Working on the theory that form over the last 5 games is a reasonable indication of the current trajectory of teams below us, I have extrapolated this form over the next 10 games. We have 12 games left. Of the teams below us, Coventry and Chesterfield also have 12 games left, Port Vale has 14 games left, and everyone else has 11 games left.
Coventry City - W1 D1 L3 - current points total 25 - Projected points total= 33
Chesterfield - W0 D2 L3 - current point total 28 - Projected points total = 32
Port Vale - W0 D2 L3 - current points total 34 - Projected points total= 38
Swindon Town - W2 D1 L3 - current points total 36 - Projected points total = 50
Oldham - W3 D2 L0 - current points total 39 - Projected points total = 61
Gillingham - W1 D2 L2 - current points total 39 - Projected points total = 49
Bury - W4 D1 L0 - current points total 40 - Projected points total = 66
Northampton W2 D1 L2 - current points total 40 - Projected points total = 54
Shrewsbury W3 D0 L2 - current points total 41 - Projected points total = 59
Charlton W0 D1 L4 - current points total 42 - Projected points total = 44
This means that in 10 games time, the table could look like this:
15. Bury
16. Oldham
17.Shrewsbury
18. Northampton
19. Swindon
20. Gillingham
21. Charlton
22. Port Vale
23. Coventry
24. Chesterfield
Given that we have to play 5 of the 9 teams below us, there are a number of 6 pointers coming up - not least, away to Northampton this Saturday.
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Except in this case.