2018/2019 Betting Thread

6fold £5-£178.62
Lincoln
Watford
Derby
Boro
Bradford
Charlton (sorrrry)

5fold £5-£410.37
Newcastle(risky after midweek but cardiff, prob double chance be better)
Nott forest
Luton
Scunthorpe
Cochester

5fold £5- £208.39
QPR
Barnsley
Doncaster
Luton(eek didn't realise in 2 but Peterborough haven't been in great form)
Fleetwood

BTTS and win £2-£1,125
Exeter
Fleetwood
Notts forest
Everton

Not too sure this is good betting this week but going with the gut sometimes works out well... good luck all

OK, so the past few weeks I've been looking at odds and stats for cards.
I only bet a couple of quid on a weekend but I'm a saddo for a good stat and happily spend ages looking at anything where I can compare sets of numbers. Betting is secondary really but this just makes a change from doing a £2 both teams to score acca that always seems to miss by one.

Past 3 weeks I've looked at "teams to get the most booking points"
3 weeks ago - 14/1 winner (treble)
2 weeks ago - 1 game let me down on a 4fold
last week - 11/1 winner (treble)

what surprises me are the odds and value available, I can only imagine odds for these markets are thrown together with less effort than bigger markets in bigger leagues.

For example, Wimbledon v Barnsley today:
Wimbledon average 0.7 yellow cards per home game
Barnsley average 2.5 yellow cards per away game
But the odds for Barnsley to get more booking points for the game is 2/1

Now I know nothing is certain and its likely to be just as random as both teams to score betting. But when it comes to value I think there is potential there.
I also know now I’ve mentioned it here and put my thoughts into writing it’ll all go to pot BUT anyone can pick Man City to beat Huddersfield, I’m looking at value where the odds don’t reflect the stats.

Anyone else noticed certain markets/areas that could be exposed or at the very least studied a bit more?

stackitsteve said:

OK, so the past few weeks I've been looking at odds and stats for cards.
I only bet a couple of quid on a weekend but I'm a saddo for a good stat and happily spend ages looking at anything where I can compare sets of numbers. Betting is secondary really but this just makes a change from doing a £2 both teams to score acca that always seems to miss by one.

Past 3 weeks I've looked at "teams to get the most booking points"
3 weeks ago - 14/1 winner (treble)
2 weeks ago - 1 game let me down on a 4fold
last week - 11/1 winner (treble)

what surprises me are the odds and value available, I can only imagine odds for these markets are thrown together with less effort than bigger markets in bigger leagues.

For example, Wimbledon v Barnsley today:
Wimbledon average 0.7 yellow cards per home game
Barnsley average 2.5 yellow cards per away game
But the odds for Barnsley to get more booking points for the game is 2/1

Now I know nothing is certain and its likely to be just as random as both teams to score betting. But when it comes to value I think there is potential there.
I also know now I’ve mentioned it here and put my thoughts into writing it’ll all go to pot BUT anyone can pick Man City to beat Huddersfield, I’m looking at value where the odds don’t reflect the stats.

Anyone else noticed certain markets/areas that could be exposed or at the very least studied a bit more?

stackitsteve said:

OK, so the past few weeks I've been looking at odds and stats for cards.
I only bet a couple of quid on a weekend but I'm a saddo for a good stat and happily spend ages looking at anything where I can compare sets of numbers. Betting is secondary really but this just makes a change from doing a £2 both teams to score acca that always seems to miss by one.

Past 3 weeks I've looked at "teams to get the most booking points"
3 weeks ago - 14/1 winner (treble)
2 weeks ago - 1 game let me down on a 4fold
last week - 11/1 winner (treble)

what surprises me are the odds and value available, I can only imagine odds for these markets are thrown together with less effort than bigger markets in bigger leagues.

For example, Wimbledon v Barnsley today:
Wimbledon average 0.7 yellow cards per home game
Barnsley average 2.5 yellow cards per away game
But the odds for Barnsley to get more booking points for the game is 2/1

Now I know nothing is certain and its likely to be just as random as both teams to score betting. But when it comes to value I think there is potential there.
I also know now I’ve mentioned it here and put my thoughts into writing it’ll all go to pot BUT anyone can pick Man City to beat Huddersfield, I’m looking at value where the odds don’t reflect the stats.

Anyone else noticed certain markets/areas that could be exposed or at the very least studied a bit more?

Interesting, also feel free to divulge your bet before 3pm please so we can back it as i dont really look into the stats. Definitely sounds like great value

RaplhMilne said:

Addickted2U said:

Manicmania said:

Bournemouth cost me a 105-1 8 fold today.

Gutted

Coventry cost me 540/1 6 fold yesterday. 2 draws Cardiff and Sunderland, 2 aways inc. us and Blackburn, 2 home Brentford a d Coventry. Really thought Coventry would pull off the late winner like they did against us, but no. I would have had quite an exciting Smallwall match if Coventry had obliged!!!

That's a bookies benefit bet. The aways and draws were average of about 9/4 and two homes at say evens. The best fourfold pays 111/1 the 5 you got in 222/1. Surely you at least cover 6 five folds and 1 sixfold. At those prices I'd perm 15 four folds as well.

I did Charlton, Ipswich Burnley, Coventry Grimsby yesterday 10 trebles, 5 fours and all 5. I got a small profit on the treble I did get in.

@RaplhMilne I only ever do small accas. This one was £2, so I’m not interested in perming. Today I missed out on a 5 fold. Thought our lot were going to let me down but it was Blackpool where I needed a home win. It’s inevitably one results that does me. But I’m not too bothered at 2 or 3 quid once or twice a week.

Athletico Charlton said:

We are 5/6 to beat Accrington at home and even more surprisingly Barnsley are 19/20 to beat Dons albeit at wimbledon. Gone for a double.

Wish I had put more on. Seemed easy money!

Athletico Charlton said:

Athletico Charlton said:

We are 5/6 to beat Accrington at home and even more surprisingly Barnsley are 19/20 to beat Dons albeit at wimbledon. Gone for a double.

Wish I had put more on. Seemed easy money!

File this under ‘things I wouldn’t have said after 89 minutes’

Plymouth had won the last 3! Why back Walsall!!

Bets on semi early, FA cup is kind of unpredictable.
£3 on return £188.60
Bristol City
Arsenal
Derby
Brighton
Boro
Wolves
Swansea
Everton

£5 on returns £135.69
Aston Villa
Leeds
Stoke
Barnsley
Exeter
Inverness CT

£5 returns £265.65 (Aways)
Charlton
Sheffield U
Luton
Lincoln

BTTS and win £2 on returns £704.17 - Probably will be nowhere near
Watford
Blackburn
Fleetwood
Wycombe

IdleHans said:

johnnybev1987 said:

cafcnick1992 said:

Plymouth had won the last 3! Why back Walsall!!

Plymouth were at the bottom, i didn't really know they had won the last 3 if im honest. Walsall always seem like a team who can turn up or beat the bottom teams but obviously i didn't research the form and the prices were fairly even home or away so could have gone for Plymouth if i looked at form.

flashscores.co.uk is your friend

clearly not @IdleHans

In all fairness i have been mixing between following form and just picking ones i fancy this season, mixed results for both and overall done ok. This week i have not looked btw

Last weeks 6 team, 12-1 act has 5 winners and down to Fulham to beat Brighton... had thought they would have smashed a little more cash but instead they have Ryan Babbel

Just put £5 on Jonny Williams to be carded today 10/1 Betfair, reckon there'll be a few bookings today.