This is Charlton's fifteenth season in Tier three. On average in this league, Charlton win 41% of matches, and lose 34%.
We've been promoted from this league four times, prior to this season. In 1929, we won 55% and lost 26%; in the record-breaking 1935 season, it was 64% v 19%; in 1975, 48% v 28%; in 1981, 54% v 26%.
So far this season, we've won 53% and lost 13%. Well on course!
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Nice :-)
Don't suppose you could break it down into monthly segments during the promotion years. Just so we can see what the peaks and troughs were. For instance was the current slump we are going through repeated in any of those seasons and at what point did we recover :-)
In 1981 (last time we went up from tier three), the first slump was in September Won 1, Lost 4. Also, between 28 February and 21 April, we won two out of twelve.
In 1975, we lost 7 of the first 20, but the big slump was much later on, winning only two of the last nine games.
In the amazing 1935 season, we didn't really have a slump to speak of. However, even in that year, we lost the first game (so, after one game this season, we were already ahead); and there was a "blip" in January when we lost two in a row.
In 1929, we started with a slump - we didn't win any of the first three games; from mid-November to mid-December, we went five games without a win; and in March, we lost three in five.
So, we usually have a much bigger "slump" than we're currently experiencing (ie one defeat in a row). And we usually leave it later in the season, giving us less chance of recovering.
We're well on course for promotion!
Any tips on when the economy will come out of recession :-)
Great work Chizz, very interesting
We didn't lose another home game until October 1936, two and a half years and two divisions later.
I think we need a new permanent thread called 'statistical nut jobs' along the lines of 'taking threads away from their original subject' and 'brand new word thread'...
I will drink to that.
Damn, I will need to put my drink down
Job done
You get the match ball for that one Chizz.
Great stats by the way.
I always find it odd that us Addicks tend to assume that a bad run will last forever and a good run will end any moment. We started the season with a favourable run of fixtures and filled our boots, now on a tougher run we've levelled out but if you look at the fixture list there are more 'easy' games on the horizon - so who is to say we won't go on another good run to more than make up for the poorer results of the last few weeks?
Just think back to 99/00 - twelve wins on the bounce around Christmas and New Year and then couldn't buy a win from about March, but we still went up as Champions.
Take golfie's general point though. We have been blessed in the past with being able to find effective strikers. Hales, Flanagan, Paul Walsh, Super Clive, Andy Hunt, Benty. It is vital (stating the obvious I know) that we find someone like the aforementioned pretty sharpish.