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Grand National 2019

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  • MrOneLung
    MrOneLung Posts: 26,835
    It’s all extra stats for the model. 
  • _MrDick
    _MrDick Posts: 13,103
    Not a bean ... My missus did better than me. She picked names and colours 
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,757
    edited April 2019
    Where does Magic of Light fall in your model out of interest Peanuts? Thanks for all you do on these threads every year!

    RIP Up For Review
  • PaddyP17
    PaddyP17 Posts: 13,035
    What a horse Tiger Roll is! The consensus most likely winner, and bookie basher! Love that, even if I wasn't on board for more than a saver. 

    RIP Up for Review, gutting. 
  • paulbaconsarnie
    paulbaconsarnie Posts: 9,423
    edited April 2019
    AFKABartram said:
    Sadly Up For Review never made it. RIP :-(
    I know they all went around the 1st/17th fence without incident second time around but they've got to do something about the lack of room to get 30+ horses passed a closed fence.
  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,704
    CAFCsayer said:
    Who got 7th

    Pretty sure it was Regal Encore
  • cafcpolo
    cafcpolo Posts: 3,811
    Had Tiger, Rath and Anibel. £81 profit. Cheers @PeanutsMolloy!
  • paulbaconsarnie
    paulbaconsarnie Posts: 9,423
    PeanutsMolloy said:
    CAFCsayer said:
    Who got 7th

    Pretty sure it was Regal Encore
    Yep
    and singlefarmpayment 8th
  • AFKABartram
    AFKABartram Posts: 57,824
    Thanks to Bob for the half stake offer and Peanuts for Annabel Fly, managed to turn a small profit.

    Thanks again to Peanuts and the gang
  • bobmunro
    bobmunro Posts: 20,842
    PeanutsMolloy said:

    Nearly time!

    Just want to say many thanks for all the kind comments. It’s the thoughts and humour of every single contributor that makes this thread so enjoyable for me every year and there's some brilliant insight from a lot of serious racing folk. Cheers to you all.

    I also really appreciate the faith that a lot of you place in my model. It's done OK down the years but there’s a definite risk that Mark II, having its first spin, careers off into a ditch and bursts into flames. If so, I do apologise. The model's always work-in-progress, of course, but I really hope it repays your faith (literally).

    Whichever steeds are carrying your hard-earned, all the best to everyone and to all 40 runners and riders – come back safe and sound.

    COYR

    Peanuts, for many, and for the majority on this thread  you ARE the Grand National.

    Power to your elbow, Sir - the main man. A privilege and a pleasure to know you, albeit in a virtual sense, and from another recent exchange on CL it would be an absolute honour to shake your hand in the real world.
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  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,704
    edited April 2019
    Will wrap a cold towel round my head and have a review tomorrow but financially, obviously, a loser (many apologies folks), having only had money on 5th in my case (so below breakeven) but the model did OK (not great but OK).
    1st and 5th were among it's 5 top-rated.
    3rd and 4th were among the 4 it rated Strong Place Potential
    Missed 2nd and 6th altogether of course but the model's top 9 rated runners produced 4 of first 5 home.
    BUT
    Second year running, not backing the short-priced one at the top of the list proved very costly. And the hard truth is it hardly needed a model to pick out Tiger Roll as a potential winner or Anibale Fly and Rathvinden as serious contenders. Ultimately, to be profitable, it's got to produce better results identifying value. Every year is different  - some with more opportunities than others. Always disconcerting to find the model fancying those at the head of the market, as this year, but it needs to do better. Certainly didn't cut the mustard this time and Mark II needs some tweaking.
    Really sorry guys and girls. I hope some of you found those I missed or backed the superstar that truly is Tiger Roll.
    More tomorrow. 
  • PeanutsMolloy
    PeanutsMolloy Posts: 6,704
    edited April 2019
    Callumcafc said:
    Where does Magic of Light fall in your model out of interest Peanuts? Thanks for all you do on these threads every year!

    RIP Up For Review
    Will let you know tomorrow Chief.
    Need to go and break it to Mrs M that the suitcases have to go back in the loft.
  • Chippycafc
    Chippycafc Posts: 14,141
    AFKABartram said:
    Good luck @PeanutsMolloy thank you for once again being such an engaging captain of this ship (ably assisted by a number of other great contributors). Hope you’ve enjoyed it as much as the rest of us.

    Hope Mrs Molloy gets to go on the QE2 to St Lucia and not the A2 to Gravesend

    Oy....Gravesend is the UKs answer to St Lucia...
  • LenGlover
    LenGlover Posts: 31,651
    Not the greatest year for @Len\'s_little_girl  and me but thanks to @PeanutsMolloy 's knowledge and @bobmunro 's generous 10 places, Singlefarmpayment in 8th eased some of our pain together with Anibale Fly.

