I think we'll lose to Derby but then win the following 3
Oh ye of little faith! Also I notice from the match thread you’ve downgraded the next three matches to two wins . Crazy viewpoint 😁. Two or three wins coming up soon though will do for me 👍.
I think we'll lose to Derby but then win the following 3
Oh ye of little faith! Also I notice from the match thread you’ve downgraded the next three matches to two wins . Crazy viewpoint 😁. Two or three wins coming up soon though will do for me 👍.
No reason we can’t win the next 3, I was just trying to not get carried away!
We draw a lot of games (joint most in the entire division) but we likely won’t draw as many as 7 of the last 13 so you’d like to think that three or four of them will be turned into the wins we need and gives us breathing room to take a couple of unaccounted defeats.
One point ahead of conservative expectation - conservative prediction moves up to 47.
My optimistic prediction for the last 12 is DDWWWWDDDWWW - 60 points.
Four points ahead of conservative prediction - final points prediction moves up to 50.
Two points ahead of optimistic prediction - final points prediction moves up to 62.
So within a week every single person got their predictions wrong - way to go Charlton!
Has always been the same down the years. As I’ve said before the only thing you can expect from Charlton is the unexpected and especially over these last three games when you least expected it. Fingers crossed for the next three 🤞.
If the tune NJ is having this team now play to is CONSISTENT whether you are playing a team higher or lower in position, then I think we will be comfortably safe. If NJ cannot get the displays, effort, whatever, consistently out of them then yes there is a risk we will end up going to the wire.
I think NJ and coaches have it sussed will get the best out of us til season end and send an early message of intent for 2024-25.
The problem we have is that we've gone into some tough games on paper full of drive and aggression and got some good results without too much pressure to get them. It'll be a different story against the teams below us. Real 6 pointers where we really should be trying to win but absolutely cannot lose. The Northampton game is huge because if we can win that we'll go into those games with a bit more momentum and hopefully a bit more belief. If we slip back and make the Derby win look like more of an anomaly the pressure on the Cheltenham and Fleetwood games in particular will be immense and these players haven't typically dealt well with that. Once we get through those pressure ties it's mostly games against teams around and (and hopefully by then below us) and we might be able to breathe a little bit.
We draw a lot of games (joint most in the entire division) but we likely won’t draw as many as 7 of the last 13 so you’d like to think that three or four of them will be turned into the wins we need and gives us breathing room to take a couple of unaccounted defeats.
One point ahead of conservative expectation - conservative prediction moves up to 47.
My optimistic prediction for the last 12 is DDWWWWDDDWWW - 60 points.
Four points ahead of conservative prediction - final points prediction moves up to 50.
Two points ahead of optimistic prediction - final points prediction moves up to 62.
I said draw in both predictions above so remains 50 on the low end and 62 on the high end.
Our win against Shrewsbury in our last home game of the season keeps us up and sends them down.
We’re 1 point better off than where I had us at the moment.
With the way we’re playing/fighting, I revise my points total prediction to 57. I think we’ll win one of our home games against Wigan or Stevenage. The rest remains.
A total of 26 points from our last 16 of the season under Jones as manager. 6 wins, 8 draws, 2 losses.
I don't think I was optimistic enough a few games a go, so I've had another bash at predicting our results. Tried to be as honest as I can with my predictions for us:
I don't think I was optimistic enough a few games a go, so I've had another bash at predicting our results. Tried to be as honest as I can with my predictions for us:
Comments
Northampton (a) - 1 point
Cheltenham (a) - 3 points
Carlisle (h) - 3 points
Fleetwood (a) - 3 points
Wigan (h) - 1 point
Exeter (a) - 1 point
Stevenage (h) - 3 point
Barnsley (h) - 0 points
Cambridge (a) - 1 points
Shrewsbury (h) - 3 points
Wycombe (a) - 1 point
Leaving us on 57 points
LLLBH
Believe!
No reason we can’t win the next 3, I was just trying to not get carried away!
Two points ahead of optimistic prediction - final points prediction moves up to 62.
Plus one in cheek 62points if we play at our best.
Don’t know what people are putting in the coffee but think you better stick to tea.
edit i checked and it was 0 from 2 and we have 4
Although I now think we should easily get to 48 points and probably more likely early 50's.
I originally said we'd get 48 points & stay up on GD. Now I think we'd stay up by a few places & wont be too worried on the final day of the season.
Don’t think we are out of the woods just yet because of those extra points and Reading being deducted another 2.
But that does help our situation without doubt.
Optimistic prediction stays at 62
Hopefully my Carlisle prediction will be correct!
With the way we’re playing/fighting, I revise my points total prediction to 57. I think we’ll win one of our home games against Wigan or Stevenage. The rest remains.
A total of 26 points from our last 16 of the season under Jones as manager. 6 wins, 8 draws, 2 losses.