Saturday was the day I finally hung up my football betting boots. £20 on three draws, Swansea drew, Cardiff drew, was waiting on donny game for £750, Wycombe get a 90th mon equaliser, cash out offered at £500, but because im a greedy prick that hates cash out, i ignored that, only for Wycombe to get a 94th min winner. Utter wank.
Unlucky mate, probably not actually going to quit though? thats a harsh bad beat
PFA young player of the year which is a glorified popularity vote.
Rashford 8/1 Declan Rice 14/1
Wouldn't go near anything like this, essentially like betting on reality tv, most likely the fave will win too unless there is something significant in between. I say that i have bet on X factor before and BB but live and learn.
OK, so the past few weeks I've been looking at odds and stats for cards. I only bet a couple of quid on a weekend but I'm a saddo for a good stat and happily spend ages looking at anything where I can compare sets of numbers. Betting is secondary really but this just makes a change from doing a £2 both teams to score acca that always seems to miss by one.
Past 3 weeks I've looked at "teams to get the most booking points" 3 weeks ago - 14/1 winner (treble) 2 weeks ago - 1 game let me down on a 4fold last week - 11/1 winner (treble)
what surprises me are the odds and value available, I can only imagine odds for these markets are thrown together with less effort than bigger markets in bigger leagues.
For example, Wimbledon v Barnsley today: Wimbledon average 0.7 yellow cards per home game Barnsley average 2.5 yellow cards per away game But the odds for Barnsley to get more booking points for the game is 2/1
Now I know nothing is certain and its likely to be just as random as both teams to score betting. But when it comes to value I think there is potential there. I also know now I’ve mentioned it here and put my thoughts into writing it’ll all go to pot BUT anyone can pick Man City to beat Huddersfield, I’m looking at value where the odds don’t reflect the stats.
Anyone else noticed certain markets/areas that could be exposed or at the very least studied a bit more?
OK, so the past few weeks I've been looking at odds and stats for cards. I only bet a couple of quid on a weekend but I'm a saddo for a good stat and happily spend ages looking at anything where I can compare sets of numbers. Betting is secondary really but this just makes a change from doing a £2 both teams to score acca that always seems to miss by one.
Past 3 weeks I've looked at "teams to get the most booking points" 3 weeks ago - 14/1 winner (treble) 2 weeks ago - 1 game let me down on a 4fold last week - 11/1 winner (treble)
what surprises me are the odds and value available, I can only imagine odds for these markets are thrown together with less effort than bigger markets in bigger leagues.
For example, Wimbledon v Barnsley today: Wimbledon average 0.7 yellow cards per home game Barnsley average 2.5 yellow cards per away game But the odds for Barnsley to get more booking points for the game is 2/1
Now I know nothing is certain and its likely to be just as random as both teams to score betting. But when it comes to value I think there is potential there. I also know now I’ve mentioned it here and put my thoughts into writing it’ll all go to pot BUT anyone can pick Man City to beat Huddersfield, I’m looking at value where the odds don’t reflect the stats.
Anyone else noticed certain markets/areas that could be exposed or at the very least studied a bit more?
OK, so the past few weeks I've been looking at odds and stats for cards. I only bet a couple of quid on a weekend but I'm a saddo for a good stat and happily spend ages looking at anything where I can compare sets of numbers. Betting is secondary really but this just makes a change from doing a £2 both teams to score acca that always seems to miss by one.
Past 3 weeks I've looked at "teams to get the most booking points" 3 weeks ago - 14/1 winner (treble) 2 weeks ago - 1 game let me down on a 4fold last week - 11/1 winner (treble)
what surprises me are the odds and value available, I can only imagine odds for these markets are thrown together with less effort than bigger markets in bigger leagues.
For example, Wimbledon v Barnsley today: Wimbledon average 0.7 yellow cards per home game Barnsley average 2.5 yellow cards per away game But the odds for Barnsley to get more booking points for the game is 2/1
Now I know nothing is certain and its likely to be just as random as both teams to score betting. But when it comes to value I think there is potential there. I also know now I’ve mentioned it here and put my thoughts into writing it’ll all go to pot BUT anyone can pick Man City to beat Huddersfield, I’m looking at value where the odds don’t reflect the stats.
Anyone else noticed certain markets/areas that could be exposed or at the very least studied a bit more?
Interesting, also feel free to divulge your bet before 3pm please so we can back it as i dont really look into the stats. Definitely sounds like great value
Wasn’t to be today but I’m definitely going to keep looking at it. Maybe singles are the way to go rather than greedy accumulators. One of my selections, Doncaster was 5/2 on its own
Coventry cost me 540/1 6 fold yesterday. 2 draws Cardiff and Sunderland, 2 aways inc. us and Blackburn, 2 home Brentford a d Coventry. Really thought Coventry would pull off the late winner like they did against us, but no. I would have had quite an exciting Smallwall match if Coventry had obliged!!!
That's a bookies benefit bet. The aways and draws were average of about 9/4 and two homes at say evens. The best fourfold pays 111/1 the 5 you got in 222/1. Surely you at least cover 6 five folds and 1 sixfold. At those prices I'd perm 15 four folds as well.
I did Charlton, Ipswich Burnley, Coventry Grimsby yesterday 10 trebles, 5 fours and all 5. I got a small profit on the treble I did get in.
@RaplhMilne I only ever do small accas. This one was £2, so I’m not interested in perming. Today I missed out on a 5 fold. Thought our lot were going to let me down but it was Blackpool where I needed a home win. It’s inevitably one results that does me. But I’m not too bothered at 2 or 3 quid once or twice a week.
