be at all surprised to see him in an England shirt in a couple of years time.

    He is genuinely one of the most talented players I've seen in a long time and I for one think anything less that £5m NOW with at least 20% sell-on and we've been shafted.

    However - I'd also like to think he will give us next season to get ourselves moving in the right direction and he will display some of the loyalty that is sadly lacking in this game.

    His agent will obviously know he is sitting on a goldmine but I'd like to think Jonjo knows in his own head that he is going to be a hugely wealthy man in a couple of years and playing regular, competitive football at this stage in his career will be good for him.
  • From wiki:

    'Highly tipped to be future England Captain and perfect replacement for Lampard'

    And didnt our dear Parky compare him to Steven Gerrard.
  • The questions are:

    Is there a release clause in his contract saying how much he can go for?

    If so, how much is it?

    Hopefully it is high enough to deter other clubs who don't think he's worth that much yet but will, if met, mean we get a large bit of cash.

    If he is as good as we think then he is unlikely to see his career out with us regardless of what division we are in. We can hope that we get one or more good seasons from him and then a lot of money.
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  • I reckon the release clause will be pretty low, in view of the fact that he was under no obligation to stay with us.

    I also think that it will be a number and add-ons will not be part of it, in view of our faring badly on that road in the past. Idle and pointless speculation alone: I'd say £2M. Everyone will have to keep their cards close to their chest on this one and we'll only know when it's too late. There's no other way to do handle this unfortunately. At the end of the day some people would moan if we got £20M, but personally I think when you're not renewing contracts and letting staff go, it'd be mighty difficult to turn down decent cash for potential and I also doubt Shelvey's advisors would have set it as high as £5M as he could have walked out on the team for (if Bostock is anything to go by) a fraction of that - which would have meant a lot more loot in his and their pockets. If/when it does people need to be a bit understanding of this.
  • [cite]Posted By: McLovin[/cite]I reckon the release clause will be pretty low, in view of the fact that he was under no obligation to stay with us.

    I also think that it will be a number and add-ons will not be part of it, in view of our faring badly on that road in the past. Idle and pointless speculation alone: I'd say £2M. Everyone will have to keep their cards close to their chest on this one and we'll only know when it's too late. There's no other way to do handle this unfortunately. At the end of the day some people would moan if we got £20M, but personally I think when you're not renewing contracts and letting staff go, it'd be mighty difficult to turn down decent cash for potential and I also doubt Shelvey's advisors would have set it as high as £5M as he could have walked out on the team for (if Bostock is anything to go by) a fraction of that - which would have meant a lot more loot in his and their pockets. If/when it does people need to be a bit understanding of this.

    Could be so but maybe it was "we'll pay you £x pw with this clause but make it a bigger sell out clause and we'll pay you £XX pw"

    The buy out clause is no skin off Jon Jo's nose as if he is good enough someone will match it but a higher salary now is a bird in the hand.
  • True, true. All speculation though. If I was his advisor I'd be aiming for both. If someone has the whip hand it usually means someone's getting whipped. I really didn't think he'd sign the contract so even if it's pretty measly (£1M or so) I'd not be upset - it's a result of the tribunal system.
  • None of us reall know how the Jonjo thing will unfold, do we?

    Financially, he's worth to us is exactly what some club is prepared to pay for him, not a penny more.

    We've done ourselves no favours dropping into the Third Division, but the one thing that will keep Jonjo at Charlton more than any other factor ...... is starting games. The lad just wants to play, and he knows he won't get that chance festering in someone elses reserve team.

    And he likes it here.

    Whether the Board will sell him anyway, to grab the cash sooner rather than later, is a moot point.
  • I reckon £2-3 million with add on's taking it to around 5-6.
  • Well said oggy
  • [cite]Posted By: oohaahmortimer[/cite]£3m

    FACT?
  • Nothing anyone as said is fact. Accept oggy
  • [cite]Posted By: uncle[/cite]Nothing anyone as said is fact.

    so this is a lie and the truth is out there?
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