How would the table have looked after 80 minutes?

Callumcafc

Found a football blog tonight (http://notbottomline.wordpress.com/) and it has an analysis of the major leagues and if their games had finished after 80 minutes. That included the Championship but was only up to date to the beginning of April. So I thought I'd manually fill in the final 6-8 rounds of fixtures and for people interested enough, here is the league table that came out...



Didn't do GD and all that stuff..... just the points. I do love my stats but I'm not THAT sad. :-)

RedPanda

Given the late Leeds and Wolves winners, we're probably about right then. Peterborough though, they must have a lot of regrets.

Callumcafc

After eighty minutes, we were beating Leeds 1-0. Varney's equaliser was in the 81st minute, I didn't realise it was that late in the game. Of course, Obika scored even later!

Four most interesting teams for me are Leeds, Forest, Peterborough and Blackpool.

North Lower Neil

So get in Leeds' fitness coach is what the stats tell us!

Callumcafc

The stats tell us to AVOID their fitness coach! We wanna get Blackpool's fitness coach in, our Forest's. :-)

Absurdistan

So who would be top at 60 minutes a game?

Callumcafc

Peterborough.

Athletico Charlton

reckon we would have been top two on 85 mins.

Exiled_Addick

Massive jump for Peterborough - suggests their players just aren't fit enough.

stonewallpenalty

Exiled_Addick said:

Massive jump for Peterborough - suggests their players just aren't fit enough.

A mix of fitness and changing tactics effectively. They just do not defend.

stonewallpenalty

Exiled_Addick said:

Massive jump for Peterborough - suggests their players just aren't fit enough.

A mix of fitness and changing tactics effectively. They just do not defend.

se9addick

Wow, can't believe Blackpool !

North Lower Neil

Callumcafc said:

The stats tell us to AVOID their fitness coach! We wanna get Blackpool's fitness coach in, our Forest's. :-)

Yeah, oops. Should have gone to bed earlier, obviously tired!!

AFKABartram

Ans if my auntie had.....

I'm actually surprised at how little difference it makes to be honest !

Hampshire_Addick

AFKABartram said:

I'm actually surprised at how little difference it makes to be honest !

I didnt believe it so i had to work it out myself and it is correct.

We would have beaten Boro away (+2 point), drawn with wolves at home (-2 points), beaten wednesday at home (+3 points) and beaten huddesfield at home (+2 point). So we would have gained an extra 5 points.

Both Birmingham games, despite their late equalisers in both games, were both 0-0 at 80 mins.

MrOneLung

Obviously Powell is unable to utilize the substitutes properly.

Powell out.

cafcfan

Yeah, but that's just 80 minutes. In this hypothetical situation there would still have been, say, an average of 3 minutes extra time, so you'd really have to look at the situation after 83 minutes I guess.

Oggy Red

stonewallpenalty said:

Exiled_Addick said:

Massive jump for Peterborough - suggests their players just aren't fit enough.

A mix of fitness and changing tactics effectively. They just do not defend.

As I've said before - Peterboro, first 7 matches = 7 straight defeats.
Just one draw in those 7 matches would have saved them from relegation.

If ... they had averaged even just a point per game in those first 7 games, it would have seen them finish in comfortable mid-table on 61 points.

A decent upper mid-table start (like Wolves) and they may have even been challenging for the playoffs!


Their first 7 matches done for them - they just couldn't quite catch up.