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Championship XG
Comments
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Why are we a fish though? Surely a 🗡️ would have been a better choiceCallumcafc said:0 -
Clearly Holden deserves credit for the effectiveness of our attacking play (minus players actually putting the ball in the net) and all while we only had one senior striker available. I'd still like to see us minimise risks at the back.3
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I’ll take being a fish over being a pig, or a bell. Although some of my friends do call me the latter.NabySarr said:
Why are we a fish though? Surely a 🗡️ would have been a better choiceCallumcafc said:1 -
so if ball comes to player A in the box and he lays it off to Player B, who has a shot that is parried and then Player C hoofs it over the bar is that 3 touches in the box or all count as same one ?Callumcafc said:0 -
Three I believeMrOneLung said:
so if ball comes to player A in the box and he lays it off to Player B, who has a shot that is parried and then Player C hoofs it over the bar is that 3 touches in the box or all count as same one ?Callumcafc said:0 -
Bringing this thread back for all xG lovers. Definitely too small a sample size after only 4 games, but the data so far suggests we are unlucky to have only picked up 4 points and have been one of the better sides in the league so far from our 4 game sample9 -
Shows that we are performing well at everything apart from converting our chances, unfortunately.We are creating more than enough compared to what our defenders are allowing in return.This tallies with our “chance conversion rate” being sub 4% when the league average is somewhere in the 8-10% range.If we had scored 4 instead of 2, we’d be within the expected average range for chance conversion. Let’s assume a goal against Bristol City and another against Leicester.
I don’t think our finishing can last an entire 46 game stretch at less than 4% conversion so you’d hope an upswing comes soon to match the rest of our play.
The danger is that instead of that being the case, the team loses confidence and the rest of our play gets dragged down by our inability to convert and put points on the board.2 -
Points to converting those chances into goals clearly, which is what we've said all along.NabySarr said:Bringing this thread back for all xG lovers. Definitely too small a sample size after only 4 games, but the data so far suggests we are unlucky to have only picked up 4 points and have been one of the better sides in the league so far from our 4 game sample
You can't always just say it'll balance out, poorer strikers underperform their xg and better strikers outperform it. It's not a lottery.
We need to look at who the chances are falling to and how we can improve that.
For example if we create a lot from set-pieces, there's a higher probability the chances are falling to defenders hence the low conversion rate.0 -
I see Wrexham are bottom.
Weren't they mid tableish last season as well?0 - Sponsored links:
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Yep, I think it’s a bit of a style thing. They are a team that likes to sit back and naturally concede a lot of chances. The last 2 seasons they’ve had Okonkwo in goal and he has been one of the best shot stoppers in both league 2 and league 1 season which has really bailed them out. No idea why they dropped him for Ward this season, but now Ward is injured they’ll have him back in goal.Covered End said:I see Wrexham are bottom.
Weren't they mid tableish last season as well?Very interested to see how they do this season, they’ve been very ambitious with recruitment, as you’d expect, but Parkinson’s style and record at championship level are huge question marks1 -
9 games in update. We are bang average, which is obviously great for our first season back at this level.Biggest concern is obviously chance creation, our xG for is only better than Derby’s. Defensively we are the 5th best though6 -
https://theanalyst.com/articles/championship-predictions-efl-october-2025-opta-supercomputer
Opta says we are about as mid table as mid table can be5
