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Betting Thread 19/20

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  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    good article about the show here...

    https://www.racingpost.com/news/bookmakers-take-quite-a-beating-in-bbc-betting-experiment-show/394231
  • johnnybev1987
    johnnybev1987 Posts: 11,410

    This weeks lottery numbers are :

    £5-£172 - Banker

    Leeds

    Bournemouth

    Watford

    West Brom

    Cardiff

    Fleetwood


    £1-£179- Aways

    Man City, Southampton, Bristol City, Huddersfield, Burton + Peterborough


    £1-£331.50 - scores/treble

    Charlton Stoke 1-1

    Fulham Blackburn 2-1

    Spurs Villa 2-0


    £2-£309- Value

    Everton, Charlton, Reading, Doncaster, Wrexham

    £1-£174 - BTTS and win

    Liverpool, Stoke, Coventry & Sunderland

  • MrLargo
    MrLargo Posts: 7,989
    Bet 365 offering me £25 in-play bet offer for Man U Chelsea on Sunday. Dunno if that's across the board or if they're offering less to successful gamblers and more to the serial losers like me
  • palarsehater
    palarsehater Posts: 12,296
    gone for over 2.5 goals in all premier league games this weekend 

    378/1

    also on the skybet boost of 10/1

    fulham 
    bournemouth
    watford  
    to win


  • palarsehater
    palarsehater Posts: 12,296
    this time of season throws up some strange results, as teams are just getting to know there players etc. the only ones that are decent bets are the teams that finished playoffs and havent made many changes. 
  • MrLargo
    MrLargo Posts: 7,989
    Really fancy Everton this weekend, 29/20 at the moment.

    The South London Treble pays about 13/1 this weekend, us to beat Stoke being the biggest question mark.
  • palarsehater
    palarsehater Posts: 12,296
    yeah in my last man standing comp have gone everton - especially with the recent upset of zaha i cant see him being too popular down there. 
  • cs1986
    cs1986 Posts: 1,529
    palarsehater said:
    yeah in my last man standing comp have gone everton - especially with the recent upset of zaha i cant see him being too popular down there. 
    Do you play on last man out? It's a great format really enjoy the game. I have hopefully gone safe with Liverpool for first week.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,759
    edited August 2019
    Some bookies refusing to take bets on penalties awarded in this weekend’s Premier League games. Guess they’re running scared after what happened in the World Cup...

    More penalties should lead to more goals on average so a good alternative option if you want to take advantage would be looking at the overs lines instead. Hopefully some books haven’t cut those prices by much to compensate.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,759
    Anytime scorer bets on penalty takers is another good option... lots of ways to play it.
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  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,194
    Uboat said:
    It's a trivial sum of money, so I can't be arsed, but I think it's really poor. I kept saying to the livechat person, 'Do you know anything about football? Are you seriously telling me Blackburn didn't score?' They just kept coming back, 'The bet was settled correctly'. In the end I got a bit sweary then called it a night. 
    They have paid up and given me a £5 free bet. I'll be heading down to the Ferrari garage with my £2 winnings tomorrow morning. 
  • Gravesend_Addick
    Gravesend_Addick Posts: 7,299
    snowinberlin said:
    anyone watch the programme on BBC last night?  how to beat the bookies?
    Yeah I watched it.  Thought it was really interesting
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,194
    Weather forecast isn't looking great for the second ashes test. 9/2 the draw.
  • philcafc
    philcafc Posts: 3,883
    See if I can do better than last week - £10 Acc on Bournemouth, Watford, Fulham, QPR, West Brom - around 34-1
  • IdleHans
    IdleHans Posts: 10,961
    MrLargo said:
    Bet 365 offering me £25 in-play bet offer for Man U Chelsea on Sunday. Dunno if that's across the board or if they're offering less to successful gamblers and more to the serial losers like me
    The usual fiver for me.
  • snowinberlin
    snowinberlin Posts: 807
    Coventry to beat Bolton by more than one goal 

    13/10

    Might lump on this
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,759
    Uboat said:
    Uboat said:
    It's a trivial sum of money, so I can't be arsed, but I think it's really poor. I kept saying to the livechat person, 'Do you know anything about football? Are you seriously telling me Blackburn didn't score?' They just kept coming back, 'The bet was settled correctly'. In the end I got a bit sweary then called it a night. 
    They have paid up and given me a £5 free bet. I'll be heading down to the Ferrari garage with my £2 winnings tomorrow morning. 
    Glad to hear it. They shouldn’t get away with nonsense like that.
  • RaplhMilne
    RaplhMilne Posts: 4,601
    Well this weeks bookie busters

    West Brom, Portsmouth, Plymouth   £40 treble

    Cardiff, Derby, Fulham, Mboro, Rotheram £6 trebles £5 all five.

