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ReadingOmeter

maybe_babymaybe_baby
edited December 2012 in General Charlton
Can someone who is better than me at maths (thats about everyone) do a thread parraleling Readings promotion run to our own, as it is spookily similar. A match by match update could be interesting.

Admin: Please feel free to remove if you think I'm being too much of an anorak.

Comments

  • cfgscfgs
    Or a bit optimistic
  • adamtheaddickadamtheaddick
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 06Aug 2011
    Reading 2 - 2 Millwall
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 13Aug 2011
    Leicester 0 - 2 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 16Aug 2011
    Portsmouth 1 - 0 Reading
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 20Aug 2011
    Reading 1 - 2 Barnsley
    L
    CARLING CUP Tu 23Aug 2011
    Charlton 2 - 1 Reading
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 27Aug 2011
    Hull 1 - 0 Reading
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 10Sep 2011
    Reading 0 - 2 Watford
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 17Sep 2011
    Reading 2 - 0 Doncaster
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 24Sep 2011
    Coventry 1 - 1 Reading
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 27Sep 2011
    Bristol C 2 - 3 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 01Oct 2011
    Reading 0 - 0 Middlesbro
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 15Oct 2011
    Burnley 0 - 1 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 18Oct 2011
    Reading 2 - 2 Derby
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 22Oct 2011
    Reading 1 - 1 Southampton
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 29Oct 2011
    C Palace 0 - 0 Reading
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 01Nov 2011
    Nottm Forest 1 - 0 Reading
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Su 06Nov 2011
    Reading 1 - 0 Birmingham
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 19Nov 2011
    Reading 1 - 2 Cardiff
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 26Nov 2011
    Ipswich 2 - 3 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 29Nov 2011
    Reading 3 - 2 Peterborough
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 03Dec 2011
    Blackpool 1 - 0 Reading
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 10Dec 2011
    Reading 3 - 0 West Ham
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 17Dec 2011
    Leeds 0 - 1 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Mo 26Dec 2011
    Reading 3 - 0 Brighton
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 31Dec 2011
    Reading 1 - 0 Ipswich
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Mo 02Jan 2012
    Cardiff 3 - 1 Reading
    L
    ENGLISH FA CUP Sa 07Jan 2012
    Reading 0 - 1 Stevenage
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 14Jan 2012
    Watford 1 - 2 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 21Jan 2012
    Reading 0 - 1 Hull
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 28Jan 2012
    Reading 1 - 0 Bristol C
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 11Feb 2012
    Reading 2 - 0 Coventry
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 14Feb 2012
    Derby 0 - 1 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Fr 17Feb 2012
    Reading 1 - 0 Burnley
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 25Feb 2012
    Middlesbro 0 - 2 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 03Mar 2012
    Millwall 1 - 2 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 06Mar 2012
    Reading 1 - 0 Portsmouth
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 10Mar 2012
    Reading 3 - 1 Leicester
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 13Mar 2012
    Doncaster 1 - 1 Reading
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 17Mar 2012
    Barnsley 0 - 4 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 20Mar 2012
    Peterborough 3 - 1 Reading
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 24Mar 2012
    Reading 3 - 1 Blackpool
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 31Mar 2012
    West Ham 2 - 4 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Fr 06Apr 2012
    Reading 2 - 0 Leeds
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 10Apr 2012
    Brighton 0 - 1 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Fr 13Apr 2012
    Southampton 1 - 3 Reading
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 17Apr 2012
    Reading 1 - 0 Nottm Forest
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 21Apr 2012
    Reading 2 - 2 C Palace
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 28Apr 2012
    Birmingham 2 - 0 Reading

    US

    CAPITAL ONE CUP Tu 14Aug 2012
    Charlton 1 - 1 Leyton Orient
    D*
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 18Aug 2012
    Birmingham 1 - 1 Charlton
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 21Aug 2012
    Charlton 2 - 1 Leicester
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 25Aug 2012
    Charlton 0 - 0 Hull
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 01Sep 2012
    Nottm Forest 2 - 1 Charlton
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Fr 14Sep 2012
    Charlton 0 - 1 C Palace
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 18Sep 2012
    Derby 3 - 2 Charlton
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 22Sep 2012
    Ipswich 1 - 2 Charlton
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 29Sep 2012
    Charlton 1 - 1 Blackburn
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 02Oct 2012
    Charlton 1 - 2 Watford
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 06Oct 2012
    Blackpool 0 - 2 Charlton
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 20Oct 2012
    Charlton 0 - 1 Barnsley
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 23Oct 2012
    Leeds 1 - 1 Charlton
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 27Oct 2012
    Wolves 1 - 1 Charlton
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 03Nov 2012
    Charlton 1 - 4 Middlesbro
    L
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 06Nov 2012
    Charlton 5 - 4 Cardiff
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Su 11Nov 2012
    Bristol C 0 - 2 Charlton
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 17Nov 2012
    Burnley 0 - 1 Charlton
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 24Nov 2012
    Charlton 1 - 1 Huddersfield
    D
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Tu 27Nov 2012
    Charlton 2 - 0 Peterborough
    W
    ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP Sa 01Dec 2012
    Millwall 0 - 0 Charlton
  • lancashire ladlancashire lad
    try looking at the Promoregulator in the Statbank which is published a couple of days after each match, the one for the Millwall match was put on the site this afternoon.
  • colthe3rdcolthe3rd
    edited December 2012
    Have a couple of graphs
    image

    Ignore the labelling on the second graph, should be points not position. Very amateur of me.
  • CallumcafcCallumcafc
    edited December 2012
    I'll give it a go @maybe_baby

    AFTER FIVE GAMES:

