What we now need - why we're going down.

Scoham

Not going completely give up but having a look at the table there is just too much for us to do. We're not going to see a bad season in which teams stay up on 45 points.

With 11 games left we now need a minimum of either-
6 wins 5 draws 0 defeats
7 wins 2 draws 2 defeats
8 wins 0 draws 3 defeats

We've only had 6 league wins all season. We're better than we were, but how are we going to score the goals? We can't keep relying on Bailey.

If we had a goalscorer this team would have a chance. Closest thing to that is putting Dickson back with Kandol and hoping they can link up like they did a few games ago (Plymouth was it?).

We'll give it a go but it would have to be our best form since probably the start of 05/06.

Imnot Athletic

Considering the results in the last two rounds of matches, I don't think 50 points will now be enough to stay up. Out of the bottom 8 only Blackpool are failing to show any form at the moment, I can see all of the rest gaining 4 wins or more from thier remaining matches. Hopefully Parky faces facts and starts planning for next season. :-(

1905

[cite]Posted By: Imnot Athletic[/cite]Considering the results in the last two rounds of matches, I don't think 50 points will now be enough to stay up. Out of the bottom 8 only Blackpool are failing to show any form at the moment, I can see all of the rest gaining 4 wins or more from thier remaining matches. Hopefully Parky faces facts and starts planning for next season. :-(

But the fact is, that mathematically, we can still stay up. The presumption is that we will go down - it is not a fact yet.

Scoham

It's being realistic, we've won 6 league games all season. We need a minimum of 6 wins and 5 draws, and even then it might not be enough.

Biggest problem is we can't score goals.

Imnot Athletic

[cite]Posted By: 1905[/cite]

But the fact is, that mathematically, we can still stay up. The presumption is that we will go down - it is not a fact yet.

Before the weekend I thought we had a chance, but not now and its the performances of others rather than our own that makes me think that. Parky set a target of 50 points before the weekend and I think if he was asked again he'd set the bar higher. I know its still mathematically possible, but with less games to go and more points to get, the probability has shrunk to near zero.

mid_life_crisis

[cite]Posted By: 1905[/cite]

[cite]Posted By: Imnot Athletic[/cite]Considering the results in the last two rounds of matches, I don't think 50 points will now be enough to stay up. Out of the bottom 8 only Blackpool are failing to show any form at the moment, I can see all of the rest gaining 4 wins or more from thier remaining matches. Hopefully Parky faces facts and starts planning for next season. :-(

But the fact is, that mathematically, we can still stay up. The presumption is that we will go down - it is not a fact yet.

According to the bookies, we now have a 1 in 9 chance of avoiding relegation.

Henry Irving

[cite]Posted By: mid_life_crisis[/cite]

[cite]Posted By: 1905[/cite]

[cite]Posted By: Imnot Athletic[/cite]Considering the results in the last two rounds of matches, I don't think 50 points will now be enough to stay up. Out of the bottom 8 only Blackpool are failing to show any form at the moment, I can see all of the rest gaining 4 wins or more from thier remaining matches. Hopefully Parky faces facts and starts planning for next season. :-(

But the fact is, that mathematically, we can still stay up. The presumption is that we will go down - it is not a fact yet.

According to the bookies, we now have a 1 in 9 chance of avoiding relegation.

That's not what 9 to 1 on means. Betting odds are not probabilities.

We are still going to go down barring a miracle.

Mortimerician

generous odds

mid_life_crisis

[cite]Posted By: Henry Irving[/cite]

[cite]Posted By: mid_life_crisis[/cite]

[cite]Posted By: 1905[/cite]

[cite]Posted By: Imnot Athletic[/cite]Considering the results in the last two rounds of matches, I don't think 50 points will now be enough to stay up. Out of the bottom 8 only Blackpool are failing to show any form at the moment, I can see all of the rest gaining 4 wins or more from thier remaining matches. Hopefully Parky faces facts and starts planning for next season. :-(

But the fact is, that mathematically, we can still stay up. The presumption is that we will go down - it is not a fact yet.

According to the bookies, we now have a 1 in 9 chance of avoiding relegation.

That's not what 9 to 1 on means. Betting odds are not probabilities.

We are still going to go down barring a miracle.

Correct Henry - that's what 8 to 1 on means.

C_f_W

[quote][cite]Posted By: Mortimerician[/cite]generous odds[/quote]1-8 = 12.5%. Better return than the banks and pretty much nailed on so worth a go!

adamtheaddick

[cite]Posted By: Scoham[/cite]we now need a minimum of either-

Jesus Christ our lord almighty

3 teams to go into admistration

the fa to fee sorry for us and give us 20 points for being 'good Lads'

;-)

Scoham

I reckon if 3 teams went into administration we'd still make it hard for ourselves and go down by 1 goal on goal difference. Probably after missing a 90th minute penalty or something.

Imissthepeanutman

Its not the end of the World.

10 years ago 4 'current' Prem clubs were in the 3rd tier(League 2)

Fulham
Man City
Stoke
Wigan

Oggy Red

And we were in process of getting relegated from the Prem ........(!)