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E# - For League One

lordromfordlordromford
edited February 2012 in General Charlton
Many of the baseball fans on here will probably know what this is, but if you don't know, let me explain:

"E#" means "Elimination Number" and is a device used in MLB league tables to indicate how close a team is to securing their divisional championship.
Every team except the league leaders have an "E#". This number effectively represents how many games it will take to ensure that that team cannot overtake the league leaders.
Importantly, the number is made up of the sum of number of wins for the leaders plus defeats by the trailing side that are required to ensure the trailing side cannot overhaul the leader.
Sounds confusing, but it's an interesting stat as the season draws to a close because you start counting down the games.
Anyway, I thought people might find it interesting for Charlton's season this year. I've had to tweak it slightly to accomodate draws and I've ignored goal difference, so the magic number will only be reached if the leading team can't be caught in points.

If you're not sure what I'm banging on about, I've explained a bit more in the excel sheet linked:

If anyone's even vaguely interested, I'll update this weekly.
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Comments

  • Weegie AddickWeegie Addick
    Can't open the attachment so have no idea if it is interesting or not! Sorry....
  • PlaaayerPlaaayer
    Does that mean then, that if Sheff Weds won all there remaining games we'd need to win 14 of ours left so they couldn't catch us?
  • lordromfordlordromford
    Does that mean then, that if Sheff Weds won all there remaining games we'd need to win 14 of ours left so they couldn't catch us?
    Precisely!
  • palcafcpalcafc
    I cant open it either
  • Chirpy RedChirpy Red
    I can open it but can't make head nor tail of it...
  • lordromfordlordromford
    Sorry, not sure why.
    I tried linking to dropbox earlier but it didn't work. (Hence the "oops" post)
    Can anyone advise?
  • MrOneLungMrOneLung
    Or is it, that if Sheff Weds lost 14 games they could no longer catch us ?
  • lordromfordlordromford
    Considering your views on maths, Chirpy, I can't say I'm surprised!

    ;-)
  • RizzoRizzo
    I've opened it, read it, understood it and then destroyed it to hide the evidence.
  • lordromfordlordromford
    edited February 2012
    MrOneLung - Also correct.

    There are also many other combinations. :-)
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  • eaststandmikeeaststandmike
    Forgive me gents but isn't it all the same as looking at the league table and doing a quick calculation the same as we have been doing for years?

    What has E# and the "sum of the number of wins" got to do with it?
  • PlaaayerPlaaayer
    Does that mean then, that if Sheff Weds won all there remaining games we'd need to win 14 of ours left so they couldn't catch us?
    Precisely!
    My mum always said I'd make something of my life!
  • PlaaayerPlaaayer
    Any good?
  • Addickted4lifeAddickted4life
    Very confused.
  • eaststandmikeeaststandmike
    Does that mean then, that if Sheff Weds won all there remaining games we'd need to win 14 of ours left so they couldn't catch us?
    Precisely!
    My mum always said I'd make something of my life!
    It won't be an English teacher
  • PlaaayerPlaaayer
    Banter!
  • lordromfordlordromford
    Forgive me gents but isn't it all the same as looking at the league table and doing a quick calculation the same as we have been doing for years?

    What has E# and the "sum of the number of wins" got to do with it?
    It's just a device to aid with the countdown. As the season goes on, teams will gradually become eliminated until (hopefully) they all are. It's not going to change the world and I've shamelessly nicked it from MLB. I just find it interesting every year in the baseball close season.
  • YannthemanYanntheman
    like this
  • eaststandmikeeaststandmike
    Think I will stick with my league ladders from "Shoot" magazine.

    Ta anyway
  • lordromfordlordromford
    Think I will stick with my league ladders from "Shoot" magazine.

    Ta anyway
    Y'welcome!
    :-)
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  • DRFDRF
    I found that very interesting thank you.
  • Weegie AddickWeegie Addick
    OK - opened it now. Does it mean that even Chesterfield could still catch us if they win all their games and we lose all ours?? That's a depressing thought...!!
  • lordromfordlordromford
    OK - opened it now. Does it mean that even Chesterfield could still catch us if they win all their games and we lose all ours?? That's a depressing thought...!!
    Yeah. To be honest, that's why I've started it now, as we're close to getting the first couple of teams eliminated!
  • eaststandmikeeaststandmike
    edited February 2012
    OK - opened it now. Does it mean that even Chesterfield could still catch us if they win all their games and we lose all ours?? That's a depressing thought...!!
    LOL, come on Weegie, tell me that was not a serious question.
  • GreenWithEnvyGreenWithEnvy
    OK - opened it now. Does it mean that even Chesterfield could still catch us if they win all their games and we lose all ours?? That's a depressing thought...!!
    In the Charlton universe it wouldn't be outside the realms of possibility!! : P
  • Weegie AddickWeegie Addick
    Of course it was serious - it's what the stats show us! We've all said complacency is our biggest enemy...and this just proves it.
  • lordromfordlordromford
    Of course it was serious - it's what the stats show us! We've all said complacency is our biggest enemy...and this just proves it.
    Very true!
  • StrasburgerStrasburger
    I likey..
    HAd my own sheet that counted down to avoid the drop but gave up on this season. i will happy look at it if you publish more.

    So looking at this we need to win 5 more games to be safe from the drop.
  • LincsaddickLincsaddick
    Interesting .. but is it any use for stinging the blessed bookies ?
  • david2206david2206
    I like this. I always get confused working out how many points are needed in the run in.
    nice to see that if we win five more games we will definitely be clear of relegation ;-)
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