Interesting League 1 Stats

Return of the SE7

Found this which was put together by a Swindon supporter when they were pushing for promotion from League 1. It's based on stats from 8 League 1 seasons so not a large sample but probably not far off probable outcomes. I've added CAFC stats for the year at end.

The Champions
Highest Points Total: 100
Lowest Points Total: 82
Average Points Total: 92.6
Guaranteed Points Total: 92

Automatic Promotion
Highest Points Total: 91
Lowest Points Total: 79
Average Points Total: 85
Guaranteed Points Total: 88

Third Place
Highest Points Total: 87
Lowest Points Total: 76
Average Points Total: 82
Guaranteed Points Total: 85

Fourth Place
Highest Points Total: 84
Lowest Points Total: 73
Average Points Total: 79.1
Guaranteed Points Total: 83

Fifth Place
Highest Points Total: 82
Lowest Points Total: 72
Average Points Total: 76.7
Guaranteed Points Total: 82

Sixth Place
Highest Points Total: 81
Lowest Points Total: 71
Average Points Total: 75.1
Guaranteed Points Total: 81

To Avoid Relegation
Guaranteed Points Total: 52

CAFC
22 games to go, max 66 points available
Currently on 54 points
Therefore 38 additional points required to win the league
13 wins (39 points) to win the league
Average of 1.77 points per game to win the league
Current average points per game is 2.25
Based on current average, on target for 104 points or 50 additional points

mparsons1

interesting. Who got the highest points total in league 1?

lordromford

What does "Guaranteed Points Total" signify?

Salad

top five teams have more points at present than is typical, so 92 might not be enough to be champions, surely should be enough for 2nd at least though ...

Covered_End_Lad

interesting. Who got the highest points total in league 1?

reading i believe

lancashire lad

I think this season is not a typical L1season as there seem to be 5 teams who are far better than the rest and therefore a far higher point total will be needed, we have to aim for the maximum and not settle for draws against the other top teams.

North Lower Neil

What does "Guaranteed Points Total" signify?

I read it as the amount of points that if you'd have got, you definitely would have finished there or higher.

i.e. No one has got 88 and finished third.

Bournemouth Addick

What does "Guaranteed Points Total" signify?

I read it as the amount of points that if you'd have got, you definitely would have finished there or higher.

i.e. No one has got 88 and finished third.

Keeping the faith at the moment be we just love breaking records like that don't we whereas with other teams it seems to fall the other way e.g. didn't West Ham stay up one year with the lowest total ever or thereabouts?

guinnessaddick

What does "Guaranteed Points Total" signify?

I read it as the amount of points that if you'd have got, you definitely would have finished there or higher.

i.e. No one has got 88 and finished third.

Keeping the faith at the moment be we just love breaking records like that don't we whereas with other teams it seems to fall the other way e.g. didn't West Ham stay up one year with the lowest total ever or thereabouts?

I think they went down with the highest points ever to get relegated.

Oggy Red

Interesting to see Highest Points total for 4th place, 84.

Charlton finished 4th under Parky with 84 points.

Stig

Good Stats Return of the SE7. I think we're looking good.

stonemuse

Certainly suggests we are going to make it

NathanPrior

Most points total from L1 was Fulham with 104

fatrob

Most points total from L1 was Fulham with 104

Was it not Reading

Salad

please don't forget there are sixty+ points to be played for, the best you can say is that, like the Sheffield clubs, we are on target for a top two place

Oggy Red

That's the interesting thing, Salad - amazingly there are five clubs on target fior automatic promotion.