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Sandgaard ownership discussion 2022-3 onwards (Meeting with CAST p138)

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  • More importantly, was Sandgaard there? 
  • CafcWest said:
    Interesting that Peter Varney was there (as usual) but not in his regular seat for the first half…maybe entertaining…only took his seat for second half…
    Barclay commenting on Twitter too
  • I note Steve Gallen was next to Dougie Freedman - trying to keep him sweet no doubt. 

    We don't want a repeat of the Conor Gallagher debacle. 
  • _MrDick said:
    More importantly, was Sandgaard there? 
    Martin was Thomas wasn’t (unless he was hiding ) 
  • Anyone hear anything takeover wise last night?
  • _MrDick said:
    More importantly, was Sandgaard there? 
    Martin was Thomas wasn’t (unless he was hiding ) 
    He wasn't under a desk.
  • Cafc43v3r said:
    _MrDick said:
    More importantly, was Sandgaard there? 
    Martin was Thomas wasn’t (unless he was hiding ) 
    He wasn't under a desk.
    Urgent business 
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  • Red Robin was played last night. It had a sense of normal about it.

    I didn't hear ATV played before or after kick off.

    Is that a small sign Sandgaard is no longer lost in his own world and or has decided to sell? 
  • Dave2l said:
    Red Robin was played last night. It had a sense of normal about it.

    I didn't hear ATV played before or after kick off.

    Is that a small sign Sandgaard is no longer lost in his own world and or has decided to sell? 
    Was it not played? Maybe Sky paid him a tenner to avoid playing that song as it clashes with the noise/music when going to the ads.
  • Dave2l said:
    Red Robin was played last night. It had a sense of normal about it.

    I didn't hear ATV played before or after kick off.

    Is that a small sign Sandgaard is no longer lost in his own world and or has decided to sell? 
    ATV played after the tunnel jump. Less prominent than normal.
  • seth plum said:
    The only takeover gossip I heard was that interested parties could buy the whole lot (ground and team) unless humiliatingly stupid money was demanded, but it is complicated by the ‘one club two guv’nors’ situation we are in. Negotiation would be (and I have no idea whatsoever if anything at all has happened) very difficult. I also heard that the interested party is credible and not chancers.
    I absolutely have no idea who it could be.
    Isn’t that the issue though, that RD does indeed want stupid money for the property?
  • seth plum said:
    The only takeover gossip I heard was that interested parties could buy the whole lot (ground and team) unless humiliatingly stupid money was demanded, but it is complicated by the ‘one club two guv’nors’ situation we are in. Negotiation would be (and I have no idea whatsoever if anything at all has happened) very difficult. I also heard that the interested party is credible and not chancers.
    I absolutely have no idea who it could be.
    I don't doubt your gossip / source but personally I  don't really see this as a complex problem to negotiate (ordinarily).

    It is after all only 2 parties to negotiate with and bottom-line will be cash amounts for both of them.

    The difficulty may simply remain the apparent eccentricity of RD in his demands / expectations but there will always be a price and one assumes the point RD feels he has recouped enough of his previous losses he would sell?
  • How much value does the 12 year lease actually have if any. Does anyone know if that value can be calculated at all?
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  • Drinking coffee at work, settling down and browsing my phone.

    Out of nowhere I hear a drum pattern in my head...followed by a

     ADDICKS TO VICTORY!

    I sort of thought...what was that? That just came out of nowhere.  

    Am I now all of a sudden an enthusiastic Charlton supporter,  where only last week I was moaning and suggesting the club is on its way to the grave. Then just after one game I've u-turned like never before.  

    Starting from September 2023, my work schedule will be changing. If the price is right and in the north stand, I may consider a season ticket. 

    I like football and Charlton ...when the football and the football only...is what does the talking!!


  • Was the budget increased to achieve CAT 1? I assume so and having failed to gain this is this not just a little leveling up due to this. I can imagine Steve Avory has a lack of suitors and would be off if he felt an injustice was occurring.
  • edited October 2022
    How much value does the 12 year lease actually have if any. Does anyone know if that value can be calculated at all?
    You can thank @carly burn for this, posted on this thread on the 8th October:

    "I believe the total rent liability adds up to £7.578 million over 15 years paid in different instalments. So roughly just over half a million £ a year."

