If we beat Stockport and Wycombe drop points this week then I think it’s on. We would probably need to beat Wycombe and Wrexham away or at least get 4 points from those 2 games at the end of the season
Not a great time to be playing Posh either, they seem to have steadied the ship somewhat
There would be an irony in us finally killing off Ian Evatt by beating them away and then getting done by the replacement manager at the end of the season
Manager of the month should be the nutter who is Nathan Jones, he's currently the best version of himself. But no, the curse, give it to someone else. Addicks Wembley bound btw, as a minimum, unless we suffer a raft of injuries.
If we beat Stockport and Wycombe drop points this week then I think it’s on. We would probably need to beat Wycombe and Wrexham away or at least get 4 points from those 2 games at the end of the season
Not a great time to be playing Posh either, they seem to have steadied the ship somewhat
Could be an advantage for us to postpone our game against them until later in the season. They might be safe by then and be a lot easier to play against
Biggest concern for the run in is the lack of depth in a few key positions, especially lacking decent cover for TC, Edwards and Coventry. Jones and Ramsay also key players and we saw what happened to the team when these two had injuries earlier in the season. Keep these 5 fit and we look well placed for play-offs
I honestly think we could get as many as 32 points from this run in. There are only 3 games where I think we will drop points. I don't want play offs, honestly right now all I want is automatics and I honestly think we are capable of achieving them if they can continue this incredible purple patch were having. 10 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in the next 13, between 87 and 91 points is what i think we will finish on. Only games i see us dropping points are Huddersfield, Wrexham and Wycombe, 1 loss out of those and 2 draws. I f*cking hope I'm right!
I honestly think we could get as many as 32 points from this run in. There are only 3 games where I think we will drop points. I don't want play offs, honestly right now all I want is automatics and I honestly think we are capable of achieving them if they can continue this incredible purple patch were having. 10 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in the next 13, between 87 and 91 points is what i think we will finish on. Only games i see us dropping points are Huddersfield, Wrexham and Wycombe, 1 loss out of those and 2 draws. I f*cking hope I'm right!
15th March is looking very interesting for teams sitting 2nd to 7th.
Wycombe v Wrexham Bolton v Stockport Charlton v Wigan
At least a couple of our promotion rivals will drop points eight days from now. We must take advantage of the opportunity.
Beware the ides of March. 15th March is my and my youngest's birthday - if things go well, it could be the day we get serious about assassinating Wycombe in 2nd place. It always feels wrong talking like this - like when you say something during a match that's going well and you think saying it will make it go tits up - but, this is a football forum and will have no bearing on the matches - win tomorrow and anything is possible - COYR !!!!
15th March is looking very interesting for teams sitting 2nd to 7th.
Wycombe v Wrexham Bolton v Stockport Charlton v Wigan
At least a couple of our promotion rivals will drop points eight days from now. We must take advantage of the opportunity.
Beware the ides of March. 15th March is my and my youngest's birthday - if things go well, it could be the day we get serious about assassinating Wycombe in 2nd place. It always feels wrong talking like this - like when you say something during a match that's going well and you think saying it will make it go tits up - but, this is a football forum and will have no bearing on the matches - win tomorrow and anything is possible - COYR !!!!
15th March is looking very interesting for teams sitting 2nd to 7th.
Wycombe v Wrexham Bolton v Stockport Charlton v Wigan
At least a couple of our promotion rivals will drop points eight days from now. We must take advantage of the opportunity.
Beware the ides of March. 15th March is my and my youngest's birthday - if things go well, it could be the day we get serious about assassinating Wycombe in 2nd place. It always feels wrong talking like this - like when you say something during a match that's going well and you think saying it will make it go tits up - but, this is a football forum and will have no bearing on the matches - win tomorrow and anything is possible - COYR !!!!
Also my mums birthday.
the lads r gonna do it for your mum and us - i expect it will be in NJ's team talk next week
That two point gap between ourselves and Huddersfield is incredibly tight, but at least the target for 6th place is achievable. We need 18 points from 12.
Worth revisiting on Tuesday night after teams have played their game in hand. And of course, we play Huddersfield at The Valley on the 29th.