Second Sunday in a row ive got my head in my hands... Only 50-1 this time. Had hearts, spurs, iran, barce, lyon, man c, napoli, marseille... And ajax...
Why I picked Ajax I will never know they were 1/20 to win. I got literally NO value from it.
Gutted and totally annoyed with myself (they drew 4-4 conceding in the 91st minute after being 3-1 up btw)
Near miss last night £5 freebet on a fourfold Forest Green Walsall Fleetwood Lincoln Walsall only team not winning 2-0 had the option to cashout £28.69, however i didnt see the value with £140 total had they won. They then proceeded to go down 2-0
Plymouth were at the bottom, i didn't really know they had won the last 3 if im honest. Walsall always seem like a team who can turn up or beat the bottom teams but obviously i didn't research the form and the prices were fairly even home or away so could have gone for Plymouth if i looked at form.
Plymouth were at the bottom, i didn't really know they had won the last 3 if im honest. Walsall always seem like a team who can turn up or beat the bottom teams but obviously i didn't research the form and the prices were fairly even home or away so could have gone for Plymouth if i looked at form.
Plymouth were at the bottom, i didn't really know they had won the last 3 if im honest. Walsall always seem like a team who can turn up or beat the bottom teams but obviously i didn't research the form and the prices were fairly even home or away so could have gone for Plymouth if i looked at form.
In all fairness i have been mixing between following form and just picking ones i fancy this season, mixed results for both and overall done ok. This week i have not looked btw
@stackitsteve check out Mark O’Haire on Twitter. He’s just put up a load of data for this weekend around booking points, fouls, teams and referees. Interesting stuff.
@stackitsteve check out Mark O’Haire on Twitter. He’s just put up a load of data for this weekend around booking points, fouls, teams and referees. Interesting stuff.
Yeah seen that. A lot of it very similar to my own stuff
They’ve had a tough run of results lately but I think there is value in the Peterborough price for tomorrow at 6/4. Especially if we’re missing both Lyle and Karlan.
I've had a cheeky pound on the man u arsenal game, 2 corners each team each half btts in each half xaka and Shaw to be booked and lingard to score. Only the 600-1 lol. Halfway there...!
Last weeks 6 team, 12-1 act has 5 winners and down to Fulham to beat Brighton... had thought they would have smashed a little more cash but instead they have Ryan Babbel
Comments
Notts Forest at home to Bristol City 11/8
Scunthorpe at home to Sunderland 14/5
Fleetwood away to Rochdale 19/10
Personally feel the above are good value this weekend, not much form/substance. just my opinion
Lincoln
Watford
Derby
Boro
Bradford
Charlton (sorrrry)
5fold £5-£410.37
Newcastle(risky after midweek but cardiff, prob double chance be better)
Nott forest
Luton
Scunthorpe
Cochester
5fold £5- £208.39
QPR
Barnsley
Doncaster
Luton(eek didn't realise in 2 but Peterborough haven't been in great form)
Fleetwood
BTTS and win £2-£1,125
Exeter
Fleetwood
Notts forest
Everton
Not too sure this is good betting this week but going with the gut sometimes works out well... good luck all
I only bet a couple of quid on a weekend but I'm a saddo for a good stat and happily spend ages looking at anything where I can compare sets of numbers. Betting is secondary really but this just makes a change from doing a £2 both teams to score acca that always seems to miss by one.
Past 3 weeks I've looked at "teams to get the most booking points"
3 weeks ago - 14/1 winner (treble)
2 weeks ago - 1 game let me down on a 4fold
last week - 11/1 winner (treble)
what surprises me are the odds and value available, I can only imagine odds for these markets are thrown together with less effort than bigger markets in bigger leagues.
For example, Wimbledon v Barnsley today:
Wimbledon average 0.7 yellow cards per home game
Barnsley average 2.5 yellow cards per away game
But the odds for Barnsley to get more booking points for the game is 2/1
Now I know nothing is certain and its likely to be just as random as both teams to score betting. But when it comes to value I think there is potential there.
I also know now I’ve mentioned it here and put my thoughts into writing it’ll all go to pot BUT anyone can pick Man City to beat Huddersfield, I’m looking at value where the odds don’t reflect the stats.
Anyone else noticed certain markets/areas that could be exposed or at the very least studied a bit more?
Maybe singles are the way to go rather than greedy accumulators.
One of my selections, Doncaster was 5/2 on its own
I had Gillingham to beat Walsall...
Why I picked Ajax I will never know they were 1/20 to win. I got literally NO value from it.
Gutted and totally annoyed with myself (they drew 4-4 conceding in the 91st minute after being 3-1 up btw)
Forest Green
Walsall
Fleetwood
Lincoln
Walsall only team not winning 2-0 had the option to cashout £28.69, however i didnt see the value with £140 total had they won. They then proceeded to go down 2-0
£3 on return £188.60
Bristol City
Arsenal
Derby
Brighton
Boro
Wolves
Swansea
Everton
£5 on returns £135.69
Aston Villa
Leeds
Stoke
Barnsley
Exeter
Inverness CT
£5 returns £265.65 (Aways)
Charlton
Sheffield U
Luton
Lincoln
BTTS and win £2 on returns £704.17 - Probably will be nowhere near
Watford
Blackburn
Fleetwood
Wycombe
In all fairness i have been mixing between following form and just picking ones i fancy this season, mixed results for both and overall done ok. This week i have not looked btw
A win today and the bookies might start finally showing us the respect we deserve.