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Grand National 2018 Thread
Comments
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I'll do a summary (if you're interested) tomorrow but, in a nutshell, assuming that reserve #4 (Vintage Clouds) doesn't line up (unlikely), these are the 6 carrying my shillings (all each way 5 places 1/4 odds, though you can get 6 places 1/5 odds with some bookies if you prefer). I backed them all at 50~125/1 but I’m afraid prices have shortened massively for some. In race card order:CAFCsayer said:Haven't managed to follow this... Slipped off the radar. Who are the winners for the GN @PeanutsMolloy?
Raz De Maree (best price currently 33/1)
I Just Know (25/1)
Baie Des Iles (16/1)
Houblon Des Obeaux (50/1)
Milansbar (33/1)
Final Nudge (66/1)1 -
Time of Foxhunters 5m 49 secs - broadly consistent with official going of Soft. Going Stick reading today for the GN course at 10am was 4.3.
Jockies reporting it heavy around the Canal Turn, as expected.0 -
Aintree don't want the ground any faster for safety reasons.
I'm on the Peanuts 6, and I see there are a few "good causes" on the forum at the moment - so fingers crossed for the selections and a share of the loot.1 -
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The going is never soft with Lucy Verasamy.4
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We are on... Thanks in advance for winningsPeanutsMolloy said:
I'll do a summary (if you're interested) tomorrow but, in a nutshell, assuming that reserve #4 (Vintage Clouds) doesn't line up (unlikely), these are the 6 carrying my shillings (all each way 5 places 1/4 odds, though you can get 6 places 1/5 odds with some bookies if you prefer). I backed them all at 50~125/1 but I’m afraid prices have shortened massively for some. In race card order:CAFCsayer said:Haven't managed to follow this... Slipped off the radar. Who are the winners for the GN @PeanutsMolloy?
Raz De Maree (best price currently 33/1)
I Just Know (25/1)
Baie Des Iles (16/1)
Houblon Des Obeaux (50/1)
Milansbar (33/1)
Final Nudge (66/1)0 -
@killer kish Congrats on that as a place! Great effort there!4
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I didn't see where he came, i was on in lucky 31 ew and possbly small single EW.PaddyP17 said:@killer kish Congrats on that as a place! Great effort there!
Well done @killer kish2 -
Third, having made pretty much every stride until one and a half furlongs from the end, and wasn't quite able to prevent being headed.johnnybev1987 said:
I didn't see where he came, i was on in lucky 31 ew and possbly small single EW.PaddyP17 said:@killer kish Congrats on that as a place! Great effort there!
Well done @killer kish
If he's going to be better over jumps then he's definitely going on the horse tracker!4 - Sponsored links:
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Only slightly up on lucky 31, 3 places out of 5. Shame
Treble got 2 / 3 one running tomorrow Ms Parfois, EW but if they can win would be decent as got a single on it @ 7/1 and also treble would come in, 2 places with Doitforthevillage @11 & Clan Des Obeaux @ 16.
Small return on Doit for single too so not a bad day overall but could be decent if Ms P can do a win tomorrow.0 -
Cheers guys,buzzing at the moment
Trainer adamant she will be better over hurdles/fences,whatever she does in bumpers is a bonus!7 -
Well done killer - you deserved that matekiller kish said:Cheers guys,buzzing at the moment
Trainer adamant she will be better over hurdles/fences,whatever she does in bumpers is a bonus!
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He,s been on my list since I discovered that he changed hands for a reputed 100,000 after winning a bumper at TippPaddyP17 said:
Third, having made pretty much every stride until one and a half furlongs from the end, and wasn't quite able to prevent being headed.johnnybev1987 said:
I didn't see where he came, i was on in lucky 31 ew and possbly small single EW.PaddyP17 said:@killer kish Congrats on that as a place! Great effort there!
Well done @killer kish
If he's going to be better over jumps then he's definitely going on the horse tracker!0 -
Cheers Peanuts much appreciated
And yes that price is correct Starinn
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Must admit for one brief moment I dreamt she was going to win2
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Sorry, what is a bumper?
Smaller than hurdles0 -
A national hunt flat race.MrOneLung said:Sorry, what is a bumper?
