Games left this season for Relegation Threatened Teams

The_President

Bottom up with my forecast for points gained....

Barnsley..
Forest h 1
Leicester h 0
Watford a 0
Bmouth h 3
Reading a 0
Yeovil a 1
Brighton h 3
Burnley h 0
Bolton a 1
Charlton a 0
Leeds h 0
Derby a 0
Boro a 1
QPR h 0

Total of 10 points which would give them a total of 36 points

Yeovil...
Wendy h 1
Ipswich h 3
QPR a 0
Wigan a 0
Bolton h 1
Leicester a 0
Barnsley h 1
Blackpool a 1
Charlton a 0
Bmouth h 3
Blackburn a 1
Udd h 3
Brighton a 0
Boro h 3

Total of 17 points which gives them a total of 43 points

Charlton...
Udd h 3
Wall a 0
Bmouth h 1
Burnley h 0
Forest a 0
Derby a 0
Leeds a 0
Reading h 1
Yeovil h 3
Brighton a 1
Barnsley h 3
Bolton h 1
Wendy a 0
BBurn h 3
Watford h 1
Bpool a 0

Total of 17 points which gives a total of 44 points

Millwall....
Derby a 0
Blackpool a 1
Charlton h 3
Leeds a 0
Brum h 1
Bburn h 3
Forest a 0
Wigan a 0
Watford h 1
Boro a 0
Dony h 3
QPR a 0
Bmouth h 3

Total of 15 points which gives a total of 43 points

Donny...
'Udd h 1
Watford h 3
Forest a 0
Wendy h 0
Burnley a 0
Leeds a 0
Brum h 1
Bolton h 3
Ipswich a 0
Derby h 0
Wall a 0
Reading h 3
Leicester a 0

Total of 11 points which gives a total of 41 points

Blackpool....
Bmouth h 1
Wall h 1
leicester a 0
'Udd h 1
Bolton a 0
QPR a 0
Yeovil h 3
Derby h 0
Leeds a 0
Burnley h 0
Brighton a 0
Wigan a 0
Charlton h 3

Total of 9 points giving total of 44 points.

So, my prediction of the table at end of season...

Charlton 44 points
Blackpool 44
Yeovil 43
Millwall 43
Donny 41
Barnsley 36

Tried to realistic, what with Bpool's freefall at the moment, plus have Charlton to lose at Wall and Pool, but we HAVE to beat Barnsley and Yeovil.
So, its gonna be close !

Oggy Red

A lot of 6 pointers yet to be played among the relegation strugglers.

Fasten safety belts .........

The_President

I think, that if we beat Wall, then almost certain survival for us.

Valiantphil

It's a long, long road with many a winding turn.
That leads us to who-knows-where, who-knows-when.

Vincent

The_President said:

I think, that if we beat Wall, then almost certain survival for us.

TP you have Millwall to beat us so you think we will go down. Got that one wrong thankfully we will beat them and stay up otherwise a good thread

The_President

Vincent said:

The_President said:

I think, that if we beat Wall, then almost certain survival for us.

TP you have Millwall to beat us so you think we will go down. Got that one wrong thankfully we will beat them and stay up otherwise a good thread

Nah, got them down to beat us as usual, but still be above them at end of season, however, if we can beat them, then we will almost certainly escape with a bit of room to spare.

The_President

Watching the Wall penalty today, Brighton centre forward outpaced Shittu and got brought down - maybe Churchy can do the same - i expect that without Yann we wont play down Shittus throat like we did on past couple of performances.
Anyone see the Yeovil first sending-off today ? How the hell can anyone be sent off for something like that?

Super_horns

I'd say Barnsley have the "hardest"

You play a few teams at the end with nothing to play for or around you.

vff

Last season, the championship teams were all pretty competitive. This season, there are much weaker teams.

Presidents predictions are not overly optimistic either. Good thread though. Cheers me up a little after the defeat today. I hope they are correct. Charlton staying in the championships will be a major achievement.

The_President

Interestingly, The Bookies sorta concur with my thoughts...
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/relegation

The_President

Bookies now have Millwall odds on for 3rd relegation spot..
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/relegation

ValleyGary

Stop calling them 'Wall'!!!!!

mid_life_crisis

In terms of points needed to finish 4th bottom, I think you are very close.
I'd say confidently that 45pts will be fine.

MuttleyCAFC

It is an impossibilty, and I see you have tried hard to be fair - possibly being a tad harsh in relation to our points - which is probably the way to go. I think we have a decent run in and 20 points from that lot shouldn't be out of the question. It is clear that our games against Millwall, Barnsley, Yeovil and Blackpool are going to be key.

BigRedEvil

Before we play on Wednesday Millwall and Doncaster will have played 5 games more than us. Let's hope they all fail to get points

jackmasterflash

The_President said:

Bottom up with my forecast for points gained....

