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Stats comparison to last season

fenaddick
fenaddick Posts: 11,926
in General Charlton
Thought it might be interesting to have a look at our attacking stats, seen a few comments about our attack not clicking and how that's similar to the start last season. I think we're looking more convincing going forward than 12 months ago despite being a division up. As I write this I haven't done the comparison so purely going on an eye test and my memory.




I know we've scored less but considering we're a division up, I think all the other stats are promising. Improve our finishing and we'll score more this season than we did last

Comments

  • golfaddick
    golfaddick Posts: 33,861
    I'm waiting another 5 or 6 games before commenting but I think you'll guess what I'm going to say.
  • Scoham
    Scoham Posts: 37,541
    golfaddick said:
    I'm waiting another 5 or 6 games before commenting but I think you'll guess what I'm going to say.
    We need to sign 3 or 4 strikers?
  • SELR_addicks
    SELR_addicks Posts: 15,516
    edited August 23
    'Just improve our finishing'. 

    Better finishers outperform their xG and worse finishers don't. We need to look at who these chances are falling to and why they're not finishing them. 

    3.63/40 = 0.091 - Average quality of chance this season
    1.93/20 =     0.096 - Average quality of chance last year.

    Shows last season on average we did create better chances, even if less frequent. Probably why we have 11 on target out of 20 compared with 14 out of 40. 5 big chances out of 20 rather than 7 out of 40. 

    So actually it kinda proves that even last year we did create better quality chances in the games last season, even if we are creating more this season. 
  • shirty5
    shirty5 Posts: 19,293
    Early doors yet and the Championship is a different level compared to last season. 


  • Chunes
    Chunes Posts: 17,440
    edited August 23
    We're not going to underperform our xG by that margin all season. The stats should even themselves out over a bigger sample, but it looks very promising. 
  • Chunes
    Chunes Posts: 17,440
    golfaddick said:
    I'm waiting another 5 or 6 games before commenting but I think you'll guess what I'm going to say.
    We should have got our business done early?
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,910
    edited August 24
    It will come as long as we keep creating the chances, I’m not particularly worried - it’s only a three game sample size. 

    If we’re still underperforming in xG and “shot conversion” rates to the extent that we are by 10-12 games in then that will be a worry.

    For now it’s well within the realms of expectation for any team that’s hitting a cold spell in front of goal.
  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 11,926

    I'm going to try to keep this updated at regular intervals, every 5 games or so. We're still underperforming our xG but we've taken a lot more shots which shows more attacking intent 
  • golfaddick
    golfaddick Posts: 33,861
    fenaddick said:

    I'm going to try to keep this updated at regular intervals, every 5 games or so. We're still underperforming our xG but we've taken a lot more shots which shows more attacking intent 
    But the shots on target ratio is worse this season. 36.8% last season compared to 28.4% this. Having a shot going 10ft over the bar isn't a sign of success. 
  • fenlandaddick
    fenlandaddick Posts: 1,787
    golfaddick said:
    I'm waiting another 5 or 6 games before commenting but I think you'll guess what I'm going to say.
    Need a MFF by the weekend?


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  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 11,926


    Thought I'd bring this back now we're at 10 games. Apart from the fact we're taking a lot more shots, and getting them on target a bit more, everything else is remarkably similar
  • Chrispy51
    Chrispy51 Posts: 474
    Thanks Fen, interesting stats - keep them coming! 

    As is the case with all stats, it doesn't show the whole picture, but does potentially show a change in attitude in the final third.  

    Thinking back to last season, I don't remember too many shots being taken from outside the area.  Also, in the early stages of last year TC was playing more centrally and therefore not cutting in off the left and taking a shot.  This season we have Carey who is more than happy to take a shot from outside the area, and TC is cutting in and shooting which is increasing the number of shots, but not necessarily increasing the xG (or the number on target unfortunately!).

    Hopefully one of the forwards gets a goal soon to get their confidence up as most are capable of putting a run together and that will make these stats look quite different quite quickly! 
  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 11,926
    Carey (and earlier in the season Apter) are definitely the difference makers for number of shots. Have to remember that we weren’t playing the hybrid system this time last season either so we were naturally more defensive 
  • Leuth
    Leuth Posts: 23,406
    Last season we had Sam Lavelle putting our forwards through on goal and so on. You get better chances in L1 cos the defenders are much more prone to letting you simply get in on goal
  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 11,926
    Leuth said:
    Last season we had Sam Lavelle putting our forwards through on goal and so on. You get better chances in L1 cos the defenders are much more prone to letting you simply get in on goal
    He was playing in L2 but your point is valid and why it’s impressive our numbers are similar
  • letthegoodtimesroll
    letthegoodtimesroll Posts: 10,696
    edited October 20
    1 point behind last season as at 10 games played and in 9th this season against 8th last season. The next 9 games last season is where it started to go off course. (Not my work - Lifted from Wikipedia) 


  • letthegoodtimesroll
    letthegoodtimesroll Posts: 10,696
    edited October 22
    Now 1 point ahead of last season with 18 points and in 5th place in a tougher division against 17 points and 12th place in L1


  • letthegoodtimesroll
    letthegoodtimesroll Posts: 10,696
    Still 1 point ahead with 19 points and in 6th place against 18 points and 11th place after game 12 last season. We were stalling after between games 11 to 19 last season and drifting away but have picked 4 points from 2 games so far and been in the play off spots after both games this time around and we’ve not had to rely upon our strikers to score the goals yet.


  • fenaddick
    fenaddick Posts: 11,926
    I'm a bit behind on this one but last season it took until 21st December for us to score more than 2 in a game (5-0 away win against Northampton) and we only did it 3 more times. We've scored 3 twice already this season
  • letthegoodtimesroll
    letthegoodtimesroll Posts: 10,696
    Game 13 and we are at 20 points amassed so far and in 8th spot against 19 points and 11th place last season where we were then heading to pick up just 5 points from the next 6 games from matches 14 to 19 after which the team was more settled and got into its stride from game 20 onwards. 


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