A very good article (paywalled unfortunately), designed to spark conversation rather than persuade. Among other things the author looks at a Goldman Sachs "sensitivity matrix" which forecasts the S&P 500 to end this year at 4,550. The author concludes by fearing that "the S&P 500 will end the year not with a 5 handle, let alone a 6 — but with a 4."
So I wonder, since we all became big US market-watchers this year, how about a second competition, forecast the S&P 500 end year figure?
Anyone up for it?
Sorry, not whilst Trump is in charge. That guy is like a loose cannon & 1 tweet could send the markets spiralling.
That’s the spirit. Is this the general position of the IFA sector? “We don’t give advice on US markets because we are too terrified of Trump”?
Deary me. I can hear the industry icon Margaret Thatcher turning in her grave and muttering “ They’re all frit”.
A very good article (paywalled unfortunately), designed to spark conversation rather than persuade. Among other things the author looks at a Goldman Sachs "sensitivity matrix" which forecasts the S&P 500 to end this year at 4,550. The author concludes by fearing that "the S&P 500 will end the year not with a 5 handle, let alone a 6 — but with a 4."
So I wonder, since we all became big US market-watchers this year, how about a second competition, forecast the S&P 500 end year figure?
Having no idea where the dollar will be in the short, medium or long term is a red flag for me when it comes to investing in US stocks. I suppose Trump's circle could look to induce volatility rather than crash it's value which is an investment opportunity but the fear he's going to go all in on slashing interest rates, increased borrowing and firing up the printing presses which means there's too much downside risk for me.
Gary Stevenson's attempt to explain what the US was doing with tariffs last week, from his Youtube channel, 'Gary's economics' - The week Trump nearly crashed the world ecnomy
00:00 Introduction
02:55 Trump's Actions
04:58 Understanding Trade Deficits
09:41 Economic Inequality
10:51 Tariffs and Their Implications
12:33 Understanding Taxation Systems
20:53 Income and Spending Patterns Across Economic Classes
23:05 Impact of Tariff Policies on Global Trade and Poverty
25:11 Humanitarian and Economic Consequences of Tariffs
27:12 Tariffs and Strategic Implications
34:42 Economic Uncertainty
40:35 Market Manipulation and Trader Psychology
47:43 Global Implications
50:08 Comparison to Fyre Festival
51:59 Build a Better Future
Comments
Only joking, mate. Nobody else fancy it?
Better than nothing but still poor.
Yes they are safe. Yes they are tax free. But soon average returns will be less than 3% and next year maybe a tad over 2%.
As I say, there are other places that can give you tax free returns.