Barnsley..
Forest h 1
Leicester h 0
Watford a 1
Bmouth h 3
Reading a 0
Yeovil a 1
Brighton h 3
Burnley h 1
Bolton a 1
Charlton a 0
Leeds h 0
Derby a 0
Boro a 1
QPR h 1

Total of 13 points which would give them a total of 39 points

Yeovil...
Wendy h 1
Ipswich h 3
QPR a 0
Wigan a 0
Bolton h 0
Leicester a 0
Barnsley h 1
Blackpool a 3
Charlton a 0
Bmouth h 3
Blackburn a 0
Udd h 1
Brighton a 1
Boro h 3

Total of 16 points which gives them a total of 42 points

Charlton...
Udd h 1
Wall a 3
Bmouth h 3
Burnley h 0
Forest a 1
Derby a 0
Leeds a 1
Reading h 0
Yeovil h 3
Brighton a 1
Barnsley h 3
Bolton h 1
Wendy a 0
BBurn h 1
Watford h 1
Bpool a 3

Total of 22 points which gives a total of 49 points

Millwall....
Derby a 0
Blackpool a 3
Charlton h 0
Leeds a 0
Brum h 1
Bburn h 3
Forest a 0
Wigan a 0
Watford h 0
Boro a 3
Dony h 1
QPR a 0
Bmouth h 3

Total of 14 points which gives a total of 42 points

Donny...
'Udd h 0
Watford h 3
Forest a 0
Wendy h 0
Burnley a 0
Leeds a 0
Brum h 1
Bolton h 3
Ipswich a 1
Derby h 0
Wall a 1
Reading h 3
Leicester a 0

Total of 12 points which gives a total of 42 points

Blackpool....
Bmouth h 1
Wall h 0
leicester a 0
'Udd h 1
Bolton a 3
QPR a 0
Yeovil h 0
Derby h 0
Leeds a 1
Burnley h 0
Brighton a 3
Wigan a 3
Charlton h 0

Total of 12 points giving total of 47 points.

So, my prediction of the table at end of season...

Charlton 49 points
Blackpool 47
Yeovil 42
Millwall 42
Donny 42
Barnsley 39


So, its gonna be close !

adrian

There are always a couple of teams which unexpectedly either perform or have bad runs.
The trick is to try and guess which of them will do just that.
According to my predictions, this is how it could finish:

Top 8: Leicester 92 Bottom 8 Blackpool 51
QPR 89 Millwall 51
Burnley 82 Charlton 50
Forest 81 Bournem'th 48
Derby 78 Birmingham 45
Leeds 73 Doncaster 45
Ipswich 72 Yeovil 37
Wigan 71 Barnsley 34

Covered End

QPR 2nd on 89 points ? I need look no further.

Even Harry Redknapp doesn't think that.

Richard J

Interesting stuff , I normally do the BBC Predictor around or just after this point.

I have thought for some time that Barnsley and Yeovil are probably doomed and agree we need 6 points from their visits to the Valley. Huddersfield next week and Watford are also must wins .Similar to the QPR game I could see the pitch being a leveller against Burnley,so maybe an unexpected bonus point (or 3).

I would love to visit the Toolbox next week ahead of Millwall in the table with 3 games in hand, that might make the dynamics of our South London derby very different.If they lose to Derby County and Blackpool and we took the lead then I could see Holloway's honeymoon coming to an abrupt end and their lovely cheeky supporters would get on their own teams back.

My only fear is do we have the strength in depth for this marathon . I suspect players who are on the fringes like Evina,Gower,Green,Hollands and Pritchard who I'm not sure are really good at this level may feature at some stage unless we get reinforcements.

killerandflash

Blackpool Millwall next Tuesday, taking emotion out of it, we really don't want either to win!

MuttleyCAFC

a draw then - If Millwall lose at Derby tomorrow and draw with Blackpool - they will be 2 points ahead having played 5 more games than us!

Richard J

MuttleyCAFC said:

a draw then - If Millwall lose at Derby tomorrow and draw with Blackpool - they will be 2 points ahead having played 5 more games than us!

And if we beat Huddersfield the following night we would go one point above them and four games in hand when pitching up at the Toolbox.

MuttleyCAFC

Saturday is going to be almost as interesting as if we were playing - and if we get some positive results it could fill us with confidence for our upcoming games. If all of our rivals win - it might deflate us a bit! I don't think they will though!

The_President

We're already 1 point up on initial predictions

Numbers

The_President said:

We're already 1 point up on initial predictions

Yes, let's hope your next few predictions are wrong as well

vff

http://www.statto.com/football/stats/england/league-championship/2013-2014/form-table/full

Leeds and Forest at the bottom of the last 6 championship form table. Derby mid table.

Next games: Burnley h
Forest a
Derby a
Leeds a
Reading h
Yeovil h

kings hill addick

I don't think we'll beat Barnsley and Yeovil so that makes a massive difference, with those games being six pointers, and all.

vff

kings hill addick said:

I don't think we'll beat Barnsley and Yeovil so that makes a massive difference, with those games being six pointers, and all.

I think that Charlton may surprise and pick up a few more points than expected against the teams further up the table, as they will come out and play as opposed to shutting up shop and not conceeding like Barsnsley for eg. I can see that game being a low scoring draw.

The_President

Yes,agree that we may get more points than we thought.

The_President

New predictions based on points earned...
Charlton 45 points
Blackpool 45
Yeovil 43
Millwall 43
Donny 41
Barnsley 38

creepyaddick

Can't believe you haven't included Brum, I reckon they're doomed