    One of my other daughters got 1st, 2nd, 5th and 6th with Paddy. She does ask us what @PeanutsMolloy has come up with but then does her own thing! She had One for Arthur when he won it so backed him for old times sake.
  • SOTF
    SOTF Posts: 1,149
    Annual thanks to all for a great thread.

    Backed Tiger with the 50% cash back from 365 and got Anibel in 5th. Won enough to treat the Mrs to a bag of chips.

    Looking forward to next years!

  • PaddyP17
    PaddyP17 Posts: 13,035
    I made exactly £0.00 after laying everything with a saver bet on Tiger Roll.

    As a racing fan, I am made up for that result! Punting is secondary to the sport in my view (one I know that isn't shared by many others), so I'm a happy man! 
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,757
    PeanutsMolloy said:
    Callumcafc said:
    Where does Magic of Light fall in your model out of interest Peanuts? Thanks for all you do on these threads every year!

    RIP Up For Review
    Will let you know tomorrow Chief.
    Need to go and break it to Mrs M that the suitcases have to go back in the loft.
    No rush! Thank you again.
  • soapboxsam
    soapboxsam Posts: 23,229
    My son who was working in hospitality at Aintree this week managed to get 16/1 on my pick this Morning ? 
    As they appeared to have a false start, I went for a quick piss, I didn't bother to pause (TV not my piss) I just made it back into my lounge to see Vintage Clouds (good jumper, stays all day) fall at the first.

  • CHG
    CHG Posts: 4,529

  • orpingtonRED
    orpingtonRED Posts: 3,474
    For a minute there I thought that was your bet today
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  • GreenWithEnvy
    GreenWithEnvy Posts: 1,840
    Wasn't to be this year but many thanks to @PeanutsMolloy for his great insight which I enjoy every year. As always I look forward to read this thread for the 2020 race.
  • carly burn
    carly burn Posts: 19,454
    Thanks again peanuts.
  • Athletico Charlton
    Athletico Charlton Posts: 14,273
    AFKABartram said:
    Thanks to Bob for the half stake offer and Peanuts for Annabel Fly, managed to turn a small profit.

    Thanks again to Peanuts and the gang
    Same. Thanks both
  • Covered End
    Covered End Posts: 51,987
    Wiped out this year.
    Never mind, thanks anyway Peanuts.
  • Callumcafc
    Callumcafc Posts: 63,757
    edited April 2019
    In the end, I just finished a couple of points ahead on the festival as a whole.
    Had a horror show of a Saturday with only Anibale Fly registering a place. Not a single win or place in any other race!
    Nonetheless, had such a good Thursday and Friday that I effectively just ate up all of the early winnings. Never mind.
  • Robbo on the wing
    Robbo on the wing Posts: 4,135
    golfaddick said:
    Yes !!!

    Had Tiger Roll £2.50 e/w (betting slip shows €1.25). Took sp with William Hill. Tv had it at 4-1 do I'm assuming that's £6.

    Also had Livelovelaugh too.....but not sure where he finished as I think WH pay top 6. 
    Unless I am mistaken, are you the financial adviser chap?
    Why E/W on a 4/1 shot?
  • Chippycafc
    Chippycafc Posts: 14,141
    Cant stand horse racing even though my sister owns 3 race horses.. But peanuts you may have convinced me to convert.
  • golfaddick
    golfaddick Posts: 33,620
    Robbo on the wing said:
    golfaddick said:
    Yes !!!

    Had Tiger Roll £2.50 e/w (betting slip shows €1.25). Took sp with William Hill. Tv had it at 4-1 do I'm assuming that's £6.

    Also had Livelovelaugh too.....but not sure where he finished as I think WH pay top 6. 
    Unless I am mistaken, are you the financial adviser chap?
    Why E/W on a 4/1 shot?
    Because I know nothing about horse racing & didn't even look at the odds. Just heard he was one of the favourites & with The Masters next week thought a horse with the word Tiger in its name was a bit of a give a way.

    Also, being the GN he was as likely to fall at the first as to win it. 

    And I realise now, being a financial adviser, that I in fact won £5 & not £6. So got my stake money back & that's it. 
  • killer kish
    killer kish Posts: 2,019
    Hope some followed the five year stats as Tizzard had a 20/1 winner yesterday plus Tiger Roll Cheltenham part
  • LenGlover
    LenGlover Posts: 31,651
    Robbo on the wing said:
    golfaddick said:
    Yes !!!

    Had Tiger Roll £2.50 e/w (betting slip shows €1.25). Took sp with William Hill. Tv had it at 4-1 do I'm assuming that's £6.

    Also had Livelovelaugh too.....but not sure where he finished as I think WH pay top 6. 
    Unless I am mistaken, are you the financial adviser chap?
    Why E/W on a 4/1 shot?
    To be fair to @golfaddick Tiger Roll went out to 9/2 just before the race. Not a massive potential each way profit if it was placed rather than won but a profit nevertheless.

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