No doubt about it. We are showing the kind of form that takes you too and through the playoffs. Just a shame that mad Bob was going for the Guinness book of score draws early on!
We need to make up 14 pts out of 30 left. Other teams won't drop that many points up there so we need to be VERY happy we stayed up when we looked bang in trouble at one point. Well done to the players and Luzon for turning it round.
This page shows our chances of where we could end up given our potential results. Basically, if we win all our games we have a very good shout at sneaking in but we can't drop more than 6 points in our run in to have a sniff.
This page shows our chances of where we could end up given our potential results. Basically, if we win all our games we have a very good shout at sneaking in but we can't drop more than 6 points in our run in to have a sniff.
75 always gets you in the play offs - average low total is just under 73. So that means 9 wins out of 10 - too big an ask if we play like we did yesterday, but given that we don't play any top teams until our final game at home against Bournemouth, I think it is doable. We have to go for victory in every game and if we win our next four it will get interesting. Let's win those and see how it all looks.
The mindset ought to be we have a week off, the season starts Saturday against Blackburn Rovers. We get revenge for the abject cup defeat, and go on a 10 match winning run like we did prior to the first promotion to the Premier League.
championship is quite odd this year as the play offs and above seem to be well ahead and those in the relegation places are quite far adrift. Usually the league is a lot tighter and in previous seasons this form would've been enough to get us in the play offs. Not this year though. Would still be nice to win the last 10 games though!
If everyone picked up the same number of points from their remaining 10/11 games as they did from their last 10/11 games...
Watford would win the league with 88 points Norwich would finish second with 87 points Boro, Derby and Bournemouth in the playoffs Brentford would finish 6th with 78 points
Charlton would finish 11th with 65 points
Wigan (41), Millwall (39) and Blackpool (27)
In reality, I think the totals at the top will be lower and those at the bottom will be higher.
It's not going to happen and I'm more than happy enough with 9th/10th which is pretty achievable after the shambles of the end of Peeters reign and the appointment/early games of Luzon where we were looking at staying up. Cousins/Gomez etc getting more gametime in a winning team and the Igor and Watt partnership continuing to grow would be a great platform for next year to show Roland we aren't far off and get him to invest a little more.
Not losing our best player on a free this summer would be a good sign of progress too.
If Luzon is pushing the players on by setting a target of the playoffs and to keep going then fine but it's pretty silly for us to buy into it when there is no reason to and we are doing well enough.
Comments
If only...
This page shows our chances of where we could end up given our potential results. Basically, if we win all our games we have a very good shout at sneaking in but we can't drop more than 6 points in our run in to have a sniff.
But the overall liklehood of winning all those games are extremely low.
Just enjoy next season's preparation.
Kets just enjoy the rest of this season!
Watford would win the league with 88 points
Norwich would finish second with 87 points
Boro, Derby and Bournemouth in the playoffs
Brentford would finish 6th with 78 points
Charlton would finish 11th with 65 points
Wigan (41), Millwall (39) and Blackpool (27)
In reality, I think the totals at the top will be lower and those at the bottom will be higher.
Not losing our best player on a free this summer would be a good sign of progress too.
If Luzon is pushing the players on by setting a target of the playoffs and to keep going then fine but it's pretty silly for us to buy into it when there is no reason to and we are doing well enough.