    Charlton, Rochdale £15 double. 
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,194
    Already undone by Leeds 🙁
  • palarsehater
    palarsehater Posts: 12,296
    palarsehater said:
    yeah in my last man standing comp have gone everton - especially with the recent upset of zaha i cant see him being too popular down there. 
    I’m in one run by a millwall fan through work the pot is about 2k and you get 3 life’s 

    each team once only 
    if a home side - must win 
    if an away side - draw or win and don’t lose a life 
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  • palarsehater
    palarsehater Posts: 12,296
    on the skybet boost yesterday maguire to make 2+ tackles and rashford 2+ shots on target. sky didnt pay out on maguire making 2 tackles 

    they were getting quite a hammering on social media for it. 

  • stackitsteve
    stackitsteve Posts: 12,102
    palarsehater said:
    on the skybet boost yesterday maguire to make 2+ tackles and rashford 2+ shots on target. sky didnt pay out on maguire making 2 tackles 

    they were getting quite a hammering on social media for it. 

    Thats the issue with including tackles in a bet.
    I believe most bookies use Opta......Opta have quite a strict ruling on what they class as a tackle and more often than not they go down as interceptions or blocks.
  • snowinberlin
    snowinberlin Posts: 807
    stackitsteve said:
    palarsehater said:
    on the skybet boost yesterday maguire to make 2+ tackles and rashford 2+ shots on target. sky didnt pay out on maguire making 2 tackles 

    they were getting quite a hammering on social media for it. 

    Thats the issue with including tackles in a bet.
    I believe most bookies use Opta......Opta have quite a strict ruling on what they class as a tackle and more often than not they go down as interceptions or blocks.
    I don't understand these kind of bets.  How can you take a view on how many times a player will makes tackles?  Stick a finger in the air?
  • Uboat
    Uboat Posts: 12,194
    Uboat said:
    Weather forecast isn't looking great for the second ashes test. 9/2 the draw.
    Draw now 4/5. I wish I'd put more on it. 
  • snowinberlin
    snowinberlin Posts: 807
    I think Exeter are good value tonight at 3/1

    They've won 2 out of 2, Coventry scraped a win against Southend (only 2 shots on target) and couldn't beat Bolton's kids.  they also play at St Andrews, won't be a big crowd so won't necessarily have home advantage
  • kinveachyaddick
    kinveachyaddick Posts: 3,874
    Uboat said:
    Uboat said:
    Weather forecast isn't looking great for the second ashes test. 9/2 the draw.
    Draw now 4/5. I wish I'd put more on it. 
    Nice bet that. I wouldn't be backing it at 4/5 though the speed at which test matches can develop these days. You obviously know what you're doing but I'd be laying some of the 9/2 off for a nice green then seeing how it things look this time tomorrow.
  • Robbo on the wing
    Robbo on the wing Posts: 4,135
    palarsehater said:
    on the skybet boost yesterday maguire to make 2+ tackles and rashford 2+ shots on target. sky didnt pay out on maguire making 2 tackles 

    they were getting quite a hammering on social media for it. 

    I had a tenner on that and thought it was home and hosed
  • Robbo on the wing
    Robbo on the wing Posts: 4,135
    Both pro non league south sides again tonight?
  • snowinberlin
    snowinberlin Posts: 807
    edited August 2019
    Everton and Lincoln in a double

  • MrLargo
    MrLargo Posts: 7,989
    Got the £25 in-plat offer on Man City Spurs. 

    On a separate note, is there some doubt over Aubameyang as the Arsenal scorer against Burnley? Had him as anytime scorer, Arsenal to win, btts at combined odds of 11/4. Still waiting for them to pay out and of the 3 requirements, "Arsenal to win" is the only one with a tick next to it.

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