Smaller than hurdles0 -
So named for the often low quality, as horses tend to "bump" into each otherpaulbaconsarnie said:
A national hunt flat race.MrOneLung said:Sorry, what is a bumper?
Smaller than hurdles0 -
As CE said above, the going is NEVER soft when "Juicy Lucy" is about!Covered End said:len90 said:Lucy Verasamy just predicted the going will be soft
Well chaps, thanks again. As with previous years, by reading this thread, I have managed to convince a number of unsuspecting fools that I know something about horse racing...
My picks are now on. Good luck to all.1 - Sponsored links:
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I’m on HDO and Final Nudge both at 50’s for top six.
Good luck all.
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Thanks PM, fascinating thread again this year, and thanks to all the other significant posters. I got on HDO at 125’s and Final Nudge at 80’s. Kicking myself I did not go BDI earlier as it sounds very promising, it and the others above I got at at a fraction over the prices above.PeanutsMolloy said:
I'll do a summary (if you're interested) tomorrow but, in a nutshell, assuming that reserve #4 (Vintage Clouds) doesn't line up (unlikely), these are the 6 carrying my shillings (all each way 5 places 1/4 odds, though you can get 6 places 1/5 odds with some bookies if you prefer). I backed them all at 50~125/1 but I’m afraid prices have shortened massively for some. In race card order:CAFCsayer said:Haven't managed to follow this... Slipped off the radar. Who are the winners for the GN @PeanutsMolloy?
Raz De Maree (best price currently 33/1)
I Just Know (25/1)
Baie Des Iles (16/1)
Houblon Des Obeaux (50/1)
Milansbar (33/1)
Final Nudge (66/1)
On Bet365 half stake E/W offer am I correct in saying I can effectively double all their odds? Ie if I wanted to go £5 e/w on a horse and do that now, then what I actually do is go £10 e/w and when they refund me the £10 I can withdraw it straight away?0 -
Better to take 6 places at 1/5 or 5 at 1/4?0
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Say the top six horses all come in with SP of 20/1 and you've staked 10 quid e/w on all six of them.dmjn said:Better to take 6 places at 1/5 or 5 at 1/4?
The bookie paying 5 places at 1/4 will pay out: £270 on the winner, £60, £60, £60, £60 for a total of £510 (minus six lots of £20 so +£390 net)
The bookie paying 6 places at 1/5 will pay out: £260 on the winner, £50, £50, £50, £50, £50 for a total of £510 (minus six lots of £20 so +£390 net)
You're getting a tenner less return per place at six places but all the money that's been saved is being paid out on sixth. I think it works out slightly differently at different odds. I used 20/1 because it divides nicely with 4 and 5. :-)3 -
I see 188BET are going with 8 places at 1/5 but looks like the odds are bumped down a notch to make up for it.0
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Phwoar.....Is that a 762 carriage I see on Blackfriars bridge?!Covered End said:len90 said:Lucy Verasamy just predicted the going will be soft
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It really depends on the win price. A lot will much shorter to compensate for offering extra places.dmjn said:Better to take 6 places at 1/5 or 5 at 1/4?
You can work out expected value from betfair win and place prices. But as a rough guide, use oddschecker and if place going extra place is top price it will be value1 -
BBC weather website shows it pissing down at Aintree right now
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/26576211 -
got my 6 at the ready, cheers all for helping me with some of the selections, let hope come 5.30ish tomorrow they all come home safe and we've won some coin.
annibale fly ( doesnt tick many boxes but won me money on the gold cup ) win @ 11/1
seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1
houblon des obeux ew @ 100/1
chase the spud ew @ 66/1
seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1
regal encore ew @ 28/13 -
Good team and best of luck. He's certainly a persuasive fella that @Addick Addictpalarsehater said:got my 6 at the ready, cheers all for helping me with some of the selections, let hope come 5.30ish tomorrow they all come home safe and we've won some coin.
annibale fly ( doesnt tick many boxes but won me money on the gold cup ) win @ 11/1
seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1
houblon des obeux ew @ 100/1
chase the spud ew @ 66/1
seeyouatmidnight ew @ 33/1
regal encore ew @ 28/1
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