    Edit. @DagenhamAddick - Having just seen @Lordflashheart's reply, I'm not sure you were wanting to know the liability, but I'll leave it here anyway.
  • How much value does the 12 year lease actually have if any. Does anyone know if that value can be calculated at all?
    I’m a banker specialising in property lending - a 12 year lease has zero value in my eyes 
    Thanks for that.
  • Especially on a property that will likely be under water in 10-15 years. Let RD keep his valueless swamp and build a new one somewhere else, on higher ground.
  • swordfish said:
    How much value does the 12 year lease actually have if any. Does anyone know if that value can be calculated at all?
    You can thank @carly burn for this, posted on this thread on the 8th October:

    "I believe the total rent liability adds up to £7.578 million over 15 years paid in different instalments. So roughly just over half a million £ a year."
    That’s a liability i.e. a cost to whoever is the lessee, or in other words the tenant, who ultimately in this case is TS

    The lease has no value to a 3rd party like, say, me / my bank as a lender

    Only long leases have a value to lend against, ideally greater than 125 years - mortgage providers generally will not provide a mortgage on a leasehold property, normally a flat, if it’s less than 70 years

    So, he can’t borrow against The Valley - RD could, as a 12 year lease, with I assume no break clauses, has a value to me as a lender if the freehold of The Valley was charged as security

    That said, as a tenant covenant (i.e. the financial strength of the tenant) I wouldn’t lend, as CAFC is a poor covenant (loss making, reliant on its owner to survive etc etc)

    In other words, if I lent, then CAFC goes bust, there is no longer any rent to cover the loan payments

    I would also have a massive Loan to Value problem - when you get a bank valuation, you get 3 values - Market Value, which is value based upon the property with the benefit of the lease - Vacant Possession Value, which is the value of the property if there was no lease i.e. no tenant / no income, and Reinstatement Value, which is cost to rebuild if the place burned down for example

    There will be a huge difference between Market Value and Vacant Possession Value, as what alternative use does The Valley have ?? It’s pretty limited isn’t it

    Also cost to rebuild will be mind bogglingly expensive
  • swordfish said:
    How much value does the 12 year lease actually have if any. Does anyone know if that value can be calculated at all?
    You can thank @carly burn for this, posted on this thread on the 8th October:

    "I believe the total rent liability adds up to £7.578 million over 15 years paid in different instalments. So roughly just over half a million £ a year."
    That’s a liability i.e. a cost to whoever is the lessee, or in other words the tenant, who ultimately in this case is TS

    The lease has no value to a 3rd party like, say, me / my bank as a lender

    Only long leases have a value to lend against, ideally greater than 125 years - mortgage providers generally will not provide a mortgage on a leasehold property, normally a flat, if it’s less than 70 years

    So, he can’t borrow against The Valley - RD could, as a 12 year lease, with I assume no break clauses, has a value to me as a lender if the freehold of The Valley was charged as security

    That said, as a tenant covenant (i.e. the financial strength of the tenant) I wouldn’t lend, as CAFC is a poor covenant (loss making, reliant on its owner to survive etc etc)

    In other words, if I lent, then CAFC goes bust, there is no longer any rent to cover the loan payments

    I would also have a massive Loan to Value problem - when you get a bank valuation, you get 3 values - Market Value, which is value based upon the property with the benefit of the lease - Vacant Possession Value, which is the value of the property if there was no lease i.e. no tenant / no income, and Reinstatement Value, which is cost to rebuild if the place burned down for example

    There will be a huge difference between Market Value and Vacant Possession Value, as what alternative use does The Valley have ?? It’s pretty limited isn’t it

    Also cost to rebuild will be mind bogglingly expensive
    Sorry to have put you to all that trouble as it was my fault for misinterpreting the question rather than not understanding the principles involved in the valuation of leases. 
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