So, here are the results of the last three games of the season. Impossible? No. Implausible? Yes.
None of the results below look to be overly optimistic, although the ones marked with asterisks might be pushing it a bit. You would expect Forest to turn over Barnsley - but if the other results are correct (and that's a big if), they would need to win by a few to knock us out of 6th spot. Charlton winning at Middlesbro is a big ask even though Boro are out of form. And, you would expect Bolton to beat Blackpool - and the good news is that a one goal win still keeps us 6th.
We are also depending on our 'friends' from Palace and Millwall to get the right results. Maybe, they will let us down.
Of course, this is a crazy division for results. Now, let me go and check Charlton's home form guide to see whether it is really a possibility.
Bolton v Middlesbro 1-1
Crystal Palace v Leicester 2-0
Notts F v Barnsley 1-1 **
Charlton v Wolves 2-0
Leicester v Watford 1-1
Cardiff v Bolton 2-0
Millwall v Notts F 2-1
Middlesbro v Charlton 1-2 **
Bolton v Blackpool 1-1 **
Charlton v Bristol City 2-0
Notts F v Leicester 1-1
Charlton 67 GD +7
Leicester 66 GD +21
Bolton 65 GD +5
Notts F 65 GD +3
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Comments
2% chance of playoffs and 0.5% chance of finishing above the nigels im afraid, but good season still
One thing that was nice last night was us pushing forward in last 5 minutes to try to get the winner, playing 5 up front at one point i noticed.So the players obviously still feel they have a chance.
Based on "Sports Club Stats" simulations the odds of Charlton finishing in a Play-Off place if we win the last three games are 7%.
Based on these assumptions/analysis, the chances of a Play-Off place are, therefore, 0.4% or 1 in 250.
Highly unlikely, but not out of the question. I'm sure that Chris Powell will simply focus on winning the game against Wolves and go from there. I'd say it's nice that there is still some interest in the season, largely academic though it might be.