    Reading': W1 D1 L3 ... F5 A6 ... PTS4 ... 20th
    Charlton: W1 D2 L2 ... F4 A5 ... PTS5 ... 21st

    AFTER TEN GAMES:

    Reading': W3 D3 L4 ... F11 A11 ... PTS12 ... 15th
    Charlton: W3 D3 L4 ... F12 A12 ... PTS12 ... 15th

    AFTER FIFTEEN GAMES:

    Reading': W4 D6 L5 ... F15 A15 ... PTS18 ... 16th
    Charlton: W4 D5 L6 ... F20 A23 ... PTS17 ... 19th

    AFTER TWENTY GAMES:

    Reading': W7 D6 L7 ... F23 A22 ... PTS27 ... 11th
    Charlton: W7 D7 L6 ... F26 A24 ... PTS28 ... 13th



    It was after the 20th game that Reading really pulled away though, winning 13 of their next 15.
  • Weegie AddickWeegie Addick
    Will be astonished if we can match that! But not really expecting to win the league, are we?!
  • CallumcafcCallumcafc
    edited December 2012
    Couple of other parallels from their season to ours:

    -Knocked out in Round 1 of League Cup by a L1 team (Reading knocked out by us, we were knocked out by Orient)
    -Drawn against a team in third round of FA Cup who won a play-off final the previous May (Reading were knocked out by Stevenage)
  • LuckyRedsLuckyReds
    edited December 2012
    image

    Bah, nowhere near as good as colthe3rd! I didnt even the label the graph to show it was points..!

    It's amazing how similar our seasons have been so far; us being 1 point ahead - but 2 positions below. That said, the run of form which Reading hit a few more games into the season is nothing short of spectacular.
  • colthe3rdcolthe3rd
    Wait until I get to work and do some regression analysis on that bad boy!*









    *I have no idea what I'm talking about!
  • MattDMattD
    edited December 2012
    This thread just considerably raised my expectations for this season
    Only for them to be shot back down in a months time im sure.

    At this point last season, who was first and how many points did they have?
    Wonder if we are further behind than Reading were?
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  • CallumcafcCallumcafc
    Saints were top with 42 points after 20 games, one more than Cardiff this year.
  • maybe_babymaybe_baby
    WOW thanks everyone...glad to know I'm not the only anorak.
  • seriously_redseriously_red
    If the current squad come close to matching Readings December form then who knows what might happen with a couple of additions in the window?!
    Top 2 has to be beyond us but 3 points for a win means top 6 is possible
  • dizzeedizzee
    Leave it aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaat
  • nth_london_addicknth_london_addick
    Just take one game at a time and see what happens walk before run


    And on Saturday we saw we don't run anymore
  • PlaaayerPlaaayer
    Stand to win £12,600, we can do this!
  • RedArmySE7RedArmySE7
    Plaaayer said:

    Stand to win £12,600, we can do this!

    *A share of
  • PlaaayerPlaaayer
    edited December 2012
    You haven't paid yet Smiiiiiiiiiizeman.
  • Paddy7Paddy7
    Thanks for the graphs guys. Even if matching what Reading did after Christmas might be a bit fanciful, it's great to see our line progressing steadily upwards, both for points and for position.
  • johnnybev1987johnnybev1987
    Blimey that would be some effort to win 13 of 15, but so far liking the comparisons. Great graphs/stats guys thanks :)
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  • colthe3rdcolthe3rd
    edited December 2012
    Here's another:
    image
    So this is looking at the whole season. The orange line is what we would have to acheive from this point to equal Reading's 89 points last season, which from now until the end of the season is 2.3 points per game (ppg).
    The purple is what we would need to acheive to make automatic promotion. Using a 6 year average points total for automatic promotion (which I've defined as 3rd place total + 1 point) is 82 points, so from this point to the end is 2.1 ppg.
    Finally the red line is what we will acheive using our season ppg to date, so far we are getting 1.4 ppg, take that on to 46 games and it equals a total of 64 points.

    As you can see, would be a huge ask to acheive automatic promotion.
  • maybe_babymaybe_baby
    Absolutely brilliant Colthe...very straight forward for one as thick as I.
  • Weegie AddickWeegie Addick
    Great stuff, Col. I'd be quite happy with 64 points this season!
  • redmanredman
    Spookily close but can't see it happening - I will be delighted if we can just get top half
  • Henry IrvingHenry Irving
    Big difference is that Reading were taken over in January and were able to buy the likes of Roberts and Le Fondre.

    We on the other hand haven't even had a sniff of a takeover

    : - )
  • Oggy RedOggy Red
    colthe3rd said:

    Here's another:
    image
    So this is looking at the whole season. The orange line is what we would have to acheive from this point to equal Reading's 89 points last season, which from now until the end of the season is 2.3 points per game (ppg).
    The purple is what we would need to acheive to make automatic promotion. Using a 6 year average points total for automatic promotion (which I've defined as 3rd place total + 1 point) is 82 points, so from this point to the end is 2.1 ppg.
    Finally the red line is what we will acheive using our season ppg to date, so far we are getting 1.4 ppg, take that on to 46 games and it equals a total of 64 points.

    As you can see, would be a huge ask to acheive automatic promotion.

    Agree, Colt .....highly improbable.

    One thing, though ...... the past 6 games, we've taken 14 points - and that works out to around 2.3 points per game!
  • LuckyRedsLuckyReds
    edited December 2012
    Once again, a very poor 5 minute jobby in excel (you can even see the cell letters above it.. doh) - and my excel skills are astonishingly poor.

    image

    With great disappoint I've noticed that we've been overtaken.. Powell Out. ;)
  • maybe_babymaybe_baby
    Thank you so much LR...it's great being an anorak.
  • Fanny FanackapanFanny Fanackapan
    We're doomed, Mr Mainwaring !!
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