OK, deep breaths now everyone! Disappointing result tonight but there is still all to play for and we really have to focus on our own games but its definitely worth looking at what our rivals still have to do.
Realistically, Watford are gone so its two spots between Fulham, Wigan, Charlton, Sheff Utd and West Ham.
Here are the games remaining....
FULHAM: Reading (A), Blackburn (H), Arsenal (A), Liverpool (H), Boro (A) - I predict 4 POINTS GAINED
WIGAN: Spurs (H), Liverpool (A), West Ham (H), Boro (H), Sheff Utd (A) - I predict 5 POINTS GAINED
CHARLTON: Everton (A), Sheff Utd (H), Blackburn (A), Spurs (H), Liverpool (A) - I predict 6 POINTS GAINED (1 win, 3 draws)
SHEFF UTD: West Ham (H), Man Utd (A), Charlton (A), Watford (H), Villa (A), Wigan (H) - I predict 7 POINTS GAINED
WEST HAM: Sheff Utd (A), Chelsea (H), Everton (H), Wigan (A), Bolton (H), Man Utd (A) - I predict 7 POINTS GAINED
Therefore, according to my calculations, if we beat Sheff Utd at home then there is a pretty good chance we might end up staying up on GOAL DIFFERENCE!!!
If we can get a sneaky away win at Everton or Blackburn, which with our tightened defence has to be a possibility, then we will give ourselves an even better chance....
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You're right though. All the time the defence remains solid there is a chance of nicking draws or even wins away from home.
And all teams have awkward top 6 fixtures.
So I doubt anybody at the bottom is going to haul in all of the points they think they can get.
Now that would be a real bitch!
Unless you get relegated, believe me relegation is not very exciting!!
Made me smile.................
And sing and shout...................
I know what you mean though, it has happened plenty of times before.
There down, Wigan have massive problems and we should be looking to get past them now
looking at their fixture list i think you're right but i'm hoping that, as long as we are safe, fulham can stay up too as its an easy trip...wigan and sheff utd would be my first choices to go down purely from a location point of view...
I think 38 points will be enough to stay up and that Fulham are capable of beating Blackburn or Boro....who by the way are managed by Colemans former Palace team mate.........not that would affect things I'm sure ;-)
Given your away record I think you have to beat Sheff Utd and Spurs or it's goodnight.
Every result is unrepdictable and crucial. I think its going to be impossible to forecast accurately, and we simply have to take it on a week by week basis.
As someone else said earlier, we need to lower our concentation on other clubs, and just give everything we can to getting behind ours.
I think that just about wraps up this thread!
I agree. Personally i feel Fulham will get a win out of their remaining games and Wigan aren't playing that bad. They were unlucky not to draw with us, and got a point with 10 men at Villa. People also seem to be overlooking the fact we aren't playing well at all. Lucky against Wigan and created virtually nothing in 2 games with Reading and City.
That final match of the season is when teams produce the unlikely result.
A few seasons ago, Coventry and Wimbledon winning at Spurs, and Bradford stayed up with a win against someone they had no 'right' to beat. And they'll be several others that you may be able to bring to mind.
Premier League history is littered with unexpected last day wins from teams who made that last desperate gargantuan step to safety.
I do worry though that if the opposition score first, how likely are we to come back.
yet we're out of the relegation zone, undefeated in six games and kept a clean sheet 4 games on the trot.
Not that bad is it?
I know if someone had said three months ago we would be in this position i would have laughed them out of town...
I'm not a negative person at all, I also think we're gonna stay up, we just need a few individuals to take their fingers out.
But do they?
Like us they're in the relegation dogfight for a reason. They have their own frailties and weaknesses, just like us.
It's unlikely to be the quality of their play that wins them points.
The teams with the best organisation and strongest mindset are the teams likely to survive.