1. Win all ten games and we've got a 70% chance. 2. Win 9 and draw 1, we'd have a 27% chance. 3. Win 9 and lose 1 gives us a 13% chance. 4. Win 8, draw 2 gives us a 6% chance. 5. Win 8, draw 1 and lose 1 & we'd have a 2% chance. 6. Win 7, draw 3 / win 8, lose 2 & we've got a 1% chance.
Anything less than that leaves it so unlikely that it isn't worth considering.
1. Win all ten games and we've got a 70% chance. 2. Win 9 and draw 1, we'd have a 27% chance. 3. Win 9 and lose 1 gives us a 13% chance. 4. Win 8, draw 2 gives us a 6% chance. 5. Win 8, draw 1 and lose 1 & we'd have a 2% chance. 6. Win 7, draw 3 / win 8, lose 2 & we've got a 1% chance.
Anything less than that leaves it so unlikely that it isn't worth considering.
You've done ya home work.
I'd say pull the curtains on it already, shame though.
Next season, if we keep our key squad and best players whilst improving on what we've already got, I can see us flirting with promotion end of 15/16.
It is 46 games. Little glimpses here and there is not enough.
Blackburn had to work hard for a replay today and might have one eye on that next Saturday. So I reckon that's another 3 points. Blackpool should then be routinely dispatched and Reading also got a chance of Wembley. That's March, then bring on the Spanners. Good times!
75 always gets you in the play offs - average low total is just under 73. So that means 9 wins out of 10 - too big an ask if we play like we did yesterday, but given that we don't play any top teams until our final game at home against Bournemouth, I think it is doable. We have to go for victory in every game and if we win our next four it will get interesting. Let's win those and see how it all looks.
9 wins out of the next 10 would mean that we win 14 games out of 16..........Not in a million years is that going to happen.
Just enjoy the rest of the season and the football we're playing.
Comments
1. Win all ten games and we've got a 70% chance.
2. Win 9 and draw 1, we'd have a 27% chance.
3. Win 9 and lose 1 gives us a 13% chance.
4. Win 8, draw 2 gives us a 6% chance.
5. Win 8, draw 1 and lose 1 & we'd have a 2% chance.
6. Win 7, draw 3 / win 8, lose 2 & we've got a 1% chance.
Anything less than that leaves it so unlikely that it isn't worth considering.
I'd say pull the curtains on it already, shame though.
Next season, if we keep our key squad and best players whilst improving on what we've already got, I can see us flirting with promotion end of 15/16.
It is 46 games. Little glimpses here and there is not enough.
you are the typical lidl ol Charlton fan.
Just enjoy the rest of the season and the football we're playing.