Last get past tomorrow & next tuesday before looking at the Wigan match. Tomorrow will be really tough & I'll be happy with a point. Then Tuesday night is our game in hand and could well be a banana skin. We have a habit of cocking it up against the weaker sides.
Lets see where we are at the end of the month once we've played Huddersfield.
Reading v Wrexham will be an interesting follow with an almost “no lose” scenario for ourselves and Bolton.
Either Reading win and we can gain on Wrexham. Or Wrexham win and Reading start looking cut drift. Or it’s a draw and both can happen to a lesser degree.
6 point difference with Wrexham and Wycombe again over the next 10 and we’d have to be favourites to nip in for 2nd
Running out of games though. That would leave us two points behind going into the last day of the season where we’d have to win and hope they both lose because of goal difference.
6 point difference with Wrexham and Wycombe again over the next 10 and we’d have to be favourites to nip in for 2nd
Running out of games though. That would leave us two points behind going into the last day of the season where we’d have to win and hope they both lose because of goal difference.
Wycombe have Stockport and Wrexham have Lincoln while we have Burton, think results there could go our way. Obviously you’d want to get there quicker and playing them both helps
6 point difference with Wrexham and Wycombe again over the next 10 and we’d have to be favourites to nip in for 2nd
Running out of games though. That would leave us two points behind going into the last day of the season where we’d have to win and hope they both lose because of goal difference.
Although goal difference could be better than them.
I think the poor run in autumn has left us too much to do but it's good to have it to aim for even if it just leaves us safely in the playoffs in May.
6 point difference with Wrexham and Wycombe again over the next 10 and we’d have to be favourites to nip in for 2nd
Running out of games though. That would leave us two points behind going into the last day of the season where we’d have to win and hope they both lose because of goal difference.
Although goal difference could be better than them.
I think the poor run in autumn has left us too much to do but it's good to have it to aim for even if it just leaves us safely in the playoffs in May.
We would have to win 7-8 of those games at a decent clip to overhaul the gap that’s already there, if we’re expecting those sides to also maintain decent form.
I reckon Orient & Barnsley have gone & agree it looking like the top 8. I notice that Huddersfield dont seem to be playing on the weekend of the International break......which is the week before we play them. Might be a good idea that we dont play Peterborough that's weekend either. Both sides totally fresh for a big 6-pointer. Like today it's a must not lose match & like today it's the home side that is more looking to win it. Might have a big bearing on who makes it into the play offs as I suspect Bolton will be there so it might come down to 3 teams (Us, Stockport & Huddersfield) fighting 2 places.
I think there's just a bit too much to do for us to get second - I think the 10 game form table above slightly masks how big of a challenge it actually is - Wrexham or Wycombe (not even both just one of them) don't have to do a whole lot to better the points from the patchy last 10 games they have had - even 6 wins in 10 for one of them would be better - whereas we have to win 7 out of 10 (and draw a couple) just to maintain ours. For every point they do better than the relatively low 17 points from 10 we have to match that on top of what we have already done the last 10.
Comments
Wycombe v Wrexham
Bolton v Stockport
Charlton v Wigan
At least a couple of our promotion rivals will drop points eight days from now. We must take advantage of the opportunity.
Charlton 57.3% -> 71.74% (autos 2.48% -> 3.82%)
Barnsley 7.92% -> 4.20%
https://theanalyst.com/competition/english-league-one/table
Worth revisiting on Tuesday night after teams have played their game in hand. And of course, we play Huddersfield at The Valley on the 29th.
Lets see where we are at the end of the month once we've played Huddersfield.
Crawley v Charlton
Bristol Rovers v Bolton
Reading v Wrexham
I think the poor run in autumn has left us too much to do but it's good to have it to aim for even if it just leaves us safely in the playoffs in May.
I reckon Orient & Barnsley have gone & agree it looking like the top 8. I notice that Huddersfield dont seem to be playing on the weekend of the International break......which is the week before we play them. Might be a good idea that we dont play Peterborough that's weekend either. Both sides totally fresh for a big 6-pointer. Like today it's a must not lose match & like today it's the home side that is more looking to win it. Might have a big bearing on who makes it into the play offs as I suspect Bolton will be there so it might come down to 3 teams (Us, Stockport & Huddersfield) fighting 2 places.
78-80 points might be needed imo.