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T20 World Cup 2022

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    SL desperate to keep the spin coming and throw in a bloke that’s not bowled in the tournament yet. First ball of the over, four runs.
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    There's a type of modern player so accustomed to slogging every ball in T20s, that they can't adapt to a situation where you only need to push singles  and occasionally punish the bad ball.
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    England win probability still 94% but unnecessarily dropped from what would’ve been near enough 99.9% five or six overs ago.
    Do these figures ever account for nerves & players just panicking. 

    I'd say win ratio is more like 60/40 in Englands favour. 
    Maybe make your own system.

    Take the numbers from the mathematically determined formula and minus 30% from England, no matter what situation they’re in.
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    21 from 24
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    England win probability still 94% but unnecessarily dropped from what would’ve been near enough 99.9% five or six overs ago.
    Do these figures ever account for nerves & players just panicking. 

    I'd say win ratio is more like 60/40 in Englands favour. 
    You are one depressing human being. Why do you bother?
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    15 from 18
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    Can't lose it from here. 

    5 an over. Knock it around for singles & even the odd flukey 4
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    Curren and Stokes playing sensibly 
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    There's a type of modern player so accustomed to slogging every ball in T20s, that they can't adapt to a situation where you only need to push singles  and occasionally punish the bad ball.
    We have probably the world's best player at doing that. And I don't mean Malan because we left that particular player at home. 
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    15 from 15
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    edited November 2022
    England win probability still 94% but unnecessarily dropped from what would’ve been near enough 99.9% five or six overs ago.
    Do these figures ever account for nerves & players just panicking. 

    I'd say win ratio is more like 60/40 in Englands favour. 
    You are one depressing human being. Why do you bother?
    To be fair, he’s right that the winometer doesn’t take into account feeling pressure and a possible collapse. 

    It’s like Charlton having a 2-0 lead in 70 mins. Probability would be a Charlton win. A Charlton fan would be 50/50 of coming away with a point. It’s a defence mechanism to not get hopes up! 99% win ratio when we had just lost 2 quick poor wickets did seem rather generous. 
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    129-6

    13 from 12
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    oh ffs
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    England win probability still 96%
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    edited November 2022
    Throwing this away in fine style
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    We also have a limping/injured Malan so a player potentially down. So winometer wouldn’t take that into consideration! 
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    Rate's gone above a run a ball for the first time since the 4th over. 
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    England almost deserve to lose this for batting like morons
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    9 from 9
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    Chill everyone. 
    It's in the bag.
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    Go on boy. Clobber it for 6. Win the game.
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    Bexley Ram people have a tremendous life. 
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    Christ this is tense.
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    5 off 6 
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    Bexley Ram people have a tremendous life. 
    Or maybe it’s just the flag. It goes everywhere. 
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    5 from 6
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    This is like the 2019 Ashes match at Headingley 
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    3 from 5
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    2 from 4
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    Stokes has played the situation extremely well - constantly trying to hit the ball to the edge of the circle for a definite one but probable two
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