Not sure we'll drag anyone else into it now - five points plus far better GD now to Brum, even with three games in hand, that looks a stretch. Home v Yeovil and Barnsley even more massive now.
Not sure we'll drag anyone else into it now - five points plus far better GD now to Brum, even with three games in hand, that looks a stretch. Home v Yeovil and Barnsley even more massive now.
I tend to agree but wins bring 3 points which can change things quickly.
Teams at the bottom can pick up some cheap wins at the end of the season. The best that one can see of the bottom three is to get, say, 4 wins and 2 or 3 draws from their last 9/10 games. This makes the target 46/47 points. Brum could still struggle but the rest don't need to scrape much together.
If Brum lose at Millwall on Tues then they could be pulled in. Likewise the loser of Yeovil v Barnsley next Sat (if it isn't a draw) will be pretty much doomed. 6 pointers coming up thick & fast.
Would you rather Millwall win Tuesday to perhaps bring Birmingham into it or a Brum win to keep Millwall below us but that would almost guarantee it being a '3 from 4' situation?
doncaster hti form at the right time. brum could definately be sucked into it. millwall are probbaly most likely to go down because they have no spirit really. we have a great defence, yeovil and barnsley have great spirit and brum have some real quality.
Birmingham to win (or at the very least, a draw) midweek please. We just need three teams worse than us (not five or six) and the less points that Yeovil, Barnsley and Millwall get from now until the end of the season, the better.
Going by sportsclubstats data (I enjoy that site a little bit too much), as of today we have a 35.2% chance of being relegated. A Millwall win on Tuesday adds an extra 3% to our relegation chances. A draw at the Den would take 1% off our relegation chances while a win for Birmingham would take 2% from our chance of relegation.
(Yeovil winning at Leicester would add 7% to our chance of relegation. A draw at the King Power would add 1% to our relegation chances while a home win would result in a 1.5% swing in our favour.)
Would you rather Millwall win Tuesday to perhaps bring Birmingham into it or a Brum win to keep Millwall below us but that would almost guarantee it being a '3 from 4' situation?
doncaster hti form at the right time. brum could definately be sucked into it. millwall are probbaly most likely to go down because they have no spirit really. we have a great defence, yeovil and barnsley have great spirit and brum have some real quality.
All you hear each week as we tread water and sink is Blackpool/ Bolton/Doncaster/Birmingham/whoever are sinking fast and will get sucked in .....erm err they don't tho ! Or Yeovil and Barnsley are gone, well 1 and 3 points behind us is hardly gone ! The lack of creativity is pathetic and with pathetic finishing we need a miracle turnaround With Stephens and Kermo sold , when basically they were the only two who consistently looked to gamble and create something in the final third we have no guile still our fucktard fans would rather Forrest Gump run around like a headless chicken as long as he gives 100%
I'd say three out of five. The current bottom three, us and Birmingham. Yeovil are the ones to watch. Their goal difference isn't too bad and had they held on yesterday they'd be out the bottom three and we'd be in it. It could still be Charlton and Millwall that go down. I think Barnsley are doomed.
How about this scenario? West Ham, Palace and Fulham relegated. QPR (& Watford) miss promotion. Us and Millwall safe. Orient promoted. Our away following next season would even satisfy Oohaa
How about this scenario? West Ham, Palace and Fulham relegated. QPR (& Watford) miss promotion. Us and Millwall safe. Orient promoted. Our away following next season would even satisfy Oohaa
Still in our hands. As things stand winning our games in hand will put us clear. What we don't want is having to win them all to stay in touch. Barnsley have surely gone if not mathematically then that 94th minute goal they conceded yesterday would have hit them hard.
Forest are currently appalling. Can we take advantage of that on Tuesday?
The day Yann and Stephens left I accepted that we are going down. Don't look like scoring at all. A pathetic attempt to stay up and will be relegated with Millwall.
Barnsley, Millwall and Charlton for me. Miller and Hayter will score the goals to save Yeovil. Anything but 9 points from the Yeovil, Barnsley and Bolton home matches and it's goodnight nurse for s.
Three teams that will have a key influence on the run in are Blackburn, Brighton and Middlesbrough:
Blackburn play us, Millwall and Yeovil between now and the end of the season, Brighton play us, Yeovil and Barnsley & Middlesbrough play Millwall, Yeovil and Barnsley (COME ON THE BORO!!)
Incidentally, as of today: the only team in our run in that has no games against the other three teams below us is Sheffield Wednesday. This game, Barnsley (H) and Reading (H) should be treated as our games in hand.
Comments
Teams at the bottom can pick up some cheap wins at the end of the season. The best that one can see of the bottom three is to get, say, 4 wins and 2 or 3 draws from their last 9/10 games. This makes the target 46/47 points. Brum could still struggle but the rest don't need to scrape much together.
It could certainly be 3 from 4 in a week's time.
If Millwall beat Birmingham on tuesday then the likes of Doncaster and Birmingham are dragged back into it.
The winner of Bolton v Blackpool on tuesday is probably safe.
Assuming Barnsley lose midweek then if they also lose at Yeovil then they're as good as down.
As we've known for a while, our hopes rest on the home games with Yeovil, Barnsley and Bolton.
With games coming thick and fast it's going to change weekly. Any side down there picking up 6 or 7 points from 3 games in a week can pull well away.
Going by sportsclubstats data (I enjoy that site a little bit too much), as of today we have a 35.2% chance of being relegated. A Millwall win on Tuesday adds an extra 3% to our relegation chances. A draw at the Den would take 1% off our relegation chances while a win for Birmingham would take 2% from our chance of relegation.
(Yeovil winning at Leicester would add 7% to our chance of relegation. A draw at the King Power would add 1% to our relegation chances while a home win would result in a 1.5% swing in our favour.)
Or Yeovil and Barnsley are gone, well 1 and 3 points behind us is hardly gone !
The lack of creativity is pathetic and with pathetic finishing we need a miracle turnaround
With Stephens and Kermo sold , when basically they were the only two who consistently looked to gamble and create something in the final third we have no guile
still our fucktard fans would rather Forrest Gump run around like a headless chicken as long as he gives 100%
The transfer business Roland our Saviour did at the end of Jan sealed our relegation, sacking Powell just confirmed it.
And even Southend are going to choke and not go up...
West Ham, Palace and Fulham relegated.
QPR (& Watford) miss promotion.
Us and Millwall safe.
Orient promoted.
Our away following next season would even satisfy Oohaa
Forest are currently appalling. Can we take advantage of that on Tuesday?
By the time we play Bolton Blackburn and Watford they'll have nothing to play for so hopefully that might help us
The day Yann and Stephens left I accepted that we are going down. Don't look like scoring at all. A pathetic attempt to stay up and will be relegated with Millwall.
Blackburn play us, Millwall and Yeovil between now and the end of the season,
Brighton play us, Yeovil and Barnsley &
Middlesbrough play Millwall, Yeovil and Barnsley (COME ON THE BORO!!)
Incidentally, as of today: the only team in our run in that has no games against the other three teams below us is Sheffield Wednesday. This game, Barnsley (H) and Reading (H) should be treated